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Ripon 2:55, 5f Maiden Auction (Fillies') (5) |
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| Horse | SP | [EST] | Run | Wnr | Trainer | Dw | Hf | Run Notes | ||||
| 1 | Lucies Diamond | 16 | 34 | 1 | M Dods | 3 | FrRL, B-1 PNgl, 2R+0.5f Sttld, -2L Hf, Wait for Gap-2f until ins-1f, Po, po ins-0.5f Chal SInx, LdLn, BgrIC | |||||
| 2 | Throwing Roses | 25 | 29 | 1 | O. Pears | 1 | Drift 16/1, FrRL, BkWL RL, Ngl Erl Rsp, Lo5+1f, Ngl Hf, Eff-2f, po Duel, Ld ins-1f, NwChalgr-0.5f Resp po, HdLn | |||||
| 3 | Sylvia Pankhurst | 22 | 26 | 1 | A | D. C. Griffiths | 4 | Drift 14/1, FrRL, B-1 PBmp-1, SInx Erl, H-1 +0.5f XB, -7L Hf, Resp-2f+ SPrg, 2R-1.5f WaitGap, 6th-1f, po-0.5f+ | ||||
| 4 | La Sylphe | 7 | 23 | 1 | N | T. D. Barron | 5 | BkWL, LdgLn Erl SFre & Hld, SFFH for 1f, 1Wd+1f Lo5, Ngl-2f+, Eff-2f & Ld, SHgL-1.5f, Hdd ins-1f HgL, Fd ins-0.5f | ||||
| 5 | Twilight Pearl | 2.5 | 20 | 2 | A | T. D. Easterby | 7 | Supp 7/2, PNgl, Resp Erl, 3Wd+1f Lo5, Ngl-2f+ STTR, Hdd-2f SOutpcd?, po, Resp ins-1f po, Fd ins-0.5f | ||||
| 6 | Someone's Darling | 2 | 17 | 2 | J. S. Goldie | 8 | BkWL, 2nd Erl, SFre+1f & 4Wd in Lo5, NglHf, Dv-2f+, po Cent, HgL-1.5f Ramp, po-1f, Fd ins-0.5f | |||||
| 7 | Starbotton | 10 | -5 | 1 | A | J. D. Bethell | 10 | Supp 16/1, B-1 Wdst PHmp-3, TTR Erl LsGrnd, Adf+1f XB, SInxOv, NoResp-2f, NIR, SRespLt to Easers | ||||
| 8 | Another Ponty | 18 | -6 | 1 | T. D. Easterby | 9 | B-1 PLh-1 Inx, Dv Erl TTR, LsGrnd+0.5f, -4L+1f, HgR+1.5f, -6L Hf, CarrLh-2f+, SResp-2f, Fd ins-1.5f, Eased ins-1f | |||||
| 9 | Lady Of Seville | 7 | -28 | 1 | T. P. Tate | 6 | Drift 6/1, BkWL Ngl PBmp NL, 2Wd+1f Lo5, Sqz-2L+1.5f & HgL LsGrnd, -4L Hf & QHgL, Eased-1.5f | |||||
| NR | Red Star Lady | E. M. Burke | 2 | NR = Self Cert (Cut Leg) | ||||||||
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SHV going with Going Stick from 05:45 on the day. Meeting had to pass inspections on Friday am and at 07:30am on the day. Course reported 62mm of rain during the preceding week. Worth noting that LEIC meeting on the day abandoned two days before because of waterlogging. They reported that they had received 109mm of rain in 3 weeks. They further said that this was more than they had in all of 2011. Can that be right? Barely 5'' of rain in a year. Strong NE Wind = Half Headwind from the Right. Stalls moved from Stands' Side to Far Side. This done late on by the Course with no warning. Not done for Safety Reasons and just to provide better ground apparently. But, typical of the way those involved in racecourses do not understand how those involved in the race and punters do not want these late changes. This entirely changes the Draw set up with those who were near the Stands' Rail now in Centre track. Jim Goldie one trainer to complain about the late change with SDarling drawn 8 and 2 away from the rail and now in centre track. [UPDATE = Although it is a bit more complicated just looking at the result would not soothe Mr Goldie's temper nor anyone else's. SDarling ended up on the outside of a Line-of-5 tussling for the lead and the first 4 home were drawn in the 4 stalls closest to the Far Rail. The race dynamics would have been different if they had left the stalls where they were originally supposed to be.] Another Slow Time and 0.61s slower than previous 2yo race at course this year with this winner carrying 2lbs less and the runner-up carry 13lbs less than the previous 2nd. Both races 3-4s slower than any in 2010-11. Class 4 handicap run 3.5 hours later run in 64.86s by OR74 rated 7yo carrying 9-7 before an A3 factored in. Race started out with a pressing line of 5 together within 0.5L of each other. From the Far Rail out these were TR-LS-LoS-TP-SD with Lady Of Seville a bit green and least able to go the pace and squeezed out backwards as the pairs either side pinched in. LoS hampered for 2L by this then started hanging left to centre track. Which means that the pair that did best from the pressing line were the pair on the rail and in Lane 1. The winner was in the classic S&P position spot throughout and just under 2L off the lead at halfway and on the rail. Sylvia Pankhurst 7L back at halfway and on the rail as well. She had to switch away from the rail in the last 1F to plug on past the faders without being involved in the race in any meaningful way (Volunteer 3rd) until the leading line had already started to break up. While the winner might well have been the best horse in the race in is hard not to think TP & SD ended up with a more difficult job than they should have done. Race has a mixed history of producing future winners and just odd hints of OR80+ quality. 2009-10 editions pretty empty and no runner reached Open Maiden class OR. 2011 much better with the two newcomers in the first 3 proving a Gp3 winner and a solid OR85+ type. On profile this raced looked more solid than the 2009-10 editions with the 'right' mix of trainers represented and hopefully with the best of their early, and cheap, ones here. Lucies Diamond the biggest in the group and a lot of interesting points around her win. From the Video Review point she makes a good example of the way the race will unfold being obvious in early race. 5 of the smaller to medium fillies took off in a line and bound to soften each other up. After a slightly slow break the biggest filly found herself lobbing along behind that line in the perfect spot on the rail. Always travelling over the others and it looked like the only problem would be in finding a gap through as the front line broke up. She had to wait into the last 1f and then wriggle through in Lane 1. A bit green once in the front line and did not lick up as well as expected and some credit to TRoses for responding as well despite being tired. But, LD got the message late and bit enough to win just by sticking here neck out late. Definitely OR75+ and probably OR80+. One point to bear in mind though was that his horses are often mostly fit and ready FTO and do not have much improvement left in those areas. LD's win also a vindication for anyone sticking at the 'Back every Dods 2yo FTO' plan. That approach has produced 5 profitable years in the last 9 including two with ridiculous returns thanks to 100/1 wins. At the top level 2011 looked a bad year with 0 from 18 with FTOs. But, look a bit closer and 11 of the 18 placed FTO at all sorts of SPs. Just a couple of different results away from a solid profit. Dods had run a duff one earlier but is now presumably into the better ones and his other debuts from now on need to be taken seriously. The third point to note about LD's success is that the Market is often petty clueless with 2yo races despite what the Pundits want to think. Dods has been getting strong debuts for years and while the 100/1 wins might have gone the SPs are still too long. Dods was interviewed after the race and said he was "Quite confident she would run a massive race.." and then said that ".. he couldn't believe the price". Where are all the connections and 'Theys' that are supposed to be fixing things when the Pundits need them? Dods said further that they thought LD was good and he had ensured better jockeys like Eaves & Mulrennan had ridden her at home to get a few views on her. When Eaves was interviewed there was more of the same with him saying he was "Confident" before the race with a a niggle about the ground. Ok, so the trainer and the owner do not bet. But this filly has been working well for weeks with lots of other work riders and hangers-on around. Pundits want to believe whispers get around and inform the Market so what happened here? Trainer Pears seems one of those thorough young trainers who simply does not run his 2yos unless they are ready to show most of what they have FTO. A small number of 2yos runners in his career so far and a number have been duff so mask some of the story. The 5 juveniles that have won for him so far have the following record on debut = 2 x Wins, 2 x 2nd and a 4th of 16 by a filly that was 14th at halfway and depp closing with purpose. Which means that backing his debuts FTO with usable ones is compulsory. If the Market has a hint they might be 6/1 but usable ones can still end up 25/1 like Throwing Roses here. TR had the advantage of the rail, and perhaps a bias, but still did best of the pressers and responded to the pouncer's challenge in the last 1F. Smaller but bulky and a better type than £2,500 promises and receiving weight. Another will probably limited development from a ready debut but solidly usable OR60s type.ready to show most of what they have FTO. A small number of 2yos runners in his career so far and a number have been duff so mask some of the story. The 5 juveniles that have won for him so far have the following record on debut = 2 x Wins, 2 x 2nd and a 4th of 16 by a filly that was 14th at halfway and deep closing with purpose. Which means that backing his debuts FTO with usable ones is compulsory. If the Market has a hint they might be 6/1 but usable ones can still end up 25/1 like Throwing Roses here. TR had the advantage of the rail, and perhaps a bias, but still did best of the pressers and responded to the pouncer's challenge in the last 1F. Smaller but bulky and a better type than £2,500 promises and receiving weight. Another will probably limited development from a ready debut but solidly usable OR60s type. David Griffiths another younger trainer who has only had a handful of 2yo runners so far. Debuts have not been strong and his one winner to debut for him developed to win 6TO. Sylvia Pankhurst a smaller one and well behind at halfway. A key question is whether she did any more than plug on into the faders from the pace battle? If she didn't then this might well be a worthless 3rd by a lower OR50s filly and ignorable. She got onto the back of the group quite early and had to wait to get a gap and then seemed to finish a bit better than plugging on. But, all in a slow time race and on size she should be limited quality. Probably one to watch as a clue to the overall form quality here than be looking to support. David Barron usually starts by running a small batch (say 2-4 depending what he has available) of competitive 2yos each season and they can show up well FTO. They may just be OR65-73 types but can include odd ones who are better. His filly that finished 3rd in this race in 2011 proved OR80+ and had a go in Listed+ events. La Sylphe his first runner of the year and later than recently but another rep who adds to the overall positive pre-race profile. LS by a non 5f sire but out of a sprint mare. Ran a typical race by the trainer's standards being prominent and running too freely. Had the advantage of Lane 1 off the rail but attended the pace solidly enough and plugged on as well as to be expected. Ought to be solid OR65-73 competitive type. Tim Easterby won the race in 2011 with newcomer Ponty Acclaim and ran two here with Twilight Pearl on STO and the first string on jockeys. TP had made an ok debut although a smaller type and seemed to get outpaced at BVLY before a bit of later plugging on. Raced away from t he rail and in the leading line here. Again got a bit outpaced by 2F out and then plugging on despite being tired in centre track. But, lack of size and ability meant that only got her 5th and a sub-OR70 type and need to find a weaker early race to win. Another Ponty clearly not expected to live up to her name and be another debut winner at the track for an Easterby high class filly. Too green and perhaps slow and got well behind and only a brief response before fading. No immediate potential on that. Someone's Darling a good debut and ridden by Hanagan here. Had been deliberately held back FTO and ridden to finish into the tired horses. Different here and ended up on the outside of a Line-of-5 pace duel and probably on the worst ground. Niggled along before the other 3 in that line still present towards 2F out and perhaps not a real 5f filly. Better than she showed here and ought to be able to rate OR70+ on what she showed FTO but perhaps needs holding up to finish and/or 6f. James Bethell has a moderate to poor record with 2yos if you look closely. In the last 6 seasons her has managed just 4 individual winners from 35 different 2yos that made their debut for him. All 4 of those have rated OR90+ in their careers. Which tells a story of someone who can get wins with the ones anyone should be able to win a maiden with but struggles otherwise. Starbotton doing nothing here to suggest she is the required quality. Tom Tate another refined member of the Yorkshire training group with a good record overall. The early debuts tend to include the usable sprinters and can run strong performances FTO so Lady Of Seville of some interest on that basis. The first runner for new sire Duke Of Marmalade who would probably need help from the dam or a really good one to get early 5f winners. The dam here a sprinter but a moderate one. Short with a heavy build and dd not look fit enough for the day. Ended up in the centre of the Line-of-5 pressing for the lead and going least comfortably of the 5. Which meant she got squeezed out the back as the line concertinaed into the rail. She lost 2L in this and then started hanging to centre track. The jockey looked to be trying to pull her up from 1.5F out as if she was unrideable. But, he did not make a WTRB report. See if she has tightened up for her next run and what distance it is. Conditions = £4,500 guaranteed For 2yo fillies, sold or bought in as yearlings by public auction at 'specified sales', or as 2yo up to and including May 31st, 2012, for £25000 or less before July 1st, 2011, or for £28000 or less after June 30th, 2011 (The last sale to govern the price if sold more than once) Weights 8st 12lb Allowances fillies sold or bought in for £22500 or less 2lb, for £17000 or less 4lb, for £11500 or less 6lb, for 56000 or less 8lb (allowances not cumulative) (to calculate allowances for horses sold before July 1st, 2011, add an additional £3,000 to auction price) Entries 20 pay £ 18 Penalty value 1st £2,911.05 2nd £866.25 3rd £432.90 4th £216.45 |