| DATE |
PROFILE/COMMENTS |
April 13th: Declared
Newmarket 5f Mf |
Cost middling price at Doncaster St Leger sales.
First season sire made 6f May debut at 2yo and superior 6-7f runner. Made
solid impression at the sales and yearlings sold well.
B2yoR rated 32 of his yearlings and they were a solid group if lacking
real stars.
Sire has had four runners so far which have placed at low level at best
including tow which sold for more than this one.
The dam was a very poor runner over sprint distances at 2yo and showed
best form over 8f on the AW winning a seller at 3yo. She has produced one
long distance winner.
Trainer has not targeted FTO wins in recent seasons and early debuts can
often be inexperienced. Only the very best runners compete well on debut.
He has had one inexperienced debut run in 2005.
The trainer has had a runner in the race in the last three seasons. In
2002 the 7f Listed race winner Sister Bluebird finished last on debut.
The moderate placer Innstyle was 3rd in 2003 and he had the winner on debut
in 2004. In line with only his best runners winning on debut she was useful+
and won the Supersprint.
In summary a pedigree of a minor sprint winner and doubts about what the
dam can contribute. Sire has made a slow start with his runners so far.
The trainer's debut runs are only competitive to win if they are useful+
and naturally professional if this early in the season. Unlikely to be
useful+ on profile but ought to be a winner later but, on balance, will
need the run to develop from. However, watch for strong support. Profile
[62]
|
April 13th: Newmarket
Post Race |
Continued here trainer's record of introducing unusually competent and
competitive debut runners at this meeting. His debut runs are rarely competitive
unless the 2yo is at least useful+ and probably capable of competing in
Group races.
He seems to have chosen his most natural 'speed' 2yos in the last two seasons
for this meeting. He won this race with the useful+ Siena Gold and Abbielou
(for the same owner) put up a solid debut here without suggesting she is
as good as Siena Gold. She broke second best and set the pace on the far
side for more than 3 furlong and kept on for third. A solid debut of the
type the colt Alpaga Le Jomage made for the trainer at the 2004 meeting.
Likely to be a 75+ maiden winner on this debut effort but not up to Siena
Gold's standard. Estimate [66]
|
April 23rd: Leicester
5f Maiden |
Made a good debut by trainer standards looking professional and rating
slightly above expectations. Trainer's runner usually show solid improvement
so long as they do not run too quickly STO and this one has an acceptable
10 day break. Profile [74]
|
April 23rd: Leicester
Post Race |
Paddock rated 74. A surprise given her performance on debut and on first
sight a question mark over the quality of her Newmarket third arose. Notably
small and compact. Well built and deep, also strong behind. However, weaker
in front and lacking range to use her strength. A 'now' filly that should
need a fast ground 5f to show her best. Her lack of range & reach means
she's relying on strength and leg speed (rather than length of stride)
to show her best and may not stay a 'stiff' 5f. Probably limited to 70-74
rating and need faster conditions to show it.
A surprise with how small she is and immediately raised questions over
the strength of the Newmarket race she lead and finished 3rd in. Well build
but compact and lacking range. Looked like a fast ground 5f sprinter and
limited by her size.
With no real support for others she shortened from 11/10 to 5/6f. Unlike
Newmarket she was settled tracking the leaders towards the centre of the
track. As the race quickened after halfway she showed little progress and
just plugged on.
Inclined to the view that her size and lack of range means that she will
need faster going and will be better being allowed to use her pace early
in the race to set a target for others to chase. This race on easier and
with her being ridden to try to 'quicken' after halfway wasn't in her best
interests.
In summary she underperformed against expectations because - a) the debut
run at Newmarket looks over-rated; b) she's rather small and compact; c)
she needs a faster surface to use her strength and leg speed.
Also worth noting that her trainer has a poor record with STO runs of 7
days or less. She was running 10 days after debut which seemed 'ok' but
possibly not. Each season the trainer struggles to win maidens with a range
of runners who have shown glimpses of good form in good races. Estimate
[47]
|
May 16th: Windsor
5f Maiden Fillies' |
Given a break since her disappointing second run. That form looks better
in light of the good follow-up runs by the 1st, 4th & 5th.
Blinkered first time and poorly drawn in 2 of 16. Trainer runs two and
neither have a usual jockey for the stable.
Profile [70]
|
May 20th: Haydock
5f Auction |
Given an aggressive ride at Windsor 4 days ago and got across to the stands'
rail by the end of the first furlong and set a good pace which had five
fillies clear of the bunch from early on and these filled the first 5 places.
A length clear at halfway she was headed 1F out and plugged on ok given
the
pacemaking for a close up fourth. Estimate [69]
Runs only 4 days after Windsor and trainer can struggle to get maiden wins
with this type. Blinkered again in a good choice of race since she is bottom
weight in this Auction. Profile [69 + 9 =78]
|
June 13th: Warwick
5f Maiden Fillies |
7/2 at Haydock with a 3lb apprentice. Raced on the far side of a large
group and led setting a good pace. The far side runners in the race faded
as a group and she faded notably in the last furlong. Estimate [44]
Given a break after running too freely last time and fading after only
a 4 day interval. Had previously run poorly on softer ground. On balance
she looks a short runner although with some early pace. In each of her
four races she has failed to finish the race off well. Unlikely to show
much improvement but should be back to her better form level after the
break. Profile [67]
|
| Horse |
Run # |
Date |
Course |
Dist |
Gng |
RcCls |
RcTyp |
SP |
Postn |
[Est] |
Run Style |
Hdgr |
Notes |
| ABBIELOU | 1 | 13/04/2005 | NMKT | 5 | GF | 5 | Mf | 16 | 3-13 | 66 | F | | B2, FNkHf, HgL-1, Kon |
| ABBIELOU | 2 | 23/04/2005 | LEIC | 5 | GS | 6 | M | 0.83 | 3-10 | 47 | T | | Cent T3Hf, EffHf, No Prog SEsd |
| ABBIELOU | 3 | 16/05/2005 | WDSR | 5 | GFG | 5 | Mf | 10 | 4-16 | 69 | F | B | AggRd, XF, F1Hf, Hdd-1, Pon |
| ABBIELOU | 4 | 20/05/2005 | HYDK | 5 | GF | 5 | Auc | 3.5 | 7-16 | 44 | F | B | A3, Far, GdPc, FNkHf, QFd-1f |
| ABBIELOU | 5 | 13/06/2005 | WWCK | 5 | GFF | 5 | Mf | 2.25 | 1-7 | 66 | F | B | A3, OkPc, FNkHf, Eff-2f, Pon |
| ABBIELOU | 6 | 16/07/2005 | NWBY | 5.1 | GF | 2 | Sal | 100 | 25-25 | 22 | 1M | | Stds Cent, -4Hf, -5Ov, QFd-1+ |
| ABBIELOU | 7 | 27/07/2005 | SDWN | 5 | GSS | 4 | Nur | 12 | 8-8 | 0 | Af | | P-6, -12Hf, REased, Unhappy |
~END~ |
