British 2yo Racing - 2007 Season
<< 2007 Season
Racing Previews Results

Racing Preview - July 11th 
Today's Races
  • [276] : Catterick 2:20, 5f Seller (6)
  • [277] : Kempton AW 6:50, 6f Maiden Fillies' (5)
  • [278] : Lingfield AW 1:40, 6f Auction (6) Div I
  • [279] : Lingfield AW 2:10, 6f Auction (6) Div II
  • [280] : Lingfield AW 3:20, 5f Nursery (5)
  • [281] : Newmarket July 2:35, 6f Group 2 Fillies' (1) "Cherry Hinton Stakes"
  • [282] : Newmarket July 4:20, 7f Maiden (2)

  • Checkout
    Trainer :
    Paddock Review :
  • Lingfield Nursery - Virtual Paddock. A typical group of ready types with little scope to grow in 'frame terms'. All a little high in the ratings but produce a tight-knit handicap between the 9 pictured and being in-form and top condition will count. Victorian Bounty has not been paddock reviewed and may be better treated off 77 than, say, Ben off 79.
  • Ratings :
    Other :
  • The two Divisions of the Auction at Lingfield look low quality with Ruby Delta preferred of the runners with form in the first race. The second Division lacks runners with the quality of form of even Ruby Delta & Southwest Star. The filly Maddy in Div I and Solent Ridge in the second will be interesting to follow to see how they compete in thses lesser events .

  •   July 10th Summary : 
     
    • The Cherry Hinton Stakes at Newmarket's July Course over 6f has 15 declared with 11 of them having run at Royal Ascot. Three were in the 5f Queen Mary - winner Elletelle (penalised 3lb), fourth Francesca D'Gorgio and 16th Kylayne. The other 8 come from the 6f Albany Stakes, in order, You'resothrilling (2nd), Aide Memoir (4th), Cute (5th), Janina (6th), Waveline (7th), Loch Jipp (9th), Festoso (11th) & Eileens Violet (12th). The four remaining fillies include Thought Is Free who ran second in the 6f Listed Empress Stakes here 10 days ago, two recent AW debut winners for reliable younger trainers (Green Oasis & Eat Pie) and newcomer Nahoodh. The final named represents the same trainer and owner combination that won the Albany with Nijoom Dubai. Owner Jaber Abdullah regularly gets these better fillies via the Channon stable in various ways and Nahoodh has missed two previous debuts because of the wet ground. The 'Class Ladder' for the race is below.
    B2yoR [Est] Level Cherry Hinton Stakes
    86-90
    81-85 You'resothrilling (84)
    Janina (82)
    Elletelle (82 -3 = 79)
     
    76-80 Francesca D'Gorgio (80)
     
    71-75
    Loch Jipp (73)
    Cute (72), Green Oasis (72?), Nahoodh (72?)

    Aide Memoir (70)

    66-70
    Thought Is Free (68), Waveline (68)
     
    61-65

    Kylayne (62), Eat Pie (62?)
    Eileen's Violet (61), Festoso (61) 

    56-60
    • The Queen Mary winner Elletelle was keeping on well at the end of the race and suggesting this 6f shouldn't be beyond her. She is on the small side and with a 3lb penalty ought to find the best of the field a little too strong. Jeremy Noseda ran Francesca D'Gorgio in the 5f Queen Mary and Baffled in the 6f Albany at Royal Ascot and both ran like the race distance was too short for them, getting outpaced as the efforts got made 2f from home and then keeping on well late into the last furlong. On profile and run style she seems likely to improve from her performance in the Queen Mary and compete well here.
    • Looking at the eight fillies who ran in the Albany Stakes a natural question is why should the order they finished in be any different. Given usable ground and no draw bias at Newmarket (although the centre to far side often looks better) why shouldn't they run to much the same level? The runner-up You'resothrilling had too apparent excuses for a performance below her best with missing the break by a couple of lengths and then getting blocked as she looked to make her later race run (the winner went by her at this point as she was getting clear). 
    • The second of those points is valid but missing the break may have been an advantage. After a furlong she, along with Nijoom Dubai, Waveline, Cute and Aide Memoire were is a close group together at the back of the far side group. In effect they missed the fastish pace and were on the far side which proved to be the best ground through the week. The last three fillies on that list all made notable ground later in the race down the same path that the winner and You'resothrilling took and all seemed to run better then expected. None of them stood out in physical terms so it seems likely they had the advantage of track bias and race position.
    • The filly who had none of those advantages at Ascot was Janina who raced closest to the pace of the first 9 home (the 10th was Miss Versatile who pressed the leader in third and has placed a solid third in a Listed race since) and furthest over to the stands' side. She didn't stop in the last 2f and was still going on at the line but couldn't find the forward effort of the group over towards the far rail. There is a fair chance that wasn't entirely her fault given the later successes for high drawn horses in the big field handicaps at the Royal Meeting. She did stand out as a physical type although a little lightly made behind.
    • In summary, after the Albany Stakes we were all left wondering where Nijoom Dubai's improvement had come from, an issue discussed in a Preview at the time. The rest of the result made some sort of sense if you factored in some far side bias. None of the fillies behind You'resothrilling on her side appeal as likely improvers so she sets the standard. Janina is the most likely to step forward from that race and has the physical size and scope to challenge for the win. Elleteel should run well but likely to find one or two better at the weights. Francesca D'Gorgio the best each-way alternative to surprise. Of the other Green Oasis should come out best but short of the top four on profile and achievement.
    • The card also features a 7f maiden which has a tradition for producing strong fields with great future significance. You can already hear the TV pundit saying "..set your Videos for this one there are sure to be lots of winners out of it...". Well, sometimes there are and sometimes there aren't. A look at last year's - Result - shows three later winners, none above Novice level, and a lot of disappointing types behind midfield. Try as you might there weren't any real 'eyecatchers' to find. As a general point the 'emptyness' of many Newmarket maidens would make an interesting article and the big stables may run a their lesser types close to home. This field has plenty of juveniles from the 'right' connections who cost enough money and/or are well realted but what will the race actually produce in terms of later winners.
    • Empty Newmarket maidens brings us to Godolphin and Rio De La Plata. We shouldn't complain of course, at least he's made it to the track, where are the stacks of 2yos of 2006 that never ran?? Where's Bold Glance? Anyway, he made a so-so debut in a weak looking maiden at the track and not far in fromt of the seller quality Betty's Touch. He got into a little bother as he made his forward move but it wasn't happening very quickly anyway. Opposing runners from that race seems a reasonable approach. Strategic Mission was supported on his debut and at the time it looked a less than sparkling first effort in the initial southern 7f maiden of the year at Sandown. It looks a little better with the good win of the fifth but the trainer's runners haven't tended to go on much from debut recently. He sets the standard to beat for those that have run ahead of Hamdan's first string Mujaadel but looks vulnerable to a better newcomers.
    • Peter Chapple-Hyam's Visconti is likely to be one of the better prepared debuts but looked short of better class at the sales and probably poor value at shorter odds. The three that appeal most as strong debuts are Exhibition, Jabal Tariq & at longer odds Dubai Samurai. Neville Callaghan has only run one in the race in the last few years with Kilworth a supported second in 2005. He got Exhibition from the Coolmore team to train as recompense for them taking Excellent art away to Ballydoyle but he has made very positive remarks about this colt and the better ones make better debuts for him. Jabal Tariq cost 300,000 guineas as a half brother to Best Of The Bests and several not anyway near as good. He looked above average at the sales but not high class and a likely solid debut here. His trainer has a mixed record with debuts at the course over 7f with mostly places in good years and none placed in 2006, for example. In general, the better ones will place and occasionally win (like Killybegs to make the point over quality) FTO. SPs tend to be a mild indicator.
    • Trainer John Hills would be on a B2yoR list of trainers to be wary of but when he has a good one he does tend to try to get them to show up well on debut. He has only run four on debut at the track in recent years with a 16/1 winner and a 50/1 3rd by useful types and an unplaced run for another useful type. He has been very positive about Dubai Samurai in interview and he has the profile to support the view he could be the longer price surprise type.
    • LINGFIELD NURSERY :-
    Horse Official
    Rating
    B2yoR
    [Est]
    Difference Notes
    Ten Down 87 62 (59-58) -25 Small, precocious. 87 a high rating and shown signs of form tailing. Trainer has good record getting nursery wins though.
    Concertmaster 84 56 -28 Improved last time with stable in better form. 84 high but usable in this close knit handicap where being in-from with a little scope will matter.
    Ben 79 53 
    (Last 3 = 44-48-34)
    -27 Ready physical type on season's first day behind two others in this race. Signs of form tailing. 79 ought to be too high.
    Victorian Bounty 77 60 -17 Rating of 60 from Edinburgh race suspect given performance of horses behind later. Not paddock reviewed.
    Maybe I Wont 76 50 -26 Trainer unreliable and a little over-rated. Unappealing profile.
    Carolini Blini 73 49 -24 Shown a little improvement for AW and development but doesn't come from strong races.
    A Wish For You 71 47 (36-32) -24 (-35) Best rating suspect, excuses last time but overall form level and quality below a 71.
    Choisky 71 44 (22-20) -27 Two poor fades either side of staying on from well behind at Kempton. 
    Hucking Harmony 70 43 (42) -27 Frantic pacemaker who has more ability than she has shown if she could ever settle.
    Flying Indian 70 47 (43-27) -23 (-27) On paddock review she looked a 65-70 OR type on her debut and 70 not unusable in a weaker race. Has looked better at 6f and 5f form less god.
    Back to Top of Page

    © British 2yo Racing. All rights reserved.