For those who like to look at the VPs the Bath nursery has all 9 horses
pictured. The topweight is In Transit on OR73. The other eight have
official ratings as follows - Penton Hook (72), River Captain (70), Bright
Enough (69 with 6lb penalty for recent 7 length win and will presumably
be reassessed into the mid to higher 70s), Musical Maze (66), Arushore
(66), Daily Planet (60), Cherry Belle (55), Lyonesse (55).
A brief set of pointers. In Transit is running in his 6th nursery
and started on OR86, having been souped up for early season, which was
too high for his physical type. OR73 is perhaps a little high but he might
be a Channon runner that wins again in the season because he will keep
running until his OR gets down to whatever is his real level - 69, 66,
Penton Hook looks ok as an OR73 type and has a bit more size than
In Transit and a balanced enough set up. His narrowness means he lacks
pace and kept responding over 7f at Folkestone last time after others had
moved a bit more fluently at the trip. 8f looks a good move for him. River
Captain is a typical little 'un that Sylvester Kirk seems to buy a
lot of for cheap money. He showed nothing much in three maiden runs prior
to a nursery win off OR63. In particular it is worth noting his 7th at
Sandown 3TO which looks a suspect race in quality terms. The second from
that race (Beraimi) was easily beaten at Lingfield last week and Michael
Jarvis said that he showed little at home and he didn't think the Sandown
race was very good before that defeat. His nursery win was from similar
limited types and OR70 doesn't look right for him.
Bright Enough's Paddock Review notes from her debut at Folkestone
noted she looked like a heavy 'chest of drawers' and about as easy to shift
She clearly wasn't fit that day and by her seond run two weeks later she
had livened up somewhat (Picture)
to give some hop that the strength she has (packaged in a compact body
length for a 'stayer') might be shiftable. The third run saw a volunteer
second behind a clear winner and last Wednesday she turned up in a Kempton
nursery off OR63 (Picture).
She's a different girl from that podgy debutante and has added a shiny
coat and a lets-go-for-it attitude to spice up the deal (these sort of
'wellbeing' factors often show up when you see a horse being backed strongly
in the 'Market'). She wins by 8 lengths from a duff bunch. Compare her
to River Captain and she's much more powerful and believable as the better
horse. She ought to go well off OR69 if her short bodied set-up works ok
on soft going (she has to take more strides than a lengthier type).
Musical Maze finished ahead of Bright Enough during that fillies'
development runs and looking at her you can see why she 'came to hand'
quicker. Taller but very lightly built and she isn't going to need a lot
of work to get her fit. Keeping the weight on her is more likely the issue.
But, although lacking power she's rangy and athletic enough to make some
use of what she has and has won off OR61 and is OR 66 here. Probably a
bit over her ideal and needs to fill out to have scope to continue in the
60s over the next 12 months+. Comparing Bright Enough & Musical Maze
you have two different decisions in the Power/Efficiency balance. One is
powerfully built but you need to be convinced it can move efficiently.
The other is rangy and looks to move ok but you have to have doubts that
there is enough power there to make usable progress and control the rangy
Arushore is another compact litle trundler with an immature attitude
added in. He's already been beaten of OR65 and is OR66 here. Well prepared
by the trainer for his previous runs and needs to blossom to be anything
better than an okish shout off OR66 in an average race for the class. Daily
Planet scored his only positive rating in 4 runs in that Sandown 'Beraimi'
race as a further clue that it was too highly marked. Small, immature and
underpowered. Low 60s at best and probably a 50s type with the trainer.
The bottom pair of fillies are small and weak types and 55 isn't a bargain.
Try looking at Lyonesse's picture and 'small, bit-and-pieces, trundler'
might well come to mind. Try comparing her to the other Hannon runner -
Arushore - in terms of size, strength & neatness (of body geometry
and set-up) and the difference is an OR65 type to an OR55 (downhill, with
the wind behind her) type. The picture of Cherry Belle is as a yearling.
In summary the range from OR73 to OR55 is quite well demonstrated by the
field and why those that have won have managed to and why the ones above
70 or threatening to be (Bight Enough) have managed it. Remember, when
this group all appeared in maidens on debut it would be perfectly possible
to have a good stab at placing them somewhere between OR75 to OR50 on the
physical type alone. You could then have had a better handle on the likely
level of the form of the races they ran in and what the likely better types
were by comparison.