British 2yo Racing - 2008 Season
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Racing Previews Results

Racing Preview - August 18th 
Races :-
  • 548: Lingfield AW 4:00, 7f Novice (4)
  • 549: Windsor 6:00, 6f Maiden Fillies' (5)
  • 550: Wolverhampton AW 2:45, 6f Nursery (4)
  • 551: Yarmouth 5:20, 6f Maiden (6)
  • 552: Yarmouth 5:50, 6f Claimer (6)

  •   August 18th Summary : 
     

    Race Virtual Paddocks FTO P&L Qualifiers
    • Albertine Rose (Windsor, WR Muir, 5-6f Debuts). Trainer's profits over the last three years have depended upon a single, longer priced, winner at the distance range. These have been in July, August (in a similar 6f fillies' maiden at Windsor) & October. He has his debut runners competent enough to run well FTO with the right mix of horse ability and race strength. The market used to have no idea which are the better ones and because it doesn't do much by way of judging the field on the day in physical terms the longer priced winners occur. In 2005-7 the stable had 48 debuts of which just one started at less than 12/1 and just 4 below 16/1. The exception was 8/1 and unplaced on both juvenile runs.
    • With that background this season has been unusual with 4 of the 8 debuts to date being at less than 10/1. Three of the last four debuts have been between 9/2 & 8/1 and have finished 2nd along with two fourths. All three have failed to win STO to confirm the view of a trainer who struggles to get wins with 2yos in a predictable manner. But, a slightly worrying development if you want a 33/1 winner from him in that some information seems to be leaking marketwards now.
    • The Windsor race has enough to keep Albertine Rose well into double figures. Amongst the runners is the Godolphin newcomer Moonlife who cost 120,000 guineas at the Tattersalls Craven breeze-up sale in April. The last time a preview noted that Saeed bin Suroor seems to have his 2yos less ready for debut these days he had his only FTO success this year with Gamila (supported) in a weak race at Nottingham.
    • In this current batch of debuts he had three newcomers run two days ago of whom two were was a volunteer thirds well behind the first two and the other was unplaced. They included a even more expensive breeze-up purchase from the same sale. On balance, the debuts still seem to be less ready than in previous seasons. Dettori is at Yarmouth and rides newcomer  Dream Of Mine while Ted Durcan rides Moonlife.
    • The windsor race has four fillies in that have shown moderate form and would set just an average standard for a solid newcomer. D'Nurse was well adrift in third when behind Marine Boy at Newbury and clearly bring him, or even the second Molly Glen (won a moderate Newbury race over the weekend), is misleading. Solitary has never looked 'the part' and her form regressed STO when she looked in poor condition. Tropical Paradise hasn't shown much ability in two early runs and returns from a break and it will be interesting to see how she has strengthened up. Peninsular Girl is a small filly for the 150,000gns she cost but has shown the best form and makes most appeal of those fillies.
    • William Haggas runs two on debut with Dream Date the apparent first string and he said some complimentary things about her in early season and expected her to be out in May. Something has got in the way of that but she has prospected of being good enough to compete for the win or place FTO. His other newcomer is the 17th foal out of Council Rock whose most famous daughter is Superstar Leo. Zellers is apparently a pretty small one, as is often the case with foals out of old mare, so this semms more likely to be getting her started to see whether she can compete at all.
    • In Summary at Windsor, the paddock review should quickly be able to match up the chances of Dream Date, Moonlife & Tropical Paradise against Peninsular Girl. Those with form aren't frightening on what we've seen so a newcomer could compete well. If Albertine Girl is the bigger type of Namid stock she could go well and the market might be some indicator if she gets below 16/1. 
    • The crutch for punters of being able to mark up strongly anything drawn in double figures on the course and forget those in stalls 1-6 has been absent for much of this year with the prevailing softer going. This seems likely to be the case again and the best horses, that handle the going, should be able to win from any draw.

    ~ LNGA 4:00 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    2 WAR NATIVE [56] - 2 38 1 38 37
    3 LAAHIG [51] +3 3 48 2 31
    4 FISHER HILL [48] +7 3 22 1 22 33
    1 VERSAKI [48] - 4 42 1 42 35
    7 LOULOU [44] +16 1
    5 FULLBACK [42] +7 3 37 2 25 21
    6 MR DEAL [29] +13 1 20

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    ~ WDSR 6:00 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    7 DREAM DATE [38] - 1 40
    13 PENINSULA GIRL [36] - 3 34 2 10 34
    4 CAUGHT ON CAMERA [32] - 1 32
    1 ALBERTINE ROSE [30] - 1 30
    6 D'NURSE [30] - 3 21 2 -61 35
    15 TROPICAL PARADISE [30] - 3 23 1 23 29
    14 SOLITARY [29] - 3 32 1 32 29
    11 MOONLIFE [24] - 1 49
    12 MY SUPERSTAR [22] - 1 37
    8 EQUININE [19] - 2 -60 1 -60 37
    9 ESPECIALLY SPECIAL [16] - 1 31
    16 ZELLERS [15] - 2 40
    5 CHAMPION GIRL [8] - 1 18
    2 ASSENT [7] - 1 20
    3 BRAISHFIELD LASS [0] - 1 25
    10 IT'S DUBAI DOLLY [0] - 1

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    ~ WTON 2:45 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    6 HELPMERONDA [42] - 4 22 3 14
    5 RIDGEWAY SILVER [41] -1 6 20 4 2 22
    1 CRYSTAL MOMENTS [40] -18 4 35 3 31 32
    3 ABHAINN [38] -8 5 31 3 16 36
    4 SPARKLING CRYSTAL [36] -3 5 29 1 29 37
    2 GONE HUNTING [32] -15 7 29 3 24 10

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    ~ YARM 5:20 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    8 DOCTOR PARKES [38] - 3 40 1 40 36
    13 CHASING AMY [34] +5 2 17 1 17 22
    3 BRAZILIAN ART [33] - 3 33 2 -17 44
    15 DREAM OF MINE [33] +5 1 49
    16 NIZHONI DANCER [28] +5 2 19 1 19 17
    1 AL WUJOOD [19] - 1 36
    2 ARTEUS [18] - 1 36
    4 BUBSES BOY [18] - 2 3 1 3 32
    14 COCONUT SHY [18] +5 4 15 3 14
    10 GENERAL ZHUKOV [15] - 1 34
    6 DICE [14] - 1 32
    11 HIGHLAND RIVER [14] - 2 -3 1 -3 27
    5 CAPTAIN CHURCHILL [13] - 1
    7 DITTO DITTO [9] - 1
    12 OUTLAND [6] - 1 28
    9 FAWAZ [0] - 3 -15 1 -15 28

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    ~ YARM 5:50 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    4 SIMPLE RHYTHM [36] - 5 29 3 -52 22
    1 FARAWAY SOUND [35] -8 7 39 2 24 30
    5 SILENT TREATMENT [28] +5 6 14 3 -42 21
    3 BOLD ACCOUNT [13] - 4 5 1 5 35
    2 PERSIAN TOMCAT [7] -5 4 1 1 1 24

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