| DATE |
PROFILE/COMMENTS |
March 26th: Entered for -
Kempton 5f
Maiden - (D2) |
Expensive buy for DSL. Already gelded.
By (US) based sire who has a few British representatives each season. The
sire has not had a 5f winner nor a winner before August in the period 2002-4
from 10 runners. He has got a 6f winner with help from the dam.
Dam has (US) pedigree with mixed features, not an obvious 'speed' producer.
Trainer has not targeted FTO wins in recent seasons and early debuts can
often be inexperienced. He had a runner finish last in this race in 2004
for example. Only the very best runners compete well on debut.
In summary a mixed story. The sales price and (US) pedigree suggest an
average to useful physical type but not suited to 5f early. The trainer's
earliest debuts in 2003-4 have been minor winners at best during the season
but with cheaper buys. In either case it would be surprising if he was
competent enough, or superior enough, to compete well on debut.
Profile [53]
|
March 26th:
POST RACE |
The pre-race profile of 53 was considered the best he could perform to
if fit and showing acceptable professionalism. If you look at the picture
of him you will see that he is heavily built and just average fitness,
he didn't look ready to 'carry his weight' today.
He received a paadock rating of 74? because he has a very strong body and
can develop but not quite carrying his weight yet. Need to see how he develops.
He added a mentally inexperienced run to compound this and produce a low
rating.
It is interesting to think about what the trainer is trying to achieve
with the regular very poor debut runs he has early in each season. This
one wasn't ready to compete today (despite the 13/2 SP) and you could speculate
he was here for other reasons = e.g. perhaps he's a handful at home, diffiult
to get fit, etc.
It will be interesting to see how quickly he runs again. Estimate [30]
|
March 31st : Declared
5f Conditions - Brocklesby
at Doncaster |
Surprisingly, runs only 5 days after his very inexperienced debut run.
Trainer's 2yos have a poor record running STO off such short breaks and
Paddock Review did not suggest he was going to snap into shape quickly.
In summary slightly puzzling why he runs here. The trainer knows what's
required to win the race having won it with a debut runner back in the
early 90s but he has had a different approach for a long time. It would
mean he was very useful if he could place here and seems most unlikely.
Has he really shown them enough at home to suggest he's worth running here,
now? Profile [56]
|
March 31st: Doncaster
5f Conditions |
Ran only 5 days after debut and slightly baffling what the plan is with
him. Was giving a strong, attacking ride and led the stands' side group
for as long as he could before fading to the expected rating level. Previous
comments still apply and presume he will now be given a break to develop.
Estimate [53]
|
April 26th: Warwick
5f Seller |
Drops to a seller after an early debut in a race that his trainer often
uses for claimer level types. Sales price and build make the point of how
disappointing he must be. On the form he showed in the Brocklesby he should
be competitive in this type of race even if he doesn't improve.
Profile [52]
|
