27 Apr
| Brenin Taran was retained was bred by the trainer's
family and retained at the 2yo sale for a minimum bid. Since they presumably
still have the mare and other foals coming through Mr Simcock's top priority
is to get a win with this one so that the later sales offerings look more
attractive on paper. Which probably plays a part in the 'send it to Brighton'
approach. He ran in the big field for the conditions race at the Newmarket
Craven meeting and closed through to fourth from 12th, and last, at halfway.
He was aided in this by the pacemakers stalling and a good ride from his
jockey in woking a clear path from the far rail to the centre to
make his ground.
Because it was a conditions race at a major track the traditional handicappers
have to give it a high rating and Brenin Taran would get something around
OR 80 for that debut run. The shape of the race and the way he lost ground
at the star would mean you would have to think he's a 90+ type with a clear
run and handling this course. If he really is that he should win this by
five lengths. He probably only ran something in the 60s at Newmarket however
and we will find out more about the quality of the race from Rayvin Mad's
second go at Leicester the day before this race. Either way, he should
be at his peak here and capable of running to OR late 70s and has a closing
style which would go well even if he doesn't handle the downhill too well.
The Newmarket course is quite undulating and he handled the downhill part
well enough there as he made ground down it. In summary, a strong contender,
although not as strong as the 'OR80 debut' makes him sound.
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