British 2yo Racing - 2008 Season
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Racing Preview - October 31st 
Races :-
  • 1011: Newmarket 12:05, 6f Maiden (4)
  • 1012: Newmarket 12:40, 7f Maiden (c&g) (4) Div I
  • 1013: Newmarket 1:15, 7f Maiden (c&g) (4) Div II
  • 1014: Newmarket 1:50, 6f Fillies' Listed (1) "Bosra Sham Stakes"
  • 1015: Wolverhampton AW 6:50, 5.1f Nursery (5)
  • 1016: Wolverhampton AW 8:50, 8.6f Maiden Fillies' (5)
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      October 31st Summary : 
     
    • Profile ratings for the Newmarket races in the tables below.
    Race Virtual Paddocks FTO P&L Qualifiers
    • Cheddar George (Newmarket 12:40), African Art & Hilbre Point (Newmarket 1:15). BJ Meehan's September+ debuts. Martin Dwyer would appear to be the preferred jockey du jour and rides Cheddar George & African Art.
    • The template for Meehan debuts is that he goes very easy with most FTOs and wins and places are rare and SPs usually in double figures. However, he tends to get debut winners with high class runners at two periods during the season. The first is in late April to early May with his best 5-6f types. He didn't have a naturally precocious one this year and did not have a debut winner in that period. The later Group placed Gallagher was 6th as 5/2 favourite (a notably short price).
    • The second period is in later season over 7-8f with high class runners. In previous seasons the normal longer priced SPs of all his debut 2yos have meant that he has returned a profit in many years. This year he has had 2 debut winners from 22 goes to date from the start of September. They were Control Zone & Skanky Biscuit who were due to run in separate divisions of the same 7f maiden at Newbury on Sept. 20th. Control Zone won his division at 9/1 while Skanky Biscuit refused to go into the stalls at a double figure price. Instead he made his debut 2 weeks later at Newbury over 8f and won at 5/1. 
    • So, a loss overall and some indication that the market is getting wiser about which are the better debuts although almost breaking even if Skanky Biscuit had won on his intended first outing. To confirm the point about 'Group Class' required to win FTO for this trainer Control Zone placed in a 7f Group 3 on his second outing and Skanky Biscuit was third in the Group 1 Racing Post Trophy last weekend. The other 20 juveniles to make their debuts since September 1st have managed a single debut place (Red Junior and beaten twice since), and one fourth place (Mehendi at 50/1 at Nebury and the only one of that group to manage a place in a subsequent run). 
    • Only 5 of the SPs have been less than 12/1 with two being the debut winners. What should you make of the two of the other three - Lead Home (3/1 and last at Lingfield with only OR80s rated Noble Jack at a shorter SP) & Rag And Bone (11th of 12 at 11/2 in a weak fillies' maiden with a 5/1 favourite at Kempton). The other was In Her Shoes who was 9th in a Haydock fillies' race at 8/1 and has run poorly twice since at 50/1 & 33/1. Presumably the market might give some real clue as to whether the prices for the first two fillies debuts was because of real ability or because of 'empty' races first time.
    ~ NMKT 12:05 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    13 SWISS DIVA [35] - 4 34 2 19 38
    3 EMIRATES SPORTS [30] -5 1 43
    7 MONSIEUR KISS KISS [27] -5 1 36
    2 CHEAM FOREVER [25] -5 3 27 1 27 36
    1 CATSKILL MOUNTAIN [24] -5 1 39
    4 FORMULA [21] -5 1 28
    9 RAAEIDD [20] -5 1 38
    10 ROYAL COLLECTION [13] -5 3 13 2 -5 26
    8 PAPYRIAN [8] -5 1 19
    5 HERE COMES DANNY [6] -5 1
    11 APHRODITE'S ROCK [3] - 1 31
    6 JACHOL [2] -5 2 40
    12 KINA JAZZ [0] - 1

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    ~ NMKT 12:40 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    9 ITHINKBEST [34] - 1 42
    7 EMIRATES ROADSHOW [33] - 4 32 3 17 43
    5 CHEDDAR GEORGE [30] - 1 34
    10 JESSE JAMES [29] - 2 12 1 12 43
    1 ABSINTHE [26] - 2 14 1 14 44
    12 MILLHARBOUR [24] - 2 24 1 24 38
    2 ABULHARITH [22] - 1 39
    11 LIBEL LAW [21] - 1 38
    3 BEAT UP [20] - 3 20 1 20 29
    14 RISING STAR [12] - 1 18
    13 MR PROLIFIC [8] - 3 -5 2 -27 38
    6 COMPTON BLUE [5] - 3 -5 2 -32 28
    8 EVERAARD [3] - 3 -6 2 -6 38
    4 BERTI [0] - 2 -25 1 -25 26
    15 TIMBAA [0] - 3 -17 2 -21 20

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    ~ NMKT 1:15 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    2 ANACREON [32] - 1 43
    1 AFRICAN ART [28] - 1 34
    12 ROYAL BET [27] - 1 42
    7 HILBRE POINT [24] - 1 34
    6 COUNT OF TUSCANY [22] - 1 36
    4 CAPTAIN DANCER [21] - 2 13 1 13 38
    9 KIRKSON [16] - 1 39
    11 REGENERATION [15] - 1
    10 NBHAN [8] - 2 -25 1 -25 38
    14 SOLDIER SOLDIER [5] - 1 1
    13 ROYAL WILLY [4] - 3 2 1 2 19
    3 BIG NIGE [1] - 2 -20 1 -20 26
    5 COOPER ISLAND KID [1] - 3 -15 1 -15
    8 IRON MAN OF MERSEY [0] - 1 19

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    ~ NMKT 1:50 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    10 PENNY'S GIFT [54] - 9 60 4 28 28
    11 QALAHARI [52] - 6 52 3 41
    6 FLAME OF IRELAND [44] - 4
    2 ART PRINCESS [42] - 9 56 4 38 38
    9 OASIS BREEZE [40] - 7 46 2 33 18
    4 CARANBOLA [39] - 11 49 5 26
    7 HAPPY FOREVER [38] - 4 31 3 19 32
    1 ALBERTINE ROSE [35] - 5 32 3 21 33
    5 COCONUT SHY [33] - 9 45 6 14
    8 MISS EZE [32] - 3 16 1 16 36
    3 CALAHONDA [27] - 8 24 7 17

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    ~ WTON 6:50 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    1 RUBY TALLULAH [] - 7 25 5 9 17
    2 SWEET APPLAUSE [] +2 13 44 3 -2 34
    3 CHIMBONDA [] +3 5 26 3 15 23
    4 SIMPLE RHYTHM [] +6 9 29 3 -52
    5 TRANSCENTRAL [] +7 10 28 6 3 6
    6 FASLIYANNE [] +8 5 31 1 31 31
    7 RAINBOW SEEKER [] +10 5 24 4 2 40
    8 AGNES LOVE [] +11 10 16 6 -135 10
    9 PERFECT CLASS [] +13 4 16 2 10 41
    10 ADOZEN DREAMS [] +16 8 23 4 -8
    11 DOTTY'S BROTHER [] +17 6 16 2 16 30
    12 AUTUMN MORNING [] +18 4 13 3 -34 25
    13 CELTIC REBEL [] +20 5 11 4 -2

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    ~ WTON 8:50 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    1 BELLA OLYMPIA [] - 4 -23 1 -23 10
    2 DAYLUMNEY [] - 4 15 3 13 25
    3 DIAMOND JO [] - 2 -18 1 -18
    4 DUBAI DIVA [] - 2 -22 1 -22 16
    5 FONGOLI [] - 5 7 2 7 11
    6 FRANALI [] - 4 -6 3 -19
    7 LABISA [] - 3 -16 2 -19 27
    8 MOONBEAM DANCER [] - 1 22
    9 PASSAGE TO INDIA [] - 1 26
    10 PRECOCIOUS AIR [] - 2 5 1 5 26
    11 SILK STAR [] - 1
    12 STEP FAST [] - 3 -5 2 -19 32
    13 VITA MIA [] - 2 -17 1 -17 30

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