02 Apr
| The other newcomer is another example of how trainer's
keep going back to what has worked for them to some extent in the past.
Back in 1999 Karl Burke bought a cheap filly by an unfashionable sire and
she was called Ash Moon. She proved to be a useful 2yo and she won on debut
on May 27th - his absolutely typical period for FTO winners. She also won
STO before finding Listed and Group races too much of a stretch. Lady
Kingston is the third foal from Ash Moon and Mr Burke has bought them
all but without having a 2yo winner with one to date.
In general his earliest debuts tend to need the outing to develop fitness
and nous and FTO wins before later May are rare. He won a similar race
to this in 2005 with the useful Chjimes in early April but that was ability
overcoming the lack of debut priming. Until last year an early debut like
this would indicate a usable 2yo, probably at a lower level, who might
not win until into May and perhaps 3-4TO. He was 0-3 for season's winners
with his first three runners in 2007 who proved to be too limited to turn
minor places into wins as the competition got stiffer.
Unless Lady Kingston is useful whe's likely to find this too hot for her
and more one to assess for which side of the 'season winner' line she is
likely to fall.
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