British 2yo Racing - 2008 Season
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Racing Review - April 13th 
Races :-
  • None until Monday 14th at Windsor

  •   April 13th Thoughts : 
     
    • No 2yo race this Sunday but an interesting week coming up with the first race of the season at Windsor on Monday and two important races at the Newmarket Craven Meeting on the Wednesday & Thursday. On the first day at Newmarket there is a Class 3 Conditions race which last year saw Listed race winner Spirit of Sharjah win from later Group 1 winner Dark Angel. This is followed by a 5f maiden for fillies' on the Thursday which saw four useful 2yos in the first four places last year.
    • In general a range of trainers introduce some better 2yos at the meeting if their string is forward enough. Barry Hills has been an important recent contributor with Red Clubs 6th at the meeting in 2005 (Coventry Stakes winner), Captain Marvelous (3rd on day and German Group 2 victor) & Silk Blossom (debut winner & Lowther Stakes victress) in 2006, and Mookhlesa (debut winner sole run), Spinning Lucy (3rd to Mookhlesa and Listed winner later) & Dark Angel (2nd on day and Group 1 winner). The group he started at the meeting between 2002-4 weren't that good but on recent evidence we should take anything he runs at the meeting pretty seriously.
    • Thursday is also the day when the Tim Easterby 'Romantic Myth' maiden is run at Ripon. He seems to target this race with his best early filly each year and often gets a rare debut winner. He has won the race in the last two seasons with Kerrys Dream & Cristal Clear who both proved to be useful handicappers rather than Group types.
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    • The rest of this space will be used for some paddock notes from Folkestone on Thursday and a couple of more general points. The field was cut to four runners and the absence of Hannon's Celtic Commitment was a notable miss. 
    • The short priced favourite in his absence was Northern Tour who presented as a likeable physical type - remarkably physically mature compared to the early season horses seen so far. Strong and squarely built although just averagely athletic in movement. A different stamp to the Brocklesby fourth Lagan Handout by comparison despite the fact he finished behind that one at Doncaster.
    • He wasn't really tested for 5f speed in the race with the two bigger colts failing to various degrees and only challenged to any extent by the lightweight filly Soul Sista. He broke well and got to the rail and set an average pace which he pressed on with soon after halfway. He had to be asked again a furlong out to keep the filly from overlapping with him but won a little comfortably. Has some scope to improve phsycally and should rate OR80+.
    • Soul Sista was a typical early seller class winner for John Spearing on profile. She's small, notably narrow and lack build although on the plus side she's a good mover despite being 'up behind'. She looked the usable seller type in review and it was a little surprising she managed to push Northern Tour at all given the physical mismatch it looked and her slow start. It raises questions over the strength of the form although the trainer has started getting the best out of these limited fillies early in the last two seasons and she may well be the same. OR58-67 type probably.
    • It has been noted before that two sons of Indian Ridge - Namid & Compton Place - are sires both tend to get bigger 2yos who can be lengthy and a 'boaty' with it. A good number of these can't move well enough to use the strength they have because of the overall set-up. When you get a bigger one that 'works' well mechanically you have a good one. Another problem with this 'sizeable boat' type is that they can be lightly built and lack the power to push themselves along even if he mechanics is usable.
    • Sorrel Ridge is by Namid and if you look at the picture he shows a lot of what you can get. He's taller and a bit leggy and long in the body with it plus upright in front. The picture only hints at it but he's a little narrow in the body and you can also see that he's more lightly built behind. Imagine that shape and size but with the stonger, deeper bodied muscle of Northern Tour and you might well have something pretty good. Now, this one is going to be limited by his lack of build to some extent but he did show solid enough athleticism despite that lenth and legginess. In the preliminaries he got very wound out and this may have affected his preformance.
    • In the race the jockey didn't seem to work very hard in asking him to participate. He sat close enough to the average pace to past halfway but got left behind as Northern Tour made his effort and the jockey was easy with him and allowed him to drift back. While he's underpowered he ought to have been able to match the filly Soul Sista. On the probably-better-than-he-showed list and ought to be able to rate around 72, say.
    • The fourth runner was one of a batch of homes breds Mick Channon has produced so far. Strictly Royal is entered for the Conditions race at Newmarket next week which ought to mean they think he might be a solid winner. The picture shows a good sized 2yo with solid muscle. However, he appeared to be too lengthy through the body and this raised an issue about whether his movement behind was correct. On size and strength he ought to be a 70+ rater but the movement issue was one of a number that raise doubts. On the day he wasn't fit enough to compete strongly and he was mentally immature and entirely different in outlook to the 'manly' Northern Tour. Added to that he was visored for debut which suggests they are trying to get him to concentrate and co-operate.
    • In the race he ran badly with a slow start and then driven along soon after the end of the first furlong. This might have been mental awkwardness or perhaps movement issues with him unable to raise that pace given the fitness and st-up issues. 5 lengths back at halfway behind just an average pace he soon dropped furthe rback as the leader upped the pace and didn't respond to being whipped inside the final 2 furlongs. One to avoid until he shows he is on-side although not dismissable because of his size, strength and scope for mental and fitness improvements.
    • A couple of other asides. During the week it was reported that John Dunlop's filly Muthabara had been working well and was close to 1,000 Guineas favouritism with Listen out of the race. If we go back to June 26th last year she made her debut at Newbury in a race where there were 5 non-runners because of the soft ground. The race looked a thin one with the no-shows and she won comfortably but none of those behind won a race at 2yo. The interesting point was that she was second string for Dunlop and also for owner Hamdan Al Maktoum. He also ran Sayedati Elhasna on debut in the event and she had Richard Hills aboard (as Hamdan's retained jockey) and started favourite. Both fillies were bandaged for their first runs and typically fit and lean for a trainer dbut runner.
    • Which poses the question that if they had done enough work to be that fit and had probably worked together what was Muthabara doing as second string? On paddock review it was a relatively simple choise with Muthabara just plain bigger, wider and better than the, slightly scrawny, Sayedati Elhasna. Muthabara only ran once more, again on softer ground and on a filthy wet day at Sandown (what a terrific summer 2007 was for standing outside a lot). She showed a recordable change of pace to get from well behind to 4th a furlong out and then to get comfortably to the front. If she has filled out and strengthened up from 2yo to 3yo you could imagine her looking quite good now - she was more of a lightly made 'frame' at 2yo. Interesting to see how she compares physically to her 2yo picture when she reappears.
    • While on 3yo fillies a positive word for Andrew Balding's Ada River who made a likeable debut in a late season maiden at Newmarket last year to finish fifth in a large field. She reappeared at Kempton on Wednesday and in a field for a maiden she stood out as something different in the pre-parade ring - Picture. The image doesn't show her to her best with her head down pulling but she's a good size, neatly proportioned and powerful behind. Unsurprisingly if you had seen her in comparison to the rest she was supported in the market to dispute favouritism.
    • Int he race things didn't go her way but she overcame the difficulties with little fuss. Breaking slowly she was in last along the back turn. Jockey Buick decided to take her the long way around the outside of the field around the bend but, sensibly, took the view he could take the whole of the bend and the straight to complete the manouevre (unlike the typically 'head down' effort from Adrian Nicholls on Van Bossed the next night). Into the straight and the more nippily sized Dubai Power took a clear lead going down to the final furlong. Which meant Ada River had to go and fetch her after the effort she had already made to go around the field. After realising what was required she did this comfortably and wasn't even blowing in the winner's enclosure. You got the impression that she's better than an 80 handicapper and ought to be 90+ and touching Listed level. Interesting to see what the BHA number juggler gives her to start her handicap career. (With Balding in good form the previous night the talk on Thursday was all about Your Pleasure being Listed class and a certainty for his handicap starter. That proved a less successful effort than Ada River's.)

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