British 2yo Racing - 2014 Race Result :- 864 : Tue, October 7th

BRITISH 2yo RACING - 2014 Season Race Result

Race 864 : Tue, October 7th
Brighton 2:50, 7f Maiden Auction (5)

2014 Season Home
2014 Results

[Est] is the B2yoR Rating. Green indicates a 55+ level,
Cream between 30 & 54, Pink less than 30.
Wnr = previous/LATER 2yo Winner. Letter is Race Type.
Hf = Position at Halfway. Green indicates making places to the finish.

GOING	TIME	RcPc	Video	VP
S	87.44 [Compare]		None	None

	Horse	SP	[EST]	LB	Run	Wnr	Shp	Trainer	Dw	Hf	LBL	Run Notes
1	Vegas Rebel	1.25	44.0	-	8			P. W. Chapple-Hyam	6		0.0	Supp 6/4, Swtg AP, B1 Wd, H-4+0.5f, Last+1.5f Wd, 2R StdsRl-1.5f, po, Ld-0.5f, po, Smaller Mdm IC
2	Burma Bridge	20	33.0	3.5	2			R. Hannon (Jnr)	1		0.0	Supp 25/1, Short & Fat, Mvmt?, Ld+0.5f FrRL, SwcR Downhill to 2Clr Stds RL, , Hdd-0.5f
3	Delaire	1.25	6.0	16.5	2			Roger Varian	2		0.0
4	Inke	14	2.0	17.0	3			J. R. Boyle	4		0.0
5	Rainbow Pride	40	7.5	18.8	2			M. Prescott	7		0.0	Taller, IP, NFit,
6	Vinamar	80	-0.7	18.9	5			R. A. Teal	3		0.0
7	Fayreway (h)	16	-13.7	24.9	2			M. Meade	5		0.0

SUMMARY

Soft for the First 4 races (this was Race 3) then Heavy after that. Blustery Showers during the Meeting. S from GF on Decs. 22mm of rain in 24hrs to 06:15 & still raining. GStick reading from that time.

CoC quote = "Rail dolled out from 2.5f to past the winning post to provide a fresh inner running line. Adding 5yds".

Very Strong WSW wind = Close to Direct Headwind on the Ridge & 3/4 Headwind from the Right Downhill & HS.

Given the apparent advantage of racing on the Stands' Rail in the 2nd half of the race no surprise to see the Hannon/Hughes combo with Burma Bridge to be fully alive to the fact. Hughes getting a soft lead on the Far rail then veering across to lead on the Stands' Rail. Looked like he might have pinched the race with most of the other jks never getting anywhere near the Rail and having their hrs reduced to walking by 1f out. Jk on Vegas Rebel hauled his mount to the back early and did get across to the rail by 2F out. VR able to plug on down the rail to just out-stay BB with the pair clear of the swamp-runners.

BB at 20/1 SP and 33/1+ available in the am. Given the Hannon overall record with 2yos and their terrific record at BTON even a rabbit from the yard shouldn't be anything like those prices. Along with a 33/1 winner at LEIC soon before by a FTO horse representing a trainer who gets lots of FTO wins and recently a lot at LEIC, a good reminder NOT to give in to the 'Wisdom of the Crowd' and 'Market Efficiency' babbling. The AVERAGE forecast by the Crowd/Market may be best/better over a long term but boy is that Average 'lumpy'. Lots of seams and blindspots out there if you work hard enough.