BRITISH 2yo RACING - 2014 Season Race Result
Race 213 : Tue, June 24th
Newbury 6:55, 6f Maiden Auction (Fillies') (4)


[Est] is the B2yoR Rating. Green indicates a 55+ level,
Cream between 30 & 54, Pink less than 30.

Wnr = previous/LATER 2yo Winner. Letter is Race Type.
Hf = Position at Halfway. Green indicates making places to the finish.
GOING TIME RcPc Video VP
G 74.38
[Compare]
0None Link


Horse SP [EST] LBRun Wnr Shp Trainer Dw Hf LBL Run Notes
1Feeling Easy1241.0-2 V  C. R. Eddery 4
5
3.0BkWL Wd, LdgLn Erl, H-2+1f Drop-in, Dv-2f+, po-2f, 3rd-1.5f+, po, Ld-0.5f, FdLn
2Secret Spirit1.8844.80.82  C. G. Cox 13
1
-0.7Supp 9/4, BkWL ins, LdgLn Erl, SEff+1f Ld 1Clr Sttld, IncrPc-2f+, Unbal-2f HgL Cent, po, Stall-0.5f Hdd, SResp ins-0.5f, FdLt, BoDraw
3Dubai Breeze2.7544.60.82  C. E. Brittain 2
14
6.2BOk Wd P-1, 2R Erl Sttld, JkQt+0.5f drop 14th, Dv-2f+, Eff-2f from 4th -2L+ Wdst, po, 4th-0.5f, po, FdLn
4Loumarin6632.62.81 A  M. Meade 1
10
4.0Drift 50/1, BOk Wdst, H-1+1f to 2R Sttld, TvOk-2f+, Eff-2f from 3Rd -1.5L, po, Stall-0.5f, FdLt, Small IC
5Rosie Royale3327.65.81  R. A. Teal 8
6
3.2Drift 33/1, BOk Cent, Hld Erl HdR, H-2+0.5f to 2R Sttld, Ngl-2f+, SwcR-2f to StdsSd & Eff but LsGrnd, Static/Laboured po, Adf 5th-0.5f+, SResp Lt on Strip?
6Magic Mac6613.19.33 N  H. Morrison 12
2
0.7BkWL ins, SFre Erl Hld, 2nd+0.5f SHld, Cent of Grp+1.5f Sttld, Ngl-2f+, Eff-2f but LsGrnd, Static/Laboured po, Fd-0.5f+
7June's Moon258.112.32  J. G. Portman 9
3
1.5Supp 33/1, BkWL Cent, 3rd+1f SFre Hld & HgL to FrSd of Grp, Dv-2f+, SResp-2f but LsGrnd to Ldg 4, Adf 5th-1f+, Fd-0.5f+ HgL
8Lady Mascot169.812.42  R. Hannon (Jnr) 7
12
4.7Supp 20/1, B-2, NE STTR, Resp+0.5f & Mdfld FrSd of Grp Sttld, TvOk-2.5f Cent Line of Grp, Eff-2f SResp, 9th-1f+, Fd-0.5f
9Ragtime Dancer164.312.91 A  J. G. Portman 3
15
7.0B-5 Wd, Last+0.5f Resp but SwcR to Cent Line of Grp, TvOk-2.5f+, SwcR-2f+ to StdsSd, SResp-2f, Fd-1f
10Diracan336.013.72  N. P. Littmoden 5
13
5.5BOk Wd PRh-1, Resp Erl, 2R FrSd+0.5f, Dv+1.5f Unbal HgR SLsGrnd, Balanced-2.5f+ FrSd SResp HdUp, Whip ins-2f FrSd SREsp, Adf 7th-1f Fd
11Berkshire Beauty253.014.71  A. M. Balding 6
8
3.7Drift 20/1, B-1, Resp Erl, SFre+0.5f H-2, DvHf STTR, SHgLOv, LsGrnd-2.5f, SResp-2f+, Fd ins-1.5f Unbal HgL
12Flashy Diva12-4.015.71 M  H. Candy 14
7
3.5Supp 16/1, B-3 ins P-2 Inx, 13th Erl, QEff+0.5f & Prg to Mdfld+1f, SFre for 1f, HdROv, TvOk Hf, Ngl-2.5f+ STTR SHgL, HgL-2f+ LsGrnd, Fd-1.5f+
13Baronessa7-39.028.62  R. Hannon (Jnr) 10
4
2.5Drift 5/1, BOk P-1, 2r+0.5f StdsSd of Grp Ngl Resp, TvOk Hf, Dv-2.5f ModResp, Fd ins-2f or Eased (Hughes)
14Spirit In Time66-64.035.61  M. S. Saunders 11
11
4.2BRear-5 PResp, Eff Erl Prg, Mdfld+1f H-2, TvOk Hf, SwcR-2.5f Ngl LsGrnd, Adf 14th-2f, Fd
15Chefchaouen66-99.046.61  J. S. Moore 15
9
3.7B-2 Rl PRh-1f, Resp Erl Eff Prg, Mdfld+1f, Dv+2.5f LsGrnd Whip Hf NoResp, QAdf-2.5f+, Fd, Bulky = FitE?



SUMMARY
G in the am from GFG on Decs. 24mm of watering given but only detailed down to 'during this week' (2 days?, 7days?, etc). 7.1mm of rain overnight.

Rosie Royale's Breeze Video shows a smaller one typical of Verglas. Some build positive and looks willing. Not a fast action and some reach and middling action. Smaller & usable.

Here we go again. Widespread field on a Wide Straight Track. Different paces in different seams through the field. This field not running on same lengthways Strip of track as other fields so hard to compare for Track Bias. But, this another race which looks odd just on-the-page. Why that range of long SPs in the first half of finishers? Why a small one winning STO, even if STO auction wins are trainer Eddery's trademark? Why the enormous distances back through the field? Everything from 6th back recording Garbage level Estimates wherever you pin the Winner on the scale? Even the 4-5th on poor ratings. Why has half the field appeared to have stopped to a walk inside 2F out? All stuff that makes you start looking for biases that have affected the race.

With the always appalling Camera positions at NWBY (why don't they let them inside the course?) hard to judge pace and positions but a number of stands side of Group slower starts and perhaps running too hard to catch up. Stands side of the 'Centre Line' of the Group a bit ahead after 1F with Secret Spirit leading early there from a quick start & gradually drifting over to be racing the Far Sid eof the Centre line in some of the last 2f. So, perhaps a Pace Bias contributing to the complete collapse of the Stands' Side half?

But, Draw a Line down the centre of the Group and the first 4 home are made up of (probably a blinding cross-course run by Secret Spirit) and the 3 x low Draws who raced furthest over to the Far Side all through the race. The four biggest & earliest Faders four of the 5 highest drawn and racing closest to the Stands Side through the race. Including 2 who ought to have done better at shorter SPs. Pick through the 5th to 11th finishers and they are a mix of runners racing Centre Line and just either side. This sort of Visible 'Rotation' of a field in the last 2F nearly always means some sort of bias(es) in action.

Whatever you want to believe, it makes and unsatisfactory result and hard to form a realistic view of all the runners in the race. Are the Stands' Side big faders all useless or are some going to surprise NTO when they get a fair racing field? Are the small ones in the first 4 home really hugely superior to everything that raced inside of then other than Secret Spirit (moral winner?)? Hard to know & check the PRev. Makes you pine for running this lot in 2 Divisions around a Bend on Polytrack and at least the Biases are easier to 'know'.



[Post Ful VRev & VP Thoughts]. Firstly, despite the big field this is a moderate to weak race and may only be 2-3 later winner come out of it so not worth spending too much time on biases. Look back to the big fields in 2011 & 2013 & both produced 3 later winners. The total being1 in a maiden, 3 in Auction races, 1 x Nursery off OR59 & a seller. In nearly 30 x fillies in those two races perhaps 1 (one) ever really rated 75+. A handful topped 70. This field looks the same sort of range. First 3 home smaller one with some build positive but none neatly made. This is 60d stuff isn't it? Give Secret Spirit.an upgrade for being a full-on trier and (possibly) doing best of those racing against the bias for the SECOND time in an Auction race here. Willing to believe she can run 70+.

Forget about the rest and just consider the 1st four home and look at their pictures. Loumarin a bit of a 'smoking gun' as a small one who you would need convincing she could win in the 50s. She was pulling clear on the ar side with the other 3. Another one of a raft of cheap fillies trainer Meade presumably bought to try to get some early publicity through 2yo wins (worked with Bazzana including being one of an endless stream of 'jolly nice chaps' the C4 TV presenters chose to interview in the precedings rather than showing any horses). They usually run competently FTO but is he going to win something with Loumarin?

Anything amonst the other to check going forward? Rosie Royale backing up her Breeze Video comments and with a reliable trainer (if he doesn't overcook them). Seemed to run ok part against the bias. Say, usable 60s. Might be the odd winner elsewhere but after that you would look to the 'usual' reliable trainers. Hannon's pair bot solid size in this field and 70+. Lady Mascot still looking green in her picture and ran ok in race. Was talked about in 214 as being ok so why at long SPs both runs and never looking like getting into a race? Is she going to turn up iin some BTON/BATH auction race at some point as near favourite once they have assessed she has grown up 'enough'? Hughes riding Baronessa but a similar return to debut here. Green in the prelims and going ok in the race until finding nothing 2f out and looking a suspect attitude. Exactly the same here and 70+ but seems to have a problem that needs fixing.

If you went looking for other reasons why the high draws finished well back you could say 3 of them, including Flashy Diva made notably slow breaks then made real early efforts to get onto the back of the Group on the Stands' Side. Since that group was ahead of the Far Side 'Half' after 1F they effectively caught and passed that group very quickly. Why did the last four home all stop so quickly then? Baronnessa packed it in? Chefchaouen too bulky and unfit? Spirit In Time too wild & green? Flashy Diva hanging left but stopped a bit fast even so. But, FD for a very reliable trainer so has to be on a list of fillies to check further and enough bulk to make that worthwhile.

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