DATE |
PROFILE/COMMENTS |
April 16th: Nottingham
5f Maiden |
Made solid price at Doncaster St Leger sales. Slightly above the trainer's
normal top level.
Sire has mixed pedigree but has an acceptable record with 2yos since being
repatriated. Gets winners over a variety of distances but can get odd 5f
winners. Wins usually come from May onwards.
Dam has speed pedigree. Has produced a 5f 2yo winner.
Trainer has moderate record with 2yos. Debuts, especially in early season
are normally uncompetitive, development runs and looking to peak on STO.
Trainer has had two uncompetitive debuts already this season in line with
his normal record.
He has entered two in this race and this one has an apprentice riding and
the other a senior jockey.
In summary a solid pedigree to be a sprint winner at 2yo but trainer has
a poor record. Unlikely to be ready to perform near his best on debut.
Profile [48]
|
April 16th: Nottingham
Post Race |
33/1 on debut and lost three lengths with a slow break. In midfield around
3 lengths off the pacemaker until outpaced two furlongs out and faded.
A typically uncompetitive trainer debut run although beat his 'preferred'
runner who was 20/1. Estimate [36]
|
April 23rd: Leicester
5f Maiden |
Trainer has moderate record with 2yos and early runs tend to be poor. He
has had two 2yos run STO in 2005 and both have run to a lower rating than
their debut off short breaks. No reason to expect any notable difference
with this one. Profile [44]
|
April 23rd: Leicester
Post Race |
Rated 64 on paddock review. Medium size and with a solid build and notably
strong behind (the shape and build of the thigh/gaskin/buttocks is absolutely
typical of the type the trainer has, no matter what shape or size otherwise
that area always looks the same). Slightly short and and still 'up' behind
and a slightly 'bits & pieces' walker because of this. Should be able
to rate 60s.
Opened 50/1 and finished at 40/1. Looked to have prospects of mid-60s ratings
at best. Ran roughly to expectations and trainer tends to have runners
which develop from debut to 'peak' 3TO. Might be able to find a minor race
but not one to follow given the trainer's record overall. Estimate
[51]
|
April 30th: Thirsk
5f Novice |
Runs 7 days after STO for a trainer who tends to target 3TO 'peaks'. First
test of the strength of a slow, muddling race at Leicester where the favourite
disappointed. Ought to be able to rate in the 60s here. The only maiden
in the field and the winners are penalised either 4lb or 8lb.
Profile [64 + 8 = 72]
|
April 30th: Thirsk
Post Race |
28/1 outsider and ran a week after a 4th in a slow maiden race at Leicester.
Tracked the ok pace for 2 lengths at halfway (two of the previous winners
couldn't). Drifted left to centre track with the stalled pacemakers inside
2f out and looked to have a chance to win with the runners spread across
the track. Faded in the last half furlong but probably showed his best
form. Now had three runs in 14 days on softer ground and shown improvement
but only to a moderate level. Hard to estimate what the next step in this
'plan' is. Estimate [58]
|
May 16th: Windsor
5f Conditions |
The form of his previous two runs looks better in light of the performances
of the horses that finished in front of him. Has his first run on firmer
ground here after a reasonable break.
Trainer's runner do not tend to show improvement after 3TO. He has had
a previous runner in the race unplaced in 2003. She was one of his few
2yo winners but was not up to the class of that race. Profile
[68 + 3 = 71]
|
May 16th: Windsor
Post Race |
25/1 6th favourite. Ran a similar race to Thirsk in finishing reasonably
close to the placed horses but never being competitive. Around 2L off an
average pace at halfway he was slightly outpaced 2F out as the race quickened
and then plugged on. Trainer has a poor record with getting 2yo wins and
he needs a drop in class to have a chance of a maiden win. Estimate
[66]
|
May 24th: Lingfield
5f AW Maiden Div I |
Drops back to maiden race after finishing unplaced in better races and
lacking the pace to compete but plugging on to finish reasonable close.
Switches to AW which is a regular trainer tactic.
Overall view that he lacks the pace for 5f but this is a weaker race so
this is the chance to confirm that against lesser horses. Profile [67]
|
June 16th: York
5f Group 3 |
7/2 at Lingfield despite a moderate race. Driven along after a furlong
and 3L behind at halfway. Just plugged on in the straight and slightly
hampered but uncompetitive overall. Estimate [55]
Profile [68]
|
July 2nd: Nottingham
5f Maiden |
200/1 at York and either he showed notable improvement or he drags the
form level down. At present his rating has been upgraded and his overall
performance at York suggests a better effort by him. In a race with a strong
pace he led after 1f and was in 3rd just 1L off the leaders (finished 1st
& 3rd) at halfway, Starting to stall and fade but still in fourth with
1f left and faded to 6th. He showed more pace (which other 65-72 types
couldn't) and hung on longer than expected. Estimate [79]
Trainer's record with 2yos can make assessing his runners tricky. He clearly
feels this is his best 2yo and has run him in tough races where he has
never been competitive but has not looked entirely out of place. The trouble
is that when dropped to an easier race on the AW he didn't show his form.
It's possible he shows his best form on firmer going on a flat, straight
track. If the Norfolk Stakes run is correctly rated (this is a test of
that form) then he should have a strong chance here against another solid
type (Out The Ordinary who beat him on softer going at Leicester). But
the trainer's record with 2yos is offputting. Profile [74]
|
Horse |
Run # |
Date |
Course |
Dist |
Gng |
RcCls |
RcTyp |
SP |
Postn |
[Est] |
Run Style |
Hdgr |
Notes |
SANDS CROONER | 1 | 16/04/2005 | NOTT | 5 | GSG | 5 | M | 33 | 6-10 | 36 | M | | A3, BS-3, T3+Hf, Opc-2, QFd-1+ |
SANDS CROONER | 2 | 23/04/2005 | LEIC | 5 | GS | 6 | M | 40 | 4-10 | 51 | T | | T2Hf, Ef-2, Pon-1 |
SANDS CROONER | 3 | 30/04/2005 | THSK | 5 | GS | 4 | Nov | 5 | 5-6 | 58 | T4 | | T2Hf, SwcLh, Eff-1.5, SFdLt |
SANDS CROONER | 4 | 16/05/2005 | WDSR | 5 | GFG | 2 | Cnd | 25 | 5-7 | 66 | T | | T2+Hf, SOutpc-2f, POn-1f |
SANDS CROONER | 5 | 24/05/2005 | LNGA | 5 | STD | 6 | M | 3.5 | 5-10 | 55 | M | | Dv+1f, -3Hf, PonStr, SHmp |
SANDS CROONER | 6 | 16/06/2005 | YORK | 5 | GF | 1 | Gp3 | 200 | 6-12 | 79 | P3 | | Ld+1f, P1Hf, -3-1f, SQFd |
SANDS CROONER | 7 | 02/07/2005 | NOTT | 5 | GGF | 6 | M | 4 | 8-10 | 50 | H4 | T | QFre+1f, T2Hf, NResp-2f, SFd |
~END~ |