BRITISH 2yo RACING - 2010 Season Race Result
Race 678 : Sun, September 5th
York 2:35, 5.4f Maiden (3)
[Est] is the B2yoR Rating. Green indicates a 55+ level,
Cream between 30 & 54, Pink less than 30.
Wnr = previous/LATER 2yo Winner. Letter is Race Type.
Hf = Position at Halfway. Green indicates making places to the finish.
GOING
 TIME RcPc VP
GF 63.81
[Compare]		 2None

Horse SP [EST]Run Wnr Trainer Dw Hf Run Notes
1El Viento (b)8624 V R. A. Fahey 11
5
P-2, Dv Erl TTR & LastPr, Resp+0.5f, SPrg+1f, Mdfld+1.5f Sttld, Eff-2f, po, Resp-1f & Po, Ld-0.5f+, po Lt
2Bunce5526 M R. Hannon 2
6
BAwk-1, 2nd Rank Erl, Ngl+1.5f Drop Mdfld, Eff-2f, po, Fd ins-0.5f
3Valerius Maximus1.75502 M P. F. I. Cole 4
3
Supp 9/4, BOk, Ngl Erl Resp, H-1 +1f & 2nd Rank, Eff-2f Resp, Po, Stall ins-1f, Fd ins-0.5f
4Forty Proof7444 M W. J. Knight 9
4
Drift 11/2, BOk, H-1 Erl & 2nd Rank, Eff-2f, po, Fd-0.5f+
5Wolf Slayer7385 T. G. Dascombe 5
1
Supp 9/1, BkWL, Dv Erl LdgLn, Eff+0.5f & Ld, 1Clr+1f SFre & Hld, Eff-2f, Po ins-2f HgL, FrRL-1f+ Stall, Fd-1f, Hdd-0.5f+
6Rojo Boy5387 D. R. C. Elsworth 7
8
B-1, Dv Erl Mod Resp, Bhd+1.5f Dv, Willing?, SOutpcd-2f, po, Fd-0.5f
7Ice Girl100212 M. W. Easterby 1
7
Fizzy Prelims, B-1 Wdst Inx P-1, Ngl Erl Resp, Mdfld+1f, SOutpcd-2f, po, Fd-1f+
8Katiesister25122 J. S. Goldie 8
9
B-1 P-1, Outpcd+0.5f Drop Back, NoResp-2f, Fd-1.5f
9Christine's Gold4072 E. J. Alston 3
2
BOk, Eff Erl & Prg, LdgPr+0.5f, po ins-2f, Stall-1.5f HgL, Fd-1f+
10Cottam Stella50-262 M. E. Brittain 6
10
B-2, JkQt Erl LsGrnd, HgL+1f, Adf+2f, NoResp-2f, Eased
WDLadies In Chicago G. R. Oldroyd 10
WD AP = Rearing and Pulling away from stalls. Unseat Jockey.


SUMMARY
 Stalls Centre and field raced spread either side of centre line. Strong crosswind or possible part headwind from right. Pace too stiff for leadeers to see the race out. EV at 3L back in early race and make initial move forward after halfway. Bunce more than 4L back through halfway and again not looking like a 5f+ horse on return from injury break. More a set-up run.
Paul Cole has a stable where long SPs on debut are usually a negative sign. They mostly know how good their horses are and what to expect from them. 8/1 and under is a good marker point for debut runners. Those at that SP or under are competitive ones and will include most of those that can win at 2yo. Those at longer than that level that prove to be winners at 2yo will tend to few in number and fit into one of three categories. Seller level runners that will be dropped to the right level in time. Ok types that start in tough race (Newmarket Novice events, Ascot maidens, etcs..) and might start 12/1 and be ok. The final type are OR68-74 types that the trainer doesn't rate much and think wont be ready to compete. If they compete well on debut then the race was probably soft quality. Ishtar Gate's 20/1 debut win in 2009 a classic example. That horse has run in better races after the surprise FTO win but is currently dropping down the OR level to OR66 and was probably never much better than that.
If you just work off that model then VMaximus' 40/1, apprentice ridden, debut second in a broken race on soft ground at Windsor just feels 'wrong'. Yet, here he is in a York maiden as favourite with tipsters talking up the 'terrific pace' he showed on debut. Which he didn't and was ahead of some garbage running behind the winner and borderline for where he was in relation to the Changeover Point. This run would support the view of taking the Market level on debut as an indicator of race quality lack rather than thinking the horse is better than Mr Cole believed.
What is the point of Tom O'Ryan? Has to keep mates with everyone and never actually asks some tough questions. Here is a tough one for you Tom. Why when you ride work for Fahey each day and your brother is his assistant are you incapable of telling anyone anything about the horses. El Viento is an interesting story but you wouldn't get it from O'Ryan. If you wont pass on any stable information about Fahey as a TV presenter then please do not use it as a permanent opportunity to advertise the 'brilliance' of your mates. Fahey included. The horse made a promising debut looking greener than a typical Fahey FTO type. He got worked up at the start STO and then packed it in before halfway in the race. Gelded after that he was 20/1 3TO and given an anonymous ride at Ripon and plenty of encouragement needed from the jockey to get him to compete anonymously. Headgear FT here and the promise of the debut fulfilled with a solidly built 2yo moving well and straight to come through to a clear win with the pacemakers going too hard. Where was your journalistic 'nose', Ryan?

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