British 2yo Racing - 2007 Season
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Racing Preview - May 11th 
Today's Races
  • [59] : Lingfield AW 3:45, 5f Maiden (5)
  • [60] : Nottingham 2:30, 5.1f Maiden Fillies' (5)
  • [61] : Hamilton 6:20, 5f Maiden (5)

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  • So, there you are sitting and musing about whether if you were a baronet and Chairman of the Newmarket Heath Committee you could get away with more strokes than if you were, say, a Yorkshire farmer or a laddo off a midlands council estate. Now what brought that on (again), ah yes, Mark Prescott. Right at the top of the declarations for the fillies' maiden at Nottingham is Alizadora trained by the man himself. In 2006 remember he didn't have a runner until September 4th and a grand total of one winner by the end of the turf season.
  • Now 2006 was unusual but starting as early as May 11th is pretty unusual too. He normally runs his horses in batches once he begins and this is his recent record :-
  • 2002 = First debut on July 20th and a batch of 6, all 6 were winners during the season. One debut winner with his first runner who was Listed 5f winner Cool Question (dam of Fairfield Princess & Black Duke).
  • 2003 = 6 horses in first batch in a nine day period from July 2nd. 5 of the 6 were winners and the other placed second twice. Only one placed on debut by high class 5f 2yo First Order.
  • 2004 = First debut on July 12th and 5 debuts in for day stretch. All five were winners in the season. One debut winner by Comic Strip as his first runner (and was sold on to race in Hong Kong where he has won at the top level under his new name of Viva Pataca).
  • 2005 = 14 debuts in a 12 day period from May 30th with the first 6 to make their debuts all winners. 2 debut winners in the group from Violette (later Group 3 winner) & Dream Fantasy (conditions race winner). 
  • 2006 = 5 in two days from Sept 4th with the best placing 6th and the others well beaten. 
  • Now, along with getting multiple wins with his competitive 2yos Mr Prescott is notable for setting up his 3yo staying handicappers with three quick runs over 6-7f at 2yo where they show nothing. They then get some piffling Official Rating, let's say 54, and then work their way around the northern tracks as a 3yo going up in distance from 10f to 2 miles and more and a run of handicaps wins as short SPs.
  • Which brings us to what type Alizadora is? A debut this early over 5f seems to be taking the '3yo setup' routine a bit far, old boy. But, she's owned by Kirsten Rausing (billionaire? heiress and owner of Lanwades Stud) who rather goes in for breeding stout stayers. Her dam started her career in bumpers and didn't win until she was 6yo. Which means sire Zilzal is going to have to add a lot of sprinting pep. If she is any good over 5f she probably be a lot better over 7-8f.
  • Either way we should watch out for the rest of his first batch assuming this isn't an oddity because before 2006 they were competitive 2yos and perhaps the early start means he has an ok batch of 2yos and wants to forget 2006.
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      May 10th Summary : 
     
    • A short summary of Friday's racing because of B2yoR committments at Goodwood & Chester. It will be interesting to see what difference the first sign of easier ground makes to the established form following the rainy spell (well, day). The Nottingham race looks to be a good opportunity for Rebel Aclaim to turn her very good debut into a win. A couple of niggles would be that she is unlikely to improve much from debut given that her trainer prepares his early debut runners well. She also looked so at home on faster going, and her sire Acclamation has made such a good start druing the dry spell, that she might not be as good if the going was easier. On the positive side the form she showed FTO would probably be enough to win this unless there's a very strong newcomers and she battled well very against the colt Group Therapy when challenged on debut and the pair pulled away (from some not very good horses admittedly).
    • Far Gone and Shamrock Lady both come from weak races and achieved little despite debut places. The fifth and seventh from Far Gone's race have been ironed out since in worse races than this and she put up a staying effort on a stiff Pontefract track. If the ground were fast you would think that Rebel Acliam would be just too fast for her. The two most interesting newcomers, aside from Alizadora dealt with above, are Johar Jamal & Monday Morning. The first is owned by Jaber Abdullah and trained by Mick Channon and attention has been drawn before to how the trainer targets strong debuts from better types for  him. However, in a typical year Mr Channon stores up his better 2yos that haven't already run to for the second half of May and early June and they often come with much hype and short prices. Johar Jamal doesn't excite on pedigree and looks more likely to be a middling debut.
    • Mark Wallace has made a typically well targeted start to the season with 5 runners, 4 placed on debut and three of those places turned into STO wins. Clearly a man who is on top of matters. The other placer was Carolina Belle who started short priced favourite at Lingfield last week but finished second in a slowly run race with a bunch finish. She wasn't particuarly ready for debut but was the best type in the field. Small, but a compact, 'little bull' sprinter set up who should have little difficulty winning over 5f. But, the lesson to learn is that he gets debut wins with his really best types who are ready enough. Monday Morning would need to be very good to beat Rebel Acliam first go if that one comes up to expectations (and if she doesn't we can put her on the pile over there with Fat Boy, Legendary Guest, Nacho Libre, etc.)
    • Both Lady Sandicliffe & Validity were seen at the sales and looked limited to 50s ratings but competitive at their level. Validity was notably small and similar to her dam who won in March as a 2yo before finding the opposition too big for her. Altercation represents Willie Jarvis who has had a win and a good 4th in a strong Newmarket maiden to date. This is typical for him because his first runners will be the natural 2yos and he gets them quite ready FTO. THis one is an owner bred by a sire who gets odd 5f types but likely to be one to assess for the future.
    • The Lingfield race on turf looks a good opportunity for Barraland to continue his improvement. A heavily built horse but slightly on the short side he is probably one of the type that Mick Channon starts over 5f when actually he'll be better for 6f+ and later in the season and competes with the early 5f types because of basic ability (Grantley Adams comes to mind whenever B2yoR thinks about him). Anyway, he ran better than his final placing suggests at Pontefract and got market support beforehand. That race turned into a 4-way battle for the lead all the way up the hill to the straight and Barraland was 4 wide on this duel throughout. He still managed an effort to challenge along the straight (hanging left and hampering rival after rival as he did so) before the pace told on him and Irving Place in the final furlong to allow trackers and horses from well off the pace to fill out the first five home.
    • Ballinskelligs Boy is an interesting horse. He only cost 9,000 guineas and his trainer has said that he has 'turned himself around since the sales'. Having seen him at Goodwood B2yoR agrees in that he is a good size and well built although he looked a poor mover behind at the walk. A slow break and inexperience meant he never got into the race but we have already seen with Avertitop, Cracking & Romany Princess that a blown debut for a Hannon runner doesn't mean they are useless. But, you would want to check his movement and see him place here before he was one to support. Of the others King Bathwick looked a typical neat type that he sire Golan showed in his first season last year. He ought to be capable of winning with development. 
    • Oh, and John Gosden runs Adab who is owned by Hamdan Al Maktoun who likes his early runners to be competitive on all evidence. Mr Gosden has given us a skinny duff one with Pixie's Blue and an average one with Master Chef who was too mentally immature to do better than a 'tenderly ridden' fifth at Windsor on Monday. He would have to be very useful and mentally ready to beat Barraland here.
    • The Hamilton race lacks a strong runner with a previous outing. With the five newcomers all coming from well funded stables it seems more likely that one of them will win. B2yoR hasn't given up on a Howard Johnson winning debut yet but he apprentice on Royal Sovereign is a little offputting. Mick Channon has his first runner for Ahmed Al Maktoum of the year and, similar to Jaber Abdullah, we should be looking for a debut win from the trainer for this owner from mid month. The market should tell us whether Meeriss is the better type here to win or an average type here to place. Now that Karl Burke has got his 2yos running better you would expect a solid showing from Johnny Friendly on his way to a later win. Which means that if Meeriss turns out not to be here to win then perhaps one of Gin Genereux or New Colossus will. Preference would be for the latter who is Eoghan O'Neill's first runner for his boss John Fretwell who targets 2yo racing (single lime colours these days but red and black going back to his Bryan McMahon hook-up). 
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