British 2yo Racing - 2013 Race Result :- 286 : Mon, July 8th

BRITISH 2yo RACING - 2013 Season Race Result

Race 286 : Mon, July 8th
Ayr 3:00, 7.2f Nursery (5)

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2013 Results

[Est] is the B2yoR Rating. Green indicates a 55+ level,
Cream between 30 & 54, Pink less than 30.
Wnr = previous/LATER 2yo Winner. Letter is Race Type.
Hf = Position at Halfway. Green indicates making places to the finish.

GOING	TIME	RcPc	Video	VP
GF	90.62 [Compare]	1	None	None

	Horse	SP	[EST]	OR	Run	Wnr	Trainer	Dw	Hf	Run Notes
1	Latenightrequest	4	46.0	66	4	N	R. A. Fahey	2	2
2	Homestretch	1.88	54.6	75	2	m	M. R. Channon	3	3	Drift 13/8,
3	Atlantic Affair	2	50.6	77	7	a	M. Johnston	4	1	Supp 5/2,
4	Angel Rosa	6.5	33.1	64	2	a	K. W. Dalgleish	5	5	Drift 5/1,
5	It's All A Game (p)	14	11.1	56	4	N	R. C. Guest	1	4	Supp 25/1

SUMMARY

GF from GGF on decs. Watering but no details. GStick says 06:15 on 'Tues' & presume the figure ok & Tue a mistake. 9.3 when 9.2 reported for yesterday's meeting which suggests some watering since Sun early am.

Stalls StdsSd & Rail Out by 3m (Imperial and Metric units mix again & gets worse bec says 'Bend rail out by 2m adding Approx 6yds to races 7f+').

20DegC. Light to Medium WNW Wind = Close to Direct Headwind.

Atlantic Affair OR77 & feels right range & poss a bit high. Like many MaJo's don't understand AA. Free runner over 5f 1st 5 starts & running well overall but not seeing 5f out. Steps up to 7.5f 6TO and finishes race off but on course with 3.5f+ Downhill. Also in low qual race. How much does she really stay 7f?. Presumably will lead. Has over-rated 31.5 from ASCT run & 26.5 next best. This suggests low 70s but looks real OR75 at least on PRev. OR77 should be usable in this field but not convinced she will stay. Use 30.
Homestretch on a bog standard OR75 for Maiden win. But Inx FTO and only won bec of rail run as pace fell apart. Mixed form form others in race since with 1 winning weak mdn & 3 others all well beaten in same mdn NTO (nds VT Rev). Pic show ok build but prob smaller medium. Just an Ave profile for OR75 to be ok here. Use 28.
Latenightrequest Small and averageish Seller form. Est 11 last twice & seems right range. That equates to OR56 and on 66 here. 3rd lower rated one in northern Nurs so far for trnr. 1st two both small & ran ok but one won pace affected race and other outclassed. On 66 this feels nearer an outclassed by top pair. Use 11.
Angel Rosa won weak Auc FTO & trnr has the ready FTO. Tv a bit better than Mitcd but too 1F+ to get by and Doncaster Belle running on like AR bhd. Took rating of win down by -3 before writing this. Rxing weight from Mitcd FTO & similar Sz if a wee bit bgr. OR64 looks too high & lacks Qual of top 2. Use 15 but expect her to come up short of competing with bgr top two at weights.
It's All A Game adrift on OR56. One worthwhile rating from Midfield in NEWC auction I had on 12 which would top rate him here. Use 10 & revisit rating after race. AT7 & ought to be outclassed but all trainer's recent 2yo wins in Nur off low ORs and some at long SPs. Really need PRev to asses whether OR56 with A& gives him better than 20/1 he is at in early prices.

Post Race sum-up = AAffair too free in typ MaJo style. Got to Lead from wide early then pulling 2L clear before held & held Ov to some extent. Jockey then Kicking off efforts ins-3f to ensure AA not stay although stuck at it until -0.5f. Note AA only rated 20 for last run over 7.5f & below her best & should drop in trip to rate higher. Also note collaterall form with LNReq LTO. LNRq bgr than expected on VT if a bit narrow & SLB, taller than Homestretch for e.g. if less bulky. Tv best bhd AA pace and able to make effort ins-3f to go with her and eventually wear her down. Homestretch outpaced at that point and staying on again last 1F and light have won with another 0.5f+. Shorter if ok bulk. ARosa hampered wide at start then took time to get going and prob 5L adf of grp+1.5f. Made most of that back running too freely on Bnd and able to make some effort wide ins-2f to be overlapping Homstretch ins-2f before stalling & fading. Can rate better than effort here. IAAGm unsttld stalls & hld but just looked small and outpowerd last 2F+ and OR40s.