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Sandown Park 3:15, 7.1f Maiden (5) |
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| Horse | SP | [EST] | Run | Wnr | Trainer | Dw | Hf | Run Notes | ||||
| 1 | Operation Chariot | 2.75 | 51 | 1 | A. M. Balding | 2 | B-1 PLh, Ngl Erl Resp, 2nd+0.5f SHld, -2L+ Hf, RcCent Str, Ngl-2f & Ld, Eff-1.5f+, Po HnH, Resp To Ln | |||||
| 2 | Sublimation | 1.63 | 41 | 1 | R. Hannon | 1 | B-2, Ngl Erl Resp, 3rd+0.5f RL Sttld, -3L Hf, TvOk-2f+, Eff-2f, po HnH SInx, Resp-1f Whip, po, Fd ins-0.5f | |||||
| 3 | Tuffan | 8 | 33 | 2 | C. E. Brittain | 4 | Supp 11/1, B1 Wdst 1Clr Immed, XF Erl Cmf Sttld, 2L+ Clr Hf, CmfLd, Go StdsSd-2f+ Alone, Dv-2f+, Hdd-2f, po, Fd-1f | |||||
| 4 | Royal Prize | 2.25 | 28 | 1 | M | R. M. Beckett | 3 | B-3 PLh-2, InxOv, Ngl+0.5f Resp, SHgL Bnd, -4L Hf, Dv-2f+ TTR, SOutpcd-2f, po, Fd-1f HgR | ||||
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£10k Bonus Race. S from HV two days prior. 4mm of rain overnight and showers forecast for the day. Going Stick reading from 11:00am. Bend Rail out by 5yds adding approx 8yds to Race distance. Stiff to Strong SSW Wind = Half Headwind from the Left in the Home Straight, mostly Headwind around the Bend. Unusually easy ground and a very slow time. More than 2 seconds slower than any time since start 2004. But it seemed an average pace. Difficult race to tie the form down for and probably more interesting to think of it in Trainer Methods' terms. This often the first 7f maiden in the south and has a regular cast of trainers and 'horse characters' in it. A thin field this year because of the very soft going but those in the field still recognisable. Trainer Balding rarely gets FTO winners but this a thin enough field for him to get one. He has regularly started a season winner in this race and often one of the best 7f types he has. Certainly the best he has ready. Which would mean Operation Chariot likely to be OR75+ on Profile and could be better. Trainer's recent record in race includes 5th at 14/1 (2011 for dual winner Goldoni), 10th at 16/1 (2010, for dual winner Time To Work), 2nd at 25/1 (for the big Liquid Asset who only ran once more in his career so presumably injured STO in the important Newmarket July meeting maiden) & 2nd at 25/1 for the useful Donegal in 2007 who won STO. Operation Chariot showing enough size, balanced and straight movement and solid finish to think he is OR80+ and ok for 8f as well. Worth noting the trainer's very good record with 7f+ runners at Epsom for the future. Hannon has started winners in the race over the years but 5 declared for race 2009-11 have produced just one season winner (finished 6th) and for season non-winners. So Sublimation a poor favourite on that model and likely to be borderline Open Maiden type and not that ready on the recent record. Ran like that and enough of a gap btween the winner and hima t the finish to fit some of the missing characters into so he might well have been unplaced in a normal field. Just an average prospect for Open Maiden win and might be a nursery type. Trainer Beckett has an unusual record with his earliest 7f runners overall, not just in this race. In the period 2007-11 you can split his early 7f debuts into 2 types. The good ones win FTO or go very close (2 wins and one 2nd FTO that won STO) or they do not go very well and unlikely to be season winners at all. Royal Prize from a mare who has produced lots of 3yo+ stayers and only one 2yo winner in a lot of goes. Green and no picking up here and not really going through race like a future winner. On the other side the short SP and the fact he is out so early given his siblings record might suggest an ok one. On balance one to let go and see how he develops rather than following. Tuffan a smaller type in field and allowed to set his open usable pace but blown away by the winner 2F out and fading by 1f out. Seems OR60s at most and nusery type on this effort. |