BRITISH 2yo RACING - 2012 Season Race Result
Race 254 : Wed, July 4th
Kempton Park 7:25, 7f Maiden (Fillies') (5)


[Est] is the B2yoR Rating. Green indicates a 55+ level,
Cream between 30 & 54, Pink less than 30.

Wnr = previous/LATER 2yo Winner. Letter is Race Type.
Hf = Position at Halfway. Green indicates making places to the finish.
GOING TIME RcPc Video VP
STD 86.87
[Compare]
-1Link None


Horse SP [EST]Run Wnr Trainer Dw Hf Run Notes
1Roz40482 L H. J. L. Dunlop 7
2
Drift 33/1, BOk, Ngl Erl LdgLn, Allow XFr+1f, XF+1.5f 2nd 1Wd Cmf, Ld-2.5f, Po-2f, Resp to Ln
2Blue Nova1.88412 J. Noseda 2
4
Supp 9/4, BOk ins, SFre Erl Hld HgL, H-2 +1.5f Allow XFrs & SFFH, 2R to Bnd Hld, Ef-2f, Po HgR, po-1f+, Fd ins-0.5f
3Wittgenstein8393 B. J. Meehan 9
1
Supp 12/1, Ngl Erl Resp, Ld+0.5f Wd & SttlPc, XF+1.5f, EasyLd, SHldOv, Hdd-2.5, po-2f, Fd ins-0.5f
4Poetic Belle16291 A. P. Jarvis 6
6
B-1 Inx, Ngl Erl Resp, ShfflBack+1f SFFH, Fre to Bnd Hld HgL, 2WdOv, Eff-2f+ TTR, po ins-2f Cent, Fd-0.5f+
5Woodlandsway3.5281 M R. Hannon 5
3
BOk, ShfflBack+1f, 3Wd to Bnd SPrg, 2WdOv, -1.5L Hf, Dv-3f SInx SHgR, SOutpcd-2f, po, Fd-0.5f
6Heliconia40252 M. Prescott 4
8
BkWL, Inx Erl LsGrnd, Resp+0.5f & SPrg, H-3 +1.5f, Ngl Hf SLsGrnd, Dv-3f Drop Last, SResp-1.5f Full Rd, 8f+ Stayer?
7Alpine Mysteries33232 J. L. Dunlop 8
9
BOk, H-5 Erl Drop Last, XB+1f, -5L Hf RL, Inx-2f+ TTR, SResp-1.5f, po-1f HnH, NPIR
8Something Magic6232 S. Kirk 10
10
Drift 5/1, BLh-1 Wdst, H-4 +0.5f, FFH for 1.5f, -5.5L Hf, HldOv, SEff-2f 3Wd, Eff-2f STTR, po-1.5f, HnH, Fd-0.5f+
9Sadiigah6222 C. E. Brittain 3
5
Drift 5/1, LdgLn Erl, Fre+0.5f Hld, FFH for 1.5f, H-2 +1.5f, SFreOv, SOutpcd-2f, po, Fd ins-1f
10Rosia Bay16111 C. B. Hills 1
7
B-2 RL, Resp Erl, Fre+1f Hld, FFH for 1f, H-2 to Bnd & 3R, -4L Hf, SOutpcd-2f, po-1.5f, Fd-1f, Small
NRGlossy Posse N R. Hannon 11
NR = Self Cert (Cast in Box)



SUMMARY
Medium Southerly Wind = Half to 3/4 Headwind from Right in Back Straight and Half to 3/4 Tailwind in the Home Straight. Mostly Headwind around the Bend.

Moderate race for future prospects in 2009-11 and one where the major stables seem to send lesser ones (say OR63-73 nursery, eternal placer types) and a bit of Surplus Stock plus the odd 8f+ development types for handicaps this back-end or as 3yos. 2009 edition prodiction one subsequent winner but in a seller. 2010 runner=up managed to win a maiden and then there were 3 winners (Nursery, Auction & Seller in behind). 20111 saw the 2nd win a Maiden and the 3rd a nursery and now else. The message seeming to be that if there are any Open Maiden winner class ones they will get to the first 2 places and the tail will need careful inspection to find the lesser level development winners and that might be a worthless task in some years. This a moderate group on profile.

Shape of the race not that helpful either with a slow pace down the back straight and a lot of FFH and fillies being hauled back to uncompetitive positions behind the leaders who wer best placed for the 'dash' (more trundle overall) in the straight. But Roz came clear well enough to think she fits the model of the Open Maiden class get to the front anyway. Shorter model but stocky with some length. Good range in the movement and balanced which showed in the final efforts as some gawkier and underpowered types were flopping about behind. Definite OR70s and left the impression she might have abit more about her on the effort she showed. Appeared to be running ok on debut on soft ground but then started hanging when asked to pick up. Perhaps why direced to the polytrack here. Market clueless.

Placed fillies both fit the model of lesser types for major stables. Both a bit smaller and underpowered and not Open Maiden winner level. Blue Nova just a so-so effort and not seeing the race out. Will need to find a soft maiden to win.

Hard to see how Wittgenstein can win given the moderate effort she produced here having got a easy lead. Something will always be able to get by in a Maiden and she doesn't appear the stouter stayer type. Slow eeforts then Fade not a good recipe to win.Gaps back from that first three of Changeover Point behind the winner and anything in the ruck to be interested in? Probably easiest to start by dismissing the two little and underpowered ones who finished 10-11th in Sadiigah & Rosia Bay. Both lack size and fading after getting outpaced. Minor excuses of running free but limited types.

Bit more size amongst the fillies in 4th-9th although the trainer a negative for Poetic Belle and let her go. Hannon has mostly started lesser up to OR70ish types in this and Woodlandsway a tall and narrow bodied one that looks like a slower 6f+ type. Green and running wide on the bend here but also got outpaced so perhpas another slow 8f project for nurseries.

Heliconia & Alpine Mysteries both the same 'type' in being owner bred ones for connections who produce lots of slow developing stayers that the trainers concerned here take time to work on and both trainers work the handicapping system to start on a low and usable OR. Heliconia still clueless here and moves like a boaty stayer for 12f 3yo handicap development. Might do something at 2yo if she wises up. Alpinme Mysteries given a non-involving ride as if she is being brought along slowly for handicaps.

Something Magic staying on over 6f here FTO but hauled to the back early to try to stop her pulling which took her out of the race. Then the jockey tried to make ground wide on the bend. So, excuses but a disappointing effort 2f out even given those and then fading and not looking like 7f suited. Unless the FFH early drained her she looks a slow effort one who fades after making that slow effort over any distance and hard to win with. Which leave sthe felling of a race of limited significance for the 2yo future.

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