|
SUMMARY
|
Running the rail seemd an advantage. Winner & CK both ran the rail and those racing wider struggling earlier than expected.
BHA's Blog Page for July 26th included this = "Matthew Tester reveals all… You can understand that the early 2yo figures are very fluid. Sometimes there is little evidence on which to rate a race and you have to wait for the form to be tested. The early nursery handicaps are key to this. Now, after two and a half weeks of nurseries, we can firm up the exact figures which we have published. Because the Racing Post have been publishing guesses that have been way too low, some trainers will imagine that the ratings have been raised. I can assure them that the median at this stage of the last five years has always been 70 or 71 and today it is at 70. The average rating at this stage has been between 69.9 and 70.6 and today it is 70.4. "
Worth Noting that the BHA's own Webpages seems to have been using the Racing Post 'Guesses' on their own Racecard pages which made it seem like they were BHA official. The current ratings used in the Nurseries prior to this have all matched the figures the RPost used as the 'OR'. Worth noting that these figures seemed pretty good reflections of real ability and had B2yoR wondering whether the BHA handicapper was learning to adapt his method. But, his comments above seem to suggest we will be back to ratings looking 5-10+ too high fom now on. Check. |
