May 20th: Newmarket
6f Maiden Fillies' |
Owner bred and did not go to the sales.
By good sire who gets winners at a range of distances although better record
6f+. Wins have tended to come from July onwards with only one May win 2002-4.
Ok for debut wins.
Dam made a single unplaced run at 2yo in a late October, big field, maiden.
She needed four goes to break her maiden at 3yo and then tried higher class
races unsuccessfully.
11 times champion trainer has his first 2yo runner of the season. The stable
has been in decline for some years and gets rare 2yo winners. This is an
early start and he has not had a runner until early July in the last three
years.
He is notable for assessing his 2yos fully at home before they run . They
are normally close to full fitness on debut and show little improvement
in later runs. All his wins in the last three seasons have either been
on debut (7 wins) or STO (2 wins). If his runners don't win or place on
debut its almost certain they are poor to moderate athletes.
His earliest debuts in the last three seasons have been a mix of moderate
owner breds and competitive 2yos. The SP has been a good indicator of which
category the runner fits into.
In summary a notably early debut for the trainer and raises the question
of whether she's a poor type that needs to get running early. She should
be mostly wound up for her debut either way. THe market should be a good
indicator of what is expected. Profile [60?]
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