British 2yo Racing - 2005 Trainer Stats for J. L. Spearing

BRITISH 2yo RACING - Trainer 2yo Statistics Page 2005

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2002 - 2004 Statistics

J. L. Spearing (Kinnersley, Worcs)

SUMMARY OF APPROACH TO 2YO RACING :-

Medium sized, dual purpose stable. Targets 2yo racing at a low level with around 8 runners each season and one or two winners.
Most 2yos run to around 3TO but 2yo types and winners may run to 10TO. The stable gets a reasonable strike rate around 9.5% with this approach.
Most of the 2yos are bought relatively cheaply for between 2k to 8k gns with the majority at the lower end of the range.
It is fascinating to consider the records of the single winner in each season 2001 to 2004 which made its debut for the stable (he had one winner in 2003 which made debut for J. Eustace). The table summarises :-


Name	Debut run	Subsequent runs
E C Lady	Apr 4th, Southwell 4th/9 at 16/1 rated 34 [Earliest stable runner]	Won Seller 3TO rated 56, developed to win consecutive nurseries rated OR67 and 74 in August and final rating OR86.
Cashel Mead	May 7th, Windsor 4th/10 at 16/1 rated 54 [Second earliest stable runner.]	Won auction STO rating 70, developed in later season when soft ground returned to win two races in October including a nursery off OR82. [Earliest stable debut in 2002 was good third at 25/1 on May 6th]
Borzoi Maestro	April 7th, Windsor 5th/9 at 20/1 rated 57. [Earliest stable runner]	Ran in AW sellers rating 50s then 60s for 6TO AW seller win on Jul 11th. Then won next two races in nurseries off OR65 and OR72 and then struggled in races of OR84
Island Swing	May 17th, Windsor 15th/19 at 50/1 rating 25. [Earliest stable runner]	Won Seller STO rating 50 then the York Rous Seller 3TO rating 70+. Struggled in Nurseries off OR82 before later season win and final rating OR85.

The table tells its own story and Island Swing was one of the bets of the season in 2004 in the York race, you just knew that you could trust this trainer to find 10lbs+ improvement once the runner had broken its maiden.
There are two other interesting points to consider with the table. Firstly is this planned before the season starts with these winners? The early debuts and similar paths and final ratings suggest so but three of the runners could have been lost from the stable in the early selling races.
The second point is what training and conditioning is the trainer doing to get the development to rating around 80 after many runs? For example and see the pictures, Cashel Mead was a good physical type and rating 80+ is not a surprise. But to get Borzoi Maestro rated OR84 is very hard to credit, he's very small and on Paddock Review the AW sellers he started in were his mark.
Overall FTO runs are at long SPs and moderate runners and later season debuts tend to be closer to final rating FTO.

2005 Debut Runs Summary

2005 SEASON RUN DETAILS

Horse Run # Date Course Dist Gng RcCls RcTyp SP Postn [Est] Run Style Hdgr Notes

DISTANT SHORES 1 18/04/2005 WDSR 5 G 5 M 22 10-16 35 1T Stds, T4Hf, Dv-2, QFd-1

VALENTINO SWING 1 15/05/2005 RIPN 6 GF 5 M 50 10-17 31 1B -4+Hf, NIR

DISTANT SHORES 17/05/2005 LEIC 5 GF 4 M NR-

TOMBALINA 1 23/05/2005 WDSR 5 GFG 5 Nov 50 7-7 0 BAf BSS, SInx, NIR, Adrift

DISTANT SHORES 2 26/05/2005 BATH 5 GGS 6 Mf 8 7-9 42 T -3Hf, QRFd+2f

VALENTINO SWING 07/06/2005 SALS 6 GFG 5 Auc NR-

TOMBALINA 2 08/06/2005 NWBY 6 GF 5 Acf 66 12-17 10 T A3, -2+1f, -3Hf, RFd-2f

TOMBALINA 3 15/06/2005 CHEP 5 GSG 6 Slr 3 2-5 30 2F Cent, Ld4.5f, pon

VALENTINO SWING 2 30/06/2005 YARM 6 FGF 6 Slr 3.5 1-9 34 T2 T2+Hf, Led-0.5f, pon

DISTANT SHORES 3 02/07/2005 NOTT 6 GGF 5 Acf 40 12-15 13 1T5 A3, Cent, -2+Hf, QFd-2f

TOMBALINA 4 04/07/2005 BATH 5 GF 6 Slr 5.5 7-8 8 F F1Hf, QFd-2f

VALENTINO SWING 3 16/07/2005 LING 6 5 Nur 8 1-9 58 T3 -1+1&Hf, Ef-2, SwcRail Ld-1 ko

JUCEBABE 1 24/07/2005 NMKJ 6 S 5 M 22 3-9 56 BM -4+1f, -3Hf, Ef-2, POn

VALENTINO SWING 4 18/08/2005 WTON 7.1 STD 5 Nur 5 4-12 33 B B-2, OutpcdErl, SPrg-1f

TOMBALINA 5 22/08/2005 WTON 5.1 STD 6 Slf 33 5-9 19 F A5, F1Hf, Hdd-1f+, Fd-1f

ARKADIA HONEY 1 27/08/2005 YORK 6 GGS 3 M 50 7-11 44 P4 -1Hf, 4th-1f & SQFd

TOMBALINA 6 27/08/2005 WDSR 5 GGS 5 Slr 14 4-9 33 T3 -1+Hf, SEf to 2nd-1+, SFdLt

RAPICH 1 02/09/2005 NMKJ 6 GF 4 Mf 66 12-14 17 B13 -6Hf, QFd-2f

VALENTINO SWING 5 06/09/2005 LING 7 GGF 5 Nur 5 6-14 48 T3 -1+Hf, Dv-2f, SQFd-1f+

TOMBALINA 12/09/2005 RDCR 5 GGS 5 Nur NR-

ARKADIA HONEY 2 15/09/2005 YARM 6 GF 5 M 12 5-10 31 P2 -HfHf, Dv-2f, Fd-1f

VALENTINO SWING 6 16/09/2005 NOTT 6.1 GGS 5 Nur 16 1-17 59 1M7 Stds, -3+Hf, Prg-2f, Ld-1, PON

TOMBALINA 7 17/09/2005 LNGA 5 STD 7 Auc 8 2-10 35 T2 A3, SFre, -1Hf, Ld-1f, HddLt

JUCEBABE 2 27/09/2005 GDWD 6 G 5 M 11 5-8 23 T3 AvPc, -1+Hf, Otpcd-2+, LckPc

ARKADIA HONEY 3 30/09/2005 LING 5 GS 5 M 12 3-15 50 M -4+Hf, SPrg-2f, pon-1f

DISTANT SHORES 4 30/09/2005 LING 6 GS 5 Clm 50 6-17 30 M P-2, -5Hf, SPrg-2f

TOMBALINA 8 01/10/2005 WTON 5.1 STD 6 Slr 8 5-11 27 T3 A3, -1+Hf, Dv-2f, Fd-1f

RAPICH 2 04/10/2005 LEIC 7 GGF 4 Mf 100 17-18 1 M -4+Hf, QRFd-2f+

STOKESIES LUCK 1 10/10/2005 WDSR 6 GGF 5 M 66 14-15 18 M -4+Hf, QFd-2f+

JUCEBABE 3 19/10/2005 NOTT 6.1 GSG 6 M 20 10-11 12 T6 AvPc, -3Hf & Outpcd, QFd-2+

TOMBALINA 9 22/10/2005 WTON 5.1 STD 7 Auc 10 2-13 32 P2 A3, -HfHf, Ef-1+&Ld, pon HddLn

~END~

2005 SEASON DEBUT RUN DETAILS

Horse

Run #

Date

Course

Dist

Gng

RcCls

RcTyp

Postn

[Est]

Run Style

Hdgr

Notes

DISTANT SHORES

18/04/2005

WDSR

10-16

Stds, T4Hf, Dv-2, QFd-1

VALENTINO SWING

15/05/2005

RIPN

10-17

-4+Hf, NIR

TOMBALINA

23/05/2005

WDSR

GFG

Nov

7-7

BAf

BSS, SInx, NIR, Adrift

JUCEBABE

24/07/2005

NMKJ

3-9

-4+1f, -3Hf, Ef-2, POn

ARKADIA HONEY

27/08/2005

YORK

GGS

7-11

-1Hf, 4th-1f & SQFd

RAPICH

02/09/2005

NMKJ

12-14

B13

-6Hf, QFd-2f

STOKESIES LUCK

10/10/2005

WDSR

GGF

14-15

-4+Hf, QFd-2f+

~FINISH~