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Bath 2:20, 5f Maiden (6) |
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| Horse | SP | [EST] | Run | Wnr | Trainer | Dw | Hf | Run Notes | ||||
| 1 | Secret Romance | 2.75 | 50.0 | 1 | T. G. Dascombe | 2 | Drift 5/2, LER, VProf, Fd ins-0.5f | |||||
| 2 | Clumber Street | 8 | 46.0 | 1 | E. S. McMahon | 4 | Drift 9/2, 2nd+0.5f 1Wd, DvHf, po-1.5f+, Fd-0.5f+ | |||||
| 3 | Costa Filey | 2 | 34.8 | 4 | E. F. Vaughan | 3 | FIzzy & Swtg AP, STrblLdg, UnsttlStalls & Rearing as Gates Opened, B-1 P-1 Dv, -2.5L Hf Dv, Fd ins-1f | |||||
| 4 | Wadi Alamardi | 1.75 | 13.8 | 1 | M. L. W. Bell | 1 | Supp 11/4, Dv+1f LsGrnd, -5L Hf HgR Whip NoResp, Uncmf Fm? | |||||
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F from GF on Decs. 1.5mm of rain Overnight. GStick 08:30am. Far Rail out by 4yds from 5f pole to ins-3f. Says this is on intersection so make no difference to Race Distance but that sounds unlikely & there will be some extra distance. 22DegC. Medium SSE Wind = 1/4 Tailwind from Left HS. Clumber Street declared for a 6f race at DONC on Jul 11th but an NR with abnormal Blood Analysis. McMahon in 213 = positive about him saying 'Big but on the leg'. Noted he should be out in May and not a typical 5f horse. Had some size & scope and would probably start him at 6f. Now starts at 5f in late August on properly fast ground. Trainer has used Bath for FTOs twice in previous four seasons, once in early season over 5f & once in late season over 10f. Has also used course for later runs regularly. Why is CS here over 5f this late to start? August cmf late enough in season for the trainer to have a FTO winner if the horse is good enough. Is this the (only) solid one Fretwell has this year? Will the Market get the call right? Bell in 213 says Wadi Almardi "should be early" so, another late starter the trnr thought he would have out with his first batch of usable 2yos. Goes on to say dam has bred "a few decent winners despite the sires" which is hyping things. She has bred 6 winners of which 4 have been OR50s, another showed hints of 70+ by being out very early at 2yo but no scope. On the other hand this one the most expensive at £30k (bought by suspect Frisby) & passed on (?) to an arab owner. Bell mostly in typ 4-6th FTO if ok form with 5 later winners from 14 debuts & only one 'surprise' that was 14th in big field NMKJ mdn FTO & got bhd erl. Bell website = "He has put in some decent efforts on the gallops and as long as he find conditions in his favour we expect him to be competitive." Latest Gallop for WA a slower breeze the previous weekend with Wedding Wish. That horse ran 7th of 14 over 7f FTO in a NMKJ mdn on Aug 10th having lead at Hf at a slower pace. WA similar Sz & poss a bit bulkier than WW and travels cmf with him/ WA with a big 'upturned hockey stick' white blaze. On Aug 14th he did another slower piece of uphill work with Gender Agenda & not going as well as that one (0.5L back & working a bit). On Aug 3rd work in trio with Al Khawaneej Star (9th of 12 at 201/) NMKJ over 7f FTO on Aug 9th. AKS goes best despite a bit inx. AW goes ok and 3rd horse the unraced Born To Reign who looks smallest. AKS looks ok so check STO. One Q would be why the 5f start on Firm (if uphill) for a horse doing slower works with 7f+ types recently? Dascombe in 213 notes Secret Romance (fil vs colts here) came into the yard late and "backward in coat.... still looks weak & needs sun on her back... go steady with her because she has catching up to do ". Which perhaps explains the later start. Dascombe also notes her ped (like trainers talking about att often not a good sign). How did she come to be racing for a p'ship? Leased from the breeder? = Hot To Trot website says "Central to the Club’s strategy is that the horses will be leased and not bought. This will enable us to secure a much higher class of animal for our money, hopefully leading to greater success on the racecourse." Good they put in the 'hopefully' bec it could just mean they race slow ones but with better pedigrees than usual. Also limits the choice of horses they have. Picture from May on p'ship website shows a smaller one, lengthy & shorter legged type of sire. Some hints she could bulk up but still up bhd and looking backward phys. Dascombe FTOs should be ready to show a lot of what they have by now. Seems to be finding more of a balance between too ready FTO but still competent FTO this year. 24 debuts so far have produced just 1 x FTO win. But 14 of 24 have made 1st 3 (incl 6 of the 7 subs winners). 21 of 24 made 1st 6 (mostly in single figure field). With late FTO seems reasonable to expect SRomance will be ready to show what she has. A PRev question for how she dev from that May picture. Morning Bookies' prices suggest they know little and a just protecting themselves. CS & SR on 7/2, WA on 9/4 & CF on 7/4 despite his OR72 & lack of progression & poor effort LTO. Note that Bell has A3 on WA having split with TurnerH in midsummer saying he wanted to use a wider range of best jks available (she sustained a long-term injury not long after & still out). Dascombe has Craine on SR. Check how prices compare to what happens when the betting really starts 5 minutes before the race. CFiley too Fizzy AP and lost ground on Break and then hustled into chasing a pace set by LdgPr, Always lkg Swtg, HdUp & a bit fried & faded. AWadi too green to keep up with pace and poss too slow got well bhd & SResp before eased. WTRB about Gng? CStreet bgr than SRomance but not that Neat, Tv ok on outside of SR in LdgPr but nggld by-2f+ and Resp but tiring late as both LdgPr folding. SRomance still smaller & SHUpB but bulked up a bit. Most noticeable diff, given she beat taller hrs, was how prof she was. Leading on rail settled despite being attended. Then kept po despite tiring in last 1F & poss pricking ears near end as something beyond fin line caught her eye. |