BRITISH 2yo RACING - 2010 Season Race Result
Race 400 : Sat, July 24th
Newcastle 2:55, 7f Maiden Auction (4)


[Est] is the B2yoR Rating. Green indicates a 55+ level,
Cream between 30 & 54, Pink less than 30.

Wnr = previous/LATER 2yo Winner. Letter is Race Type.
Hf = Position at Halfway. Green indicates making places to the finish.
GOING
TIME RcPc VP
GS 88.66
[Compare]
0None


Horse SP [EST]Run Wnr Trainer Dw Hf Run Notes
1Chin'n Tonic18512 G. A. Swinbank 10
5
B-2, Ngl Erl TTR, SPrg+0.5f, 2nd Rank+1f Sttld, TvCmf-2f+, Eff ins-2f, PO ins-1.5f, Ld-1f, Po to Ln, SCmf
2Damascus Symphony33393 J. D. Bethell 8
3
BRh-1, Ngl Erl HdUp TTR, Prg+1f & LdgLn Sttld, Eff-2f, Po & Chal, Ld-1f+, Hdd-1f, po ins-1f, HgL Lt & Stall
3Beer Flush22382 J. O'Keeffe 9
6
Drift 16/1, BOk, SEff Erl & LdgLn, H-1 +0.5f Drop 2nd Rank, Eff-2f SOutpcd, po ins-2f, SResp ins-1f, Stall Lt
4Millies Folly40292 D. Carroll 11
1
BkWL, Ld Erl SFre & Hld, Sttld+1f, IncrPc-2.5f+, Po ins-2f & Chalgd, Hdd-1f+ HgL, Fd-0.5f+, okSz
5Eland Ally2.5333 T. P. Tate 12
2
Supp 3/1, SEff Erl & LdgLn, 2nd+0.5f SFre & Hld, Sttld+2f, Eff-2f TTR, po ins-2f, 4th-1f+ SHgR, Stall ins-1f, Fd ins-0.5
6Not So Bright6.5313 J. G. Given 6
11
Supp 8/1, B-1 PSqz-1, Drop Back Erl, Dv-2.5f TTR, SOutpcd-2f JkQt, SResp-1f to Fdrs, Eased-0.5f
7Fairlie Dinkum11221 A B. Smart 5
10
Drift 13/2, BOk, PBmp-1, H-1 Erl Drop Back, SOutpcd-2f SHgL, po ins-2f, Fd ins-1f
8Regimental33252 M A. Duffield 7
7
BOk PBmp-1, 2nd Rank+0.5f SFre & Hld, Soutpcd-2f+ SHgL, po, Fd-1f
9Twennyshortkid33152 P. T. Midgley 2
12
BOk Wd, H-2 +0.5f Drop Back, Outpcd-2f+, po-1.5f, SResp-1f+, Fd ins-1f
10Another Citizen1.5102 A T. D. Easterby 13
4
Supp 2/1, BOk, 2nd Rank+1f Sttld, Dv-2.5f+ SOutpcd, Unbal-2f+ LsGrnd, Fd-1f+
11Domino Effect2093 J. H. Johnson 4
8
BkWL, LdgLn Erl, H-1 +2f, SOutpcd-2.5f Drop Back, SAdf-2f, Fd-1.5f+
12Arashone33-131 J. R. Weymes 14
9
BRh-1, Mdfld+1f Sttld, SOutpcd-2.5f, SHgR-2f, Fd-1.5f
13Land Bank80-183 T. D. Easterby 3
13
BOk P-2 Ngl TTR, LastPr+1f Ngl, SOutpcd+2.5f Dv, Adf-2f+, Fd ins-2f
14Santorino50-882 P. T. Midgley 1
14
BOk Wdst, SFre Erl & 2nd Rank, Ngl+2f SHgL, LsGrnd+2.5f Dv, Adf-2.5f, Eased-2f



SUMMARY
Trainer Alan Swinbank at it again. Has racked up good STO profits in three of the last 4 years and blossomings off moderate debut efforts no surprise. CNTonic's debut effort oversold by 'moderate' and would have to be filed in the too-bad-to-be-true category to see the flowering. But, this a weak race with the 'Form' horses unproven. Add in some softer ground, failing to stay in some cases and the vagaries of where you race on the course making a big difference, then an event where anything could happen (as the SPs of the first 4 horses would suggest). Which would make a long price STO winner from Swinbank a more likely outcome than many others. Another example of the 'Market' being powerless in many cases despite the widespread, almost 'Faith' based belief, that it has all the answers. If someone really believes that they shouldn't be betting if you work through the logic.
Pace Average to around halfway but MFolly wound the pace up from there and field already well stretched by 2f out. Good effort from the cheap filly MF who has is an ok size and put everything except the winner under pressure until a late race fade.
CNTonic travelling best from halfway and ended up a comfortable winner and can develop further. A wonder why he would be so long an SP.
Pressure put on others meant they were properly tested on the ground. No 'eyecatchers' making places late anywhere near the worthwhile end of the race. NSB given an easy time after not picking up (ground?) and a 3TO run but has suspect form and likely to get an OR well above what he has done.
EAlley not pick up that well and hanging a little inside 2f out. Faded early from the competitive ones at 2f out.

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