June 18th: Newmarket
7f Maiden |
Owner bred by K. Abdulla.
Major US sire has a variable but mostly above average record with his British
raced 2yos. He gets winner over all distances although better for 6f+ overall.
Ok for winners from June onwards and a solid FTO record.
His first two runners in 2005 finished midfield but he had a debut winner
(G Butler) in the 6f maiden at this course yesterday.
Dam well related and a 9f 3yo winner in the US.
Second runner of the 2yo season for a major trainer after a 'sighter' in
a May 23rd race.
He has a very consistent strategy and record. Roughly 60 2yos run each
season and about 20 of them win at a 20% strike rate. Most will only run
once or twice and will be targeted at maiden wins. A few will run in Listed+
races.
Runners are usually fit and competent on debut and the better ones can
place and win. FTO SPs are not well correlated with performance nor overall
ability. However, a longer SP (16/1+) is a pretty sure sign of a moderate
runner.
This is a typical (re)start date after the sighter and the earliest debuts
are a mix of natural useful 2yos and limited owner breds. His early debuts
are often poor value. In 2003 the first four debuts started at odds-on
and one won. In total his first ten 2yo debuts in the period 2002-4 have
produced 4 wins from 30 runners at low SPs.
He runs two in this race with the other an owner bred for K Abdulla. With
the meeting clashing with York both are ridden by 'minor' jockeys.
In summary a good pedigree but lack of sales information make shim difficult
to place. Trainer runs two owners bred in the race which does not suggest
that both are better types and perhaps neither are. Profile [65]
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