British 2yo Racing - 2012 Race Result :- 282 : Thu, July 12th - Newmarket July 3:35, 6f Maiden (Fillies') (4)

BRITISH 2yo RACING - 2012 Season Race Result

Race 282 : Thu, July 12th
Newmarket July 3:35, 6f Maiden (Fillies') (4)

2012 Season Home
2012 Results

[Est] is the B2yoR Rating. Green indicates a 55+ level,
Cream between 30 & 54, Pink less than 30.
Wnr = previous/LATER 2yo Winner. Letter is Race Type.
Hf = Position at Halfway. Green indicates making places to the finish.

GOING	TIME	RcPc	Video	VP
S	74.34 [Compare]	0	Link	None

	Horse	SP	[EST]	Run	Wnr	Trainer	Dw	Hf	Run Notes
1	Certify	10	67	1	G	M. A. Zarooni	10	12	2ndCols, P-1, 2R Erl, SInx Ov, HgL+2f Drop Mdfld, -4L Hf Ngl, Dv-2f+ SHgL FrSd Alone, ko-1.5f, Ld ins-1f, PO-0.5f, Cmf
2	Pearl Sea	5	57	2	M	D. H. Brown	19	5	FrSd, Hld Erl, SFFH for 1.5f, -1.5L Hf X to CntGrp, TvCmf-2f+, Ef ins-2f, PO, Ld-1f+ Hgr, Hdd ins-1f, PO, Po-0.5f
3	Shuruq	2.75	48	1	M	M. A. Zarooni	11	6	1stCols, BkWL, LdgLn Erl CentGrp SHld, -2L Hf, Ngl-2f HgR, Eff ins-2f, Po HnH SInx, 5th-1f, Po, po-0.5f, EasedLt
4	Supernova Heights	10	47	1	M	B. J. Meehan	2	2	StdsSd, BAwk-1, Resp Erl, SHld+0.5f, LdgLn+1f, -HfHf, TvOk-2f+, Eff-2f & Ld, Po, Hdd-1f+, Po, po-0.5f+, FdLt
5	Royal Steps	20	40	2		J. J. S. Tate	12	10	BOk, H-2 Erl, QFFH for 2.5f, Ngl-2.5f, Dv-2f+, po-2f, 9th-1f, SResp-0.5f+ to Fdrs
6	Lady Vermeer	8	39	1		R. M. Beckett	14	4	Supp 11/1, BOk, H-2 +0.5f, LdgLn CentGrp+1f, -1L Hf, Dv-2f+, Po-2f, po ins-1f SHgL, Fd ins-0.5f
7	Hasanan	12	34	3		C. E. Brittain	16	1	FrSd, Dv Erl, LdOv+0.5f Ngl, SFre+1.5f Hld, SFFH for 1f, X to CntGrp Hf, Hdd-2f SOutpcd, po-1.5f SHgL, Fd-0.5f
8	Ziggy's Secret	20	34	2	M	L. A. M. Wadham	1	3	StdsRL, BOk, LdgLn+1f RL, -1L Hf, SOutpcd-2f, Resp & Po, po-1f, Fd-0.5f+
9	Emerald Sea	50	33	1		C. F. Wall	8	15	B-1 PBmp-2, Resp Erl, -5L+ Hf, TvOk-2f, po ins-2f SInx HnH, SHmp-1f+, SResp ins-1f, po, Fd-0.5f, Track STO
10	Lizzie Tudor	20	32	1	M	A. M. Balding	6	11	BOk, Fre Erl LdgLn CntGrp, H-2 +2f, -3.5L Hf, Dv-2.5f Inx HgR LsGrnd, QHgL-1.5f, Fd ins-1f
11	Mandeville	16	30	1	A	R. Hannon	20	13	FrSd, BOk FrRL, H-2 Erl, H-2 +1f, -4L Hf & X to CentGrp, Outpcd-2f+ Inx JkQt, Eased ins-1f, NPIR
12	Tequila Sunrise	16	26	1		C. B. Hills	3	14	StdsSd, B-1, Fre Erl Hld, FFH for 1.5f, H-2 +2f, -4L+ Hf, Ngl Hf, Dv-2f+, Po HnH, po-1.5f, Fd-0.5f+, Ok?
13	New Fforest	12	24	1	M	A. M. Balding	15	7	BAwk-1 PNgl, Resp+0.5f & Fre Hld, FFH for 1.5f, H-2 +2f, FreOv, TvOk-2f SBlckd, SwcR-1.5f Eff TTR, po-1f HgL, Fd ins-1f
14	Not Now Blondie	50	15	2	N	C. A. Dywer	4	8	StdsSd, AP Blanket, BkWL, Hld+0.5f, FFH for 1f, H-2 +2f, Ngl-2f+, HdROv, Outpcd-2f, po-1.5f, Fd-1f+
15	Three Choirs	10	11	1		R. Hannon	9	17	B-1 PBmp-1, SInx+0.5f LsGrnd JkQt, SwcL+1.5f, -7L+ Hf Dv, LsGrnd-2.5f, Adf-2f, SResp-1.5f to Fdr, Fd ins-1f
16	Anna Law	33	-43	1		C. B. Hills	13	9	B-1, H-3 Erl, QFFH for 2f, -3L Hf Hld, Outpcd-2f, Fd-1f
17	Hawsies Dream	200	-77	2		A. Bailey	5	16	BOk, Fre Erl & Hld, FFH for 1.5f HgL, H-4+2f, Dv-2.5f+ Outpcd, Adf-2f, Fd-1.5f+
NR	El Mirage				N	D. K. Ivory	17		NR = Self Cert (Coughing).
NR	Fleeting Smile				M	R. Hannon	7		NR = Going.
NR	Flywheel					B. J. Meehan	18		NR = Going.

SUMMARY

S from GSS two days prior. 9mm of rain overnight and no rain forecast on the day until late afternoon. Going Stick Reading from 08:00am.

Medium SW Wind = Crosswind from the Right.

Stalls Spread most of width of track. Field raced in 3 Groups to around halfway with 3 fillies on the Far Side for 2.5F+ then merging into the outside of the Large Centre Group around Halfway including Hasanan who had led overall ont he Far Side. 4 Fillies racing dwon the Stands' Dise with Supernova Heights & Ziggy's Secret staying mostly to the rail throughout having broken from the two stalls next to the Stands' Rail.

First 'Second String' win for Godolphin this season with Bazalona on the winner and Dettori on Shuruq.

Despite the 'Major Meeting' billing and bigger fields the Maiden has a below average record overall for producing later winners. In the 209-11 period 38 fillies have run in the Maiden with 8 of the 35 who did not win on the day going on to win as 2yos (27 did not). None of the three winners were successful later and only odd hints of Group quality form from prominent finishers later. One filly has gone onto to a Group 3 win (Theysken's Threory for the connections who had Flywheel an NR here). Several others have tried Group races with the odd place. The 8 fillies who had won Maidens after running in this in the 2009-11 were split as 2 x Hannon, 2 x Meehan, 1 x Channon, 1 x Suroor, 1 x Simcock & 1 x Botti.

Interesting to compare the Sectional times for the whole field in this maiden with the earlier July Stakes = Times are for each 1F and the figure in brackets how much different the July Stakes was for that furlong and not cumulatively.

1st 1f = 15.59s (-0.27s),
2nd 1f = 11.78s (+0.16s),
3rd 1f = 11.56s (+0.07s),
4th 1f = 11.36s (-0.08s),
5th 1f = 11.23s (-0.09s),
6th 1F = 12.5s (+0.16s).

Note that these are Sectional times for the Whole Field and not for an individual horse. Each 1F could be run by a relay of horses for example or just by one pacemaker. Which means the total time for this maiden on Furlong sectionals is 74.02s and 0.32s than the actual overall time (does that work out?). With Certify coming from off the pace to win going away. But, an unusual race shape with the field racing wide spread in 3 groups early then grouping centre track and then spreading out to Stands' Side later on as the July Stakes did. Except for the winner who went from being in the group in centre track at halfway with horses either side of her to race the last 2F+ alone on the Centre to Far Side. Finishing best and winning comfortably. Any track bias in that? Those racing nearer the Stands' Side appeared to be kicking up bigger divots for much of the race but in this race the Stands' Side runners probably ran a more even pace and had some Pace bias assistance.

A quicker Start in the July Stakes with Heavy Metal getting on with it but then settling the pace and not more than 0.16s difference between the two races in any 1F slot afterwards. July Stakes slightly faster in the 4-5th furlong wind pace and 2F out effort section but a slower finishing furlong. Interesting to think about what Lewisham was doing with his strong finish in the slowest 1F at the end. Perhaps we could finally get rid of all that 'failed to quicken late on' nonsense in the form books in the sectional times ever catch on. 'Failed to maintain the existing pace as well as the winner did' or 'faded more than the winner' would usually be correct replacements.