July 11th: Windsor
6f Maiden |
Made a good price at teh Tattersalls October Part 1 sales.
Reviewed at the sales and rated 74 with an above average chance of being
a 2yo winner. Quite typical smaller but hevily built type of the sire with
a little length and deep throught the body. An acceptable mover.
By veteran sire who has a good record with 2yos. Has better record at 6f+
but has already had three average 5f winners in 2005.
Dam a 3yo winner in Germany and related to three Listed level winner there.
Fourth 2yo runner of the season for an organised and consistent trainer
that takes 2yo reasonably seriously. Has had a variable number of 2yo runners
and winners over the last five seasons. A prime factor in this variability
is that around two thirds of the 2yos he runs are owner breds.
He has made a later start than normal as he normally runs a few 2yos in
April-May and has not in 2005. The earliest runners in each season are
normally chosen as competitive 2yos at some level, including higher class
types like Three Valleys (2003) & Pike Bishop (2004, made debut in
5f race at this meeting).
He does not target FTO wins and runners tend to be around 8-16lbs below
their best on debut. The FTO wins usually come along with the useful or
superior runners, sometimes in combination with a moderate race. FTO SP
is not a consistent indicator of FTO performance nor ability.
The first two runners were owner breds for K. Abdulla and both looked above
average in strong debut wins at 12/1 (drifted from 7/1 after loose TP)
and 7/4f. The third runner looked an ok physical type and started favourite
but ran poorly showing some inexperience.
In summary a solid pedigree and looked at least an average maiden winner
at the sales. Well drawn in 13 and a good chance this will be a stronger
trainer debut. Profile [71]
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