British 2yo Racing - 2008 Season
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Racing Previews Results

Racing Preview - August 24th 
Races :-
  • 577: Beverley 2:30, 8.5f Maiden (5)
  • 578: Beverley 3:40, 5f Nursery (4)
  • 579: Goodwood 5:05, 8f Auction (5)
  • 580: Yarmouth 2:20, 6f Maiden (5)

  •   August 24th Summary : 
     

    Race Virtual Paddocks FTO P&L Qualifiers
    • Spinight  (Yarmouth, M Botti, All Debuts). Trainer's 7th debut of the year and none of the other 6 have won. But that hides the fact that 4 of the 6 have placed with Kouloura's second at 16/1 two days ago to add to the list of places 9/1 and 10/1 twice. The other two FTOs have finished 4th in double figure fields. So, the trainer is still showing the previous traits of not running the horses until they are ready to show a lot of their inate ability. 
    • He also only seems to run those who he is sure can win at 2yo or are definitely not going to develop so need to run now. Of the four who have run at least twice three have won STO at SPs of 4/1, 3/1 & 6/1. An interesting trainer to follow.
    • Spinight is a cheap purchase for an Italian owner (he has a similar newcomer tomorrow for the same man) with an Italian 7lb apprentice on. So not an obviously better class one but should be ready enough to look after himself. 
    • The Yarmouth maiden is interesting with Donativum likely to favourite and a distinct possibility he will end up at too short a price. He got lost in a big field on debut and was in the process of closing up on Free Agent when he hung and bumped into that rival and lost ground. He dropped to 5f for a Listed race at Royal Ascot and finished 7th. Like many Royal Ascot races the form is easy to over-rate and those around him and close behind him haven't suggested the form was that strong.
    • He returns after a break having shown flashes of form but not as high class as it is possibly to suggest. He has a solid opponent in Magaling and Tarzan, on profile, ought to be much better than he showed FTO. Celtic Rebel was a likeable type at the sales whom the trainer was talking up as an early at the Guineas meeting. There has presumably been a problem along the way but he has prospects to be better than the average trainer debut runner (although, in his first season with the licence) his debuts have been less ready overall than his father's best 2yos were.
    • In summary, not a race to lazily think that Donativum is a certainty with his whiff of Royal Ascot about him. If he has come back mentally and physically improved he can win but doesn't look value at the forescast 11/10 range with a bit more in opposition than is visible from the form figures.

    ~ BVLY 2:30 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    4 HEADING EAST [33] - 3 30 2 27 33
    6 IT'S ME AGAIN [25] - 1 32
    5 HUXAAR [24] - 3 16 2 -31 18
    9 SERGEANT PINK [23] - 2 13 1 13
    1 BAILEYS RED [14] - 2 5 1 5 23
    11 STAR OF SOPHIA [12] +5 1 25
    7 KING'S COUNSEL [8] - 3 1 1 1 35
    3 DANDERDANDAN [5] - 2 -120 1 -120 19
    8 KINGAROO [5] - 4 5 3 -26
    10 ANOTHERBOTTLETEDDY [0] +5 1
    2 CAPTAIN CROMBY [0] - 3 -6 2 -45 28

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    ~ BVLY 3:40 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    1 FIVEFOOTNUMBERONE [42] - 7 48 2 26 29
    2 VISTERRE [41] +3 5 34 4 11 35
    6 MESYAAL [40] +14 8 34 3 30 34
    3 MO MHUIRNIN [40] +10 4 36 3 10 32
    4 CAPTAIN SCOOBY [37] +10 4 27 3 19 20
    7 DISPOL GRAND [37] +17 6 19 5 5 19
    5 WHAT A FELLA [36] +13 5 27 3 20 25

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    ~ GDWD 5:05 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    1 SEQUILLO [32] - 2 -2 1 -2 35
    2 AURORIAN [29] +1 1 35
    14 VIEN [25] +5 3 -8 1 -8 35
    5 MR UDAGAWA [24] +1 2 17 1 17 34
    9 PETER GRIMES [23] +3 3 20 2 17 14
    3 FLASHGUN [18] +1 2 9 1 9 22
    8 PERFECT SHOT [18] +3 3 18 1 18 36
    16 LA DIOSA [16] +6 2 -2 1 -2 40
    12 MYKINGDOMFORAHORSE [16] +5 3 10 2 -1 34
    11 FOXTROT CHARLIE [13] +5 2 -2 1 -2 29
    13 ORSIPPUS [13] +5 2 8 1 8 34
    6 WILFRED PICKLES [12] +1 1 32
    4 KILLMARNOCK [9] +1 3 11 1 11 39
    15 FORSTER ISLAND [7] +6 7 10 4 2 23
    18 LILY OF THE NILE [6] +9 1 22
    7 CRAFT [2] +3 4 1 1 1 35
    10 DAILY PLANET [1] +5 4 1 3 -90 31
    17 MY CHOICE [0] +6 3 -3 2 -25 28

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    ~ YARM 2:20 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    2 DONATIVUM [44] - 4 53 3 30 43
    4 MAGALING [39] - 3 33 2 32 32
    9 TARZAN [38] - 2 12 1 12 38
    1 CELTIC REBEL [34] - 1
    7 SPINIGHT [27] - 1 35
    5 MINENOTYOURS [6] - 3 3 1 3
    8 STRONGARM [3] - 2 -15 1 -15
    3 FLAMBOYANT RED [0] - 3 -29 2 -70 21
    6 MR REDFORD [0] - 3 -1 1 -1 22

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