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Conclusive & Bothy (Newbury 2:40 & 3:50) as RM Beckett
for All Debuts. Trainer does get 8f debut wins unlike the majority of trainers.
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BJ Meehan does not get many debut winners but the better types later in
the season can win FTO and his overall 'educational debut' reputation means
they often start at longer odds. He has had one debut winner so far since
September with Control Zone at 9/1 at Newbury. In the past in debut winner
often indicated a Group Class horse and that runner placed in a 7f Group
3 at Newmarket last week to suggest a similar approach.
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Mr Meehan has 6 newcomers running at Newbury with the filly Rag And
Bone taking on colts in the 6.5f race at 2:10. She has a pedigree which
has improved with Raymi Coya's performances over the last eight months
and is by an above average sire. She meets a solid looking group of colts
with Noverre To Go having strong form and Film Set & Shabib
likely to step forward from ok debuts in ordinary maidens.
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The race also has a debut runner for Mick Channon for owner Jaber Abdullah
in Fantastic Dubai who provides a good number of the trainer's stronger
debut performances (he also has Dunes Queen running for the same
owner in the 1:40). Both of these are related to high class horses who
ran for the same connections and won on debut - Queen's Logic, Go On Be
A Tiger, Atlantic Sport (plus Gp1 winner Zafeen who was beaten on debut
at 5/6fav).
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So a strongish group for Rag And Bone to face and she ought to need to
be Group class to win.
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The other 5 all take part in the divisions of the 8f maiden. Mr Meehan
does get 8f debut winners and has two in 2007 from 10 goes (Bath &
Lingfield AW at 22/1 & 14/1). He had a runner in each division of the
equivalent maiden last year with Changing Skies 3rd at 11/2 and Double
Duty 5th at 14/1.
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He has three runners in the first division with STO Pagan Fight
ridden by Ryan Moore. The two newcomers are Hilbre Point (R Hughes)
& Mystic Prince (J Spencer). So, top jockeys on each but Pagan
Flight showed little at 40/1 FTO and Mystic Prince was retained for only
9,000 guineas and the dam hasn't produced a winner so he will need to have
improved a lot physically this season. Spencer rode Control Zone in both
his starts so s 'Check in the Market' might actually be worthwhile here.
If he is in single figures he might be an improver. The 'Hilbre' prefixed
horses have provided several of his debut winners over the years including
Hilbre Court over 8f last year. The division features Palavicini
for John Dunlop who disappointed in the 8f Conditions race here last time
which he was expected to win given the support. The trainer wasn't disappointed
and was always talikng about this being a horse for next year. Like many
John Dunlop 2yos he doesn't carry much condition but has a rangy movement
to go with his larger frame. A good favourite but not unbeateable by a
better class heavier weight.
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In Division two he runs three newcomers with Skanky Biscuit (Hughes),
Hope
Junior (H Turner), Mehendi (M Dwyer). The first of these
was due to take part in a maiden on at the course on the same day as Control
Zone's win. He was supported at each-way prices and got a poisitive Paddock
Review before being withdrawn at the post having refused to enter the stalls.
He looks the first string on jockeys and steps up to 8f. Lots of other
interesting debut types in a large field but Michael Stoute runs Tactic
on his second outing and you have to believe he is here to try to win and
looked a superior type before his educational kick-off at the course (on
the same day as Phillipina who missed her intended second run at Leicester
on Tuuesday).
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