British 2yo Racing - 2008 Season
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Racing Previews Results

Racing Preview - June 10th 
Races :-
  • 173: Chester 6:45, 5.1f Maiden (4)
  • 174: Redcar 2:30, 6f Maiden (5)
  • 175: Redcar 3:00, 6f Claimer (6)
  • 176: Salisbury 2:15, 6f Auction (5)

  •   June 10th Summary : 
     
    • Here's Jamie Osborne in enthusogush mode - "..I love this horse and mark my words you'll be hearing a lot more about him. He was a steal at 25,000 and I wouldn't sell him for 100 grand now because he's a very smart colt. He's just got natural pace but on pedigree he should not just be a 5f horse and I pray that he's not. He'll win his maiden at 5f and at this moment he's got 'top hat and tails' written all over him and I'd be bitterly disappointed if he doesn't get there [i.e. Royal Ascot]. I think he'll be the best of my early types. I had two colts [Cee Bargara & Mount Pleasure, both duel winners before Royal Ascot] that ran very well in the Coventry Stakes last year and they wouldn't live with him."
    • Mr Osborne does apparently time the work that his 2yos do which would make you think that this wasn't just hype. He's also targeted 2yo racing and getting precocious winners in recent seasons. This year has been a poor start for him with that background and he has only got his first two winners, at all, in the last 3 days with The Dial House winning 3TO at Brighton on Sunday and Sub Prime ("..he'll be out first 2yo runner and he's sharp but probably the weakest link of our early season horses") winning the first 'worst seller of the year' at Folkestone yesterday. So where is that quote from the first paragraph from and which horse is it about?
    • It's from Taplin's "Two Year Olds of 2008" which is now published by Raceform after 22 years of being in the Timeform Fold. The interviews with the trainers are done from late March into April. Mr Osborne was getting all excited about Blown It in the first quote who is one of his two debut runners in the 6f auction at Salisbury. Assuming that Shane Kelly normally rides his better horses it isn't clear that he's even first string with Kelly riding Co Dependent. We can presume that Blown It isn't the 5f bullet catcher of the quote but what has happened in the last two months that he turns up in a lowly auction the week before Royal ascot. You presume he has been caught up in whatever malaise has been affecting the yard that they seem to be coming out of. He's clearly going to be a fascinating horse to watch on the day and for the future and so is Co Dependent if he is actually now the better horse. Perhaps Mr Osborne saw Blown It as the precocious type who could win twice before the Royal Meeting and has missed that opportunity and doesn't have more long term prospects.

    Race Virtual Paddocks FTO P&L Qualifiers
    • Madame Trop Vite  (Chester, KA Ryan, 5f). A very open race lacking any runner with a strong profile and a 'surprise' result quite possible. Stable jockey Callan rides and a breeze-up retainee for connections that have provided high class juveniles for him recently. However, drawn in stall 10 which is a really tough assignment.
    • The better drawn horses in the race don't have strong debut profiles. Mark Brisbourne hasn't had a debut winner in the period 1999-2007 and no debut runner has won at the course in 2002-7. Which doesn't make Lily Waters look attractive. In stall 2 is a very expensive breeze up purchase who ought to be some good but his trainer (returning to train for a major owner) has had two woeful debuts so far. The breeze up preparation wasn't done by him so perhaps this one will be better. But not tempting either. Josiah Bartlett is on his third run in stall 3 but has shown little and faded badly after some early pace. 
    • Robin The Till is in 4 and drops back to 5f after going berserk over 6f on puddingy ground last time and fading. He was nearly 3 lengths clear after a furlong after a very slick break that time. He broke left FTO which is less of a problem on this course. He ought to be able to get to the lead but has faded tamely in the previous two runs and hasn't proved he would see this, relatively stiff, 5f out. More newcomers for non-FTO trainers in 5 & 6 including a very small half sister to Group 1 sprinter Reverence for Eric Alston who might well place.
    • Another early-pace fader in 7 and a moderate type in 8 for Alan Berry. Stall 9 is another pace forcer and given the newcomers Robin The Till might have Neo's Mate & Dedante (the 9 occupant) chasing him and see who fades first. We are now out into the 'car-park' draws and haven't found a strong profile. The trainer who does get surprise debut winners at this time is Ron Hollinshead but his Tillers Satisfied is in box 12 and is a newcomer lacking a real 5f pedigree.
    • Which is why Robin The Till, with his excuses for two moderate final results to date, comes out on top and you can still believe Madame Trop Vite (she'll need to be less than trop vite for this contest) might get involved in the straight.
    • Moroccan Party  (Redcar 2:30, MW Easterby, Long Shot). Mr Easterby hasn't run the normal range of 2yos so far. Those he has run have looked moderate and other than Carmanjoe haven't got involved. This is another owner bred with a moderate pedigree.
    • Salisbury :-
    • Cavendish Road (WR Muir, 5-6f). First of his second batch of starters. The longer priced debut winners tend to come along from Jul on.
    • Endofmytether  (PD Evans, Long Shot). Late debut for trainer who starts the 2yos early normally. Has a non sprint pedigree and is by the new sire Needwood Blade who's raft of early runners have made no impact. He showed only moderate 2yo form before developing into a Group/Grade 3 type as an older horse after going up the handicap with wins at 3yo. The dam here didn't win until she was 5yo. Mr Evans will still get odd debut wins in this type of race with the right material for early mid-season debuts but this isn't an obvious better type for 'now'. Well drawn in 18 if she can ping the break.

    ~ CHES 6:45 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    4 ROBIN THE TILL [33] - 3 10 2 -8 35
    8 MADAME TROP VITE [28] +5 1 33
    5 DEDANTE [25] +5 4 21 3 14 17
    11 TILLERS SATISFIED [24] +5 1 37
    1 COGNAC BOY [20] - 1
    3 JOSIAH BARTLETT [18] - 3 13 2 -14 32
    7 LILY WATERS [15] +5 1 15
    6 IMPRESSIBLE [14] +5 1 14
    12 USUAL SUSPECTS [14] +5 1 26
    9 NEO'S MATE [10] +5 4 -1 2 -1 12
    2 JACK JICARO [6] - 1 31
    10 THAT BOY RONALDO [5] +5 2 -46 1 -46 2

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    ~ RDCR 2:30 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    1 COUNTRYWIDE CITY [34] - 2 19 1 19 44
    3 DORIC ECHO [32] - 1 35
    9 SURUOR [28] - 2 17 1 17 38
    6 NEEDWOOD LAD [25] - 1 32
    10 TAGULA BREEZE [24] - 3 33 2 -2
    8 PEDREGAL [21] - 2 -13 2 -13 32
    4 JETHRO BODINE [17] - 3 14 1 14 29
    5 MOROCCAN PARTY [16] - 1 16
    16 ORPHANED ANNIE [15] +5 3 13 2 -68
    13 BUBBLY BABY [14] +5 1 18
    14 DAVANA [13] +5 1 29
    17 SCENIC PASS [13] +5 1 34
    2 DISPOL GRAND [11] - 2 5 1 5 19
    12 ALACITY [9] +5 1
    7 NORTHERN SHORE [8] - 1
    11 TEN CENTS A DANCE [5] - 2 -12 1 -12 18
    15 LOOK FOR VALUE [0] +5 3 -2 1 -2 29

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    ~ RDCR 3:00 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    2 TITO GOBBI [24] - 3 14 1 14 30
    12 DISPOL TOBA [18] +14 4 13 2 -31 19
    1 NCHIKE [14] -1 4 1 3 -12 39
    6 COMGHAIRE [10] +5 2 6 1 6 30
    4 ELAINE'S FOLLY [10] +4 2 5 1 5 30
    3 INCA SLEW [8] +1 2 2 1 2 30
    7 APPROVED [4] +8 3 -12 1 -12 16
    8 MIMICKER [3] +8 2 -24 1 -24 16
    5 RIOS BOY [2] +4 3 -33 2 -42 18
    10 SCARLET BLADE [2] +8 3 -7 2 -15 25
    9 MISS XU XIA [1] +8 2 -11 1 -11
    11 ENNOVY [0] +11 2 -28 1 -28 29

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    ~ SALS 2:15 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    8 MEASUREMENT [37] - 2 25 1 25 35
    4 MINDER [31] -4 2 21 1 21 22
    10 ROYAL EXECUTIONER [30] - 1 44
    3 CO DEPENDENT [28] -4 1 31
    11 GIVE [28] +1 1 35
    16 ROCKSY [25] +5 1 32
    2 BLOWN IT [22] -4 1 31
    9 MY BEST MAN [22] - 1 20
    6 CITY DIAMOND [18] - 1 27
    17 KOSAMA [18] +8 1 34
    5 CAVENDISH ROAD [17] - 1 30
    15 ENDOFMYTETHER [17] +5 1 30
    18 LADY MULLIGAN [17] +8 1 23
    7 HI SHINKO [15] - 1 20
    13 TRIGGER MCCANN [12] +3 1 21
    1 BA GLOBETROTTER [10] -4 2 -34 1 -34 34
    14 DAMASSIN [8] +5 1 20
    12 LUCKY BID [1] +3 1

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