British 2yo Racing - 2010 Race Result :- 228 : Tue, June 22nd

BRITISH 2yo RACING - 2010 Season Race Result

Race 228 : Tue, June 22nd
Brighton 2:30, 6f Maiden Auction (5)

2010 Season Home
2010 Results

[Est] is the B2yoR Rating. Green indicates a 55+ level,
Cream between 30 & 54, Pink less than 30.
Wnr = previous/LATER 2yo Winner. Letter is Race Type.
Hf = Position at Halfway. Green indicates making places to the finish.

GOING	TIME	RcPc	VP
GF	71.67 [Compare]	2	None

	Horse	SP	[EST]	Run	Wnr	Trainer	Dw	Hf	Run Notes
1	Star Now	7.5	48	1		M. R. Channon	6	6	Drift 5/1, BOk Wd, H-1 Erl & Last Sttld bhd Frcg Pc, H-1 +1f, Eff-2f, po Cent, Ld-0.5f, Inx in Ld & Dv, Stall Lt
2	Stunning In Purple	3	35	5	M	A. B. Haynes	5	3	Drift 15/8, BRh-1, Resp Erl SFre, Eff+1f & LdgLn Sttld, Eff-2f+ SOutpcd Drop 4th, po ins-1f, Stall-0.5f+, Fd ins-0.5f
3	High On The Hog	2	43	2		J. L. Dunlop	2	2	Supp 7/2, BOk PNgl Resp, Ld Erl Fre, XF+1f, Jnd+1.5f Resp Fre & Hld, Eff-2f+, po, Hdd-0.5f, Fd ins-0.5f, Tired Lt
4	Bendigedig	66	34	4		S. Kirk	3	5	BOk, LdgLn Erl, H-1 +1f Drop Bck, Ngl+1.5f, SOutpcd-2f, po, HgL ins-1f, SResp-0.5f+, Fd ins-0.5f
5	Comrade Bond	2.5	36	4		M. H. Tompkins	1	4	Supp 7/2, BOk RL, Fre+1f & H-1 Drop 2nd Rank, Eff-2f Resp, po-1.5f+ in 2nd, Stall ins-1f, Fd-0.5f, Eased Lt
6	Moorland Boy	10	35	4		J. A. Osborne	4	1	Drift 13/2, BSAwk, QFre Erl & LdgLn, QHld+1f but Pull to JnLdr+1.5f & QFre, Dv-2f+ HdUp, Stall-1f+, Fd-0.5f+

SUMMARY

Pace too strong and 'form' horses soften themselves up notably. 2nd & 3rd home walking to the line moving like NH horses in a soft ground finish. Not that edifying. Well done everybody.
HOTH owned by trainer and he has a long career of being shrewd enough to find a win with this sort. Invisible debut at his closest racecourse then target a STO win. Drop him to a course usually known for weak maiden & auction races and tune him up to peak fitness for the day. Supported in Market and did enough in race to think that was not too far off a reasonable choice. But, too free in getting to the lead & responded further when MB join him after 1.5F. Added to the issues by kicking final efforts off before the 2F out pole. Ok effort to be 1L clear to the final furlong but unable to get home up the final uphill stretch and then tired, walking to the line.
SIP only 3/1 despite the fact she has looked a precocious, small, one with little scope and has been declared for a seller (a NR). She is probably OR50s of some sort in real terms. But she is a trier and competent and in that gets her too close to ok horses in slow early races that are moderate performances. Read her bit of form that says she split Reckless Reward & Coeus as a flat, 2-dimensional, bit of fact and you would be wondering why she did not win this by 5L. You need to add the extra dimensions to read that bit of form properly. She was not that far ahead of I Scream that day and has finished with Johnny Hancocks in the past which is a better way of looking at her form level.Made an effort to get to the front line of three and although settled going too quickly for her ability. A little outpaced at 2F out and showed her willing attitude by wlaking home a bit faster than the other spent horses for second.
MB an ok size and might be a bit better. But, races too freely so struggles to get home. Worst race he has run in those terms and steaming along fighting the jockey for a lot of the first half of the race. Wortst fader.
Bendigedig looks poor and although a little off the pace not good enough to pick up any pieces from the faders.
CB perhaps a different story and made some sort of forward effort to get to 2nd but seemed to just fail to stay.
Which leaves the Channon newcomer for Jaber Abdullah who accounts for a good number of the, relatively few, debut wins the trainer has. Star Now had been talked down by the trainer as smaller and not that good. But, he trained the dam and a number of the siblings and cheap ones that end up getting passed on to Mr Abdullah have a beter than even chance of being usable, at least. She drifted in the Market but a perfectly respectable line of reasoning would be that anything from those connections should not be 13/2 in a race this weak. The first three in the betting were a rabbity, seller filly and two horses who have never placed, after all. Assisted to the win by the others over-racing but might have won anyway. Green in the lead or might have finished the race off better. Presume lower OR70s type.
B2yoR readers may remember the discussion in 2009 over whether Brighton is a bad course to take newcomers to and debut wins are rare? This is the anecdotal line you will usually hear promoted. If you look at the stats the FTO Strike Rate is about average and some longer SPs would have meant a, piffling, profit backing all of debut runners in 2002-8. The alternative view is that FTO winners are usually about quality. If trainers only bring moderate types to the course they will not win FTO against similar horses. If bigger stables bring ok FTO types they will happen anyway. The FTO record in 2009 was 2 from 19 with wins for Channon (for the same owner as Star Now with a similar filly) and Suroor. 6 others placed with SPs ranging from 7/1 to 66/1 and 16/1 & 25/1 newcomers were beaten in photos. The list of horses that failed to place on debut would be talked up to be called 'obscure', with one exception. An anecdotal case to be made that if decent horses come here on debut they will do ok. The 2010 record of newcomers is 2 from 8 with two other places and a profit. The winners have been a good one for Mark Prescott & this one for Channon (who has also provided a placed FTO who won STO). The other placed horse was for Clive Brittain and another who has had two debut winners here in recent years and brings ok quality horses tot he course. If the trainers can get over the anecdotal stuff then FTO winners are probably easier to get at Brighton because of the lack of quality overall.