British 2yo Racing - 2013 Race Result :- 290 : Tue, July 9th

BRITISH 2yo RACING - 2013 Season Race Result

Race 290 : Tue, July 9th
Southwell 6:05, 5f Nursery (6)

2013 Season Home
2013 Results

[Est] is the B2yoR Rating. Green indicates a 55+ level,
Cream between 30 & 54, Pink less than 30.
Wnr = previous/LATER 2yo Winner. Letter is Race Type.
Hf = Position at Halfway. Green indicates making places to the finish.

GOING	TIME	RcPc	Video	VP
STD	59.68 [Compare]	1	None	None

	Horse	SP	[EST]	OR	Run	Wnr	Trainer	Dw	Hf	Run Notes
1	Mecca's Angel	2.5	60.0	76	3	m	M Dods	3	1	Drift 2/1.
2	The Dandy Yank	3.5	19.0	71	5		J. A. Osborne	5	2	Drift 3/1,
3	Sandsman's Girl	2.25	22.5	76	4	a/N	J. G. Given	2	4	Supp 10/3,
4	Faye Belle	33	-0.8	55	4		D. Shaw	7	5	OH9,
5	Chilly In Rio (p)	25	-3.0	55	5		W. R. Muir	4	3	OH6, B1
6	Creative Spirit	8	-11.5	57	4		D. H. Brown	1	6	Supp 12/1,
7	Kitty Brown	8	-12.8	58	4		P. D. Evans	6	7	Drift 6/1,

SUMMARY

25DegC. Light to Medium NE Wind = 1/4 Headwind from left.

Sandsmans Girl no PRev & OR76. Has 26 (71). Lost in QMart LTO. Use 26 for win in race franked by placed horses.
Meccas Angel has OR30 for strong pace lead & win LTO & stong effort FTO from poor draw in compete THSK fils race. Use 30 as 75 and RS seems suitable for this surface.
The Dandy Yank looks a solid OR68-71 type on PRev/Pic & trnr will presumably now let him compete in Nurs. Has a 21 and a 26 which is over-rated. Downgrade WDSR Rc193 by 5. Use 22.
Break then from OR71 down to 4 on OR58 down to two on bw OR55 but that pair 6 & 9lbs OH. Kitty Brown only has one piece of form with 16 (61) for an empty rc 2nd here. Downgrade Rc13 by 8. Creative Spirit gets 19lbs from MAngel but only 14.2 down on their FTOs in same race. Has run to 10 (55) since. Seems to have a usable OR? Using existing minus ratings (but their best) for bw pair leaves them adrift so leave it. Post-Race = makes sure to revisit THSK race 88 to decide how much to downgrade by. Feels like 4-7lbs range.

Mecca's Angel not stand out much by size, tallest but not oustanding IC. Race run at a stiff pace and only MAng, TDY and small CInRio handled surface at all. Others all soon got behind and not handling kickback and racing wide Cent or StdsRL as leading 3 racing Cent-Stds. CIRio fading by-1f+, TDY by-0.5f+. Others noty really involved hile MAngel steamed on and seemed to be going as strongly at finish. Time for race 1.6s faster than following Maiden and MAng carrying 2lbs more than that easy winner. Taken literally that means MAngel 24-26lbs better effort. Did Bushcraft really on run to OR50 say? Did MAngel handle surface unusually well and rate OR80+. Bushcraft ridden with restraint by Baker and only did enoughg to win unlike the flat out nature of this race.

One possible theory is that the surface was faster for this race. Instinctive reaction to watching this race was that the kickback looked unusually solid and directed as if the surface solid. Hooves making deep marks on surface on canter TP and those holes remaining = looked like marks into wet sand on a beach. Seems likely the surface had been watered before race meeting started on the warmest day of the year (perhaps the warmest for more than 1 year..). With strong sun and surface opened was the track drier for the second rac which Bushcraft won and cause some of the slower time?

Note:- "The track has been watered before racing and will be watered in between races"