BRITISH 2yo RACING - 2015 Season Race Result
Race 154 : Wed, June 10th
Haydock Park 2:40, 6f Maiden (Fillies') (5)
[Est] is the B2yoR Rating. Green indicates a 55+ level,
Cream between 30 & 54, Pink less than 30.
Wnr = previous/LATER 2yo Winner. Letter is Race Type.
Hf = Position at Halfway. Green indicates making places to the finish.
GOING TIME RcPc Video VP
GF 73.83
[Compare]		 0Link None

Horse SP [EST] LBRun Wnr Shp Trainer Dw Hf LBL Run Notes
1Blue Bayou2024.0-1 G  B. J. Meehan 10
4
1.5
2Basma1.119.51.52  B. W. Hills 9
1
-0.5Supp 6/4, 1stCols,
3White Witch1419.51.51  C. Appleby 13
9
3.7BRh-1 RL, NER, 2R+0.5f Sttld, SFre+1.5f SHld, 3R Hf Prg, LdgLn-2f Eff nearest Stds Sd. Po & Duel, po Lt, Medium?
4Hawatif1118.02.01 M  M. Johnston 4
3
1.0
5Mysterious Glance8014.23.31  E. S. McMahon 12
5
1.7B-1 ins, H-1 Erl, Drop in+0.5f, SFre+1f for 1f, Dv-2f+, Outpcd-2f po HdROv SHgL, Resp to Ln, Smaller
6Cuppatee513.93.43 S  M. R. Channon 8
2
0.5
7Performer97.95.41  R. Hannon (Jnr) 5
6
2.5
8Jess145.76.11  K. A. Ryan 11
11
4.7B-2 SHdUp, Dv Erl Resp, Ngl until+1f when Fre & Hld for 2f+, Dv-2f+, po ins-2f HdDwn HgR, Fd-1f+
9Dalalah84.26.61  Roger Varian 3
7
2.73rdCols, B-1 Wd, Resp Erl, 2R+1f SFre Hld, Dv-f+, po-2f Wd, HgL-1f+, po, Fd-0.5f+ FrSd, Smaller?
10Miramonte Dancer663.66.82  D. C. Griffiths 1
10
4.5
11Quina Brook25-9.911.31  R. Thompson 2
8
3.2B-1 Wdst, Resp Erl, 2R+0.5f SFre H-2 Mdfld, Dv-2f+ Wdst, outpcd-2f po, MvAwkF Ov = Forelegs issue?, Fd ins-1f
12Intalza100-21.215.11  M. Herrington 6
12
6.0
NRFataawy M  B. J. Meehan 7 2ndCols, NR = Vet's Cert (Lame). Declared 10:16am.


SUMMARY
 GF in early am as on decs. 6mm watering on Monday.

Inner HS in use. Stalls Centre.

Medium to Light Westerly Wind = 3/4 Tailwind.

=== Pre Race ===

Trainer Ron Thompson back after retiring and seems to have some monetary backing he never had. Quina Brook cost a high €82,000 at the Goresbridge 2yo sales with the breeze done at Gowran Park. The walking up video from the sales making QB looking a bit awkwardly made. Deep front but light and narrow behind and not enough power behind. Shorter neck but a bit weak. Not much quality. Breeze Video explain the price better? Rattles along ok with a faster action. Seems to handle the undulations ok until the vague hint of not quite being balanced & lets go later on. As in her walk he seems to have more range behind than in front. Not convincing overall and not seeing the breeze out. Faster time on a tricky course?

=== Post Race ===

Another 'promising' Hills (junior & senior) debut not winning STO to add to the pile.

Trainer Meehan has had poor years in 2013-14 with less runners/ winners and the Strike Rate barely at Average. Even in his best years FTO wins were rare and usually better types winning on basic ability and not on a well tuned prep. Since 1996 he has only had 3 seasons with more than 3 x FTO wins (2 with 4 and an outlier with 9 in 2007. The debut wins could usually be split into 2 types = early season 5f debut wins by precocious types (stable has become less 2yo & precocious 5f type oriented over the years) and July+ FTO wins (later season FTO wins easier for any stable because the 2yos will have been in training for that much longer).

Blue Bayou's win here the 4th debut success from just 14 goes in 2015. Another 6 of the debuts have finished 4th and more competitive than the stable's norm. This just a better group of 2yos for Meehan? Or has he tweaked something for 2015 as he tries to re-establish himself after two poor years which coincided with personal problems (marriage break up) and the related loss of key personnel & input to the yard?

Conversely, trainer Varian a notably 'Ready FTO' trainer with 4-9-5-4 debut wins in his first 4 seasons. Season winners developing from uncompetitive debuts (say finishing worse than 6th in bigger fields are rare). Dalalah finishing 9th here means Varian's 9 x FTOs to date have produced 4th-6th finishers and 4 x 6th or worse. The 4 x STOs have produced 3 places in the 1st 3 but he hasn't had a winner yet. As with Meehan has Varian just got a weak set of sprinters this year or has he decided to tone down the FTO readiness?

====

Field raced centre with an Average, and usable, pace at most. Basma going a bit too free throughout the race int he lead. But, looking just a medium on compared to the winner in the last 2f plus hanging left and moving a bit awkwardly. One of those 'promising debut' types who was never in-the-race FTO and just staying on. Always a question over what the 'made late headway' really amounts to.

As often the case with the straight track here the field spread across the centre line in the last 2f+ and those racing closer to stands' side doing best. The first 3 home closest to the stands side in the last 2f with Blue Bayou & White Witch racing straight and getting past Basma by 1f out (Basma hanging left wider on track) and dueld until WW faded. Blue Bayou looking a believable better type in context of this race (sub 75 Profile) when going clear at the finish. Perhaps shorter but with body length she uses fine and a deep and strong front. Making Basma look a bit medium and compact by comparison.

White Witch another just medium one, smaller and less length than BB and how much aided by running stands side of the group. Cuppatee at the wrong SP and limited and probably running her race and beaten by better types. Hawatif perhaps a candidate for doing best against the track bias making the best forward move of the far side runners. But is she even a real 75?. Performer racing in midfield and middle of the track. Ok position towards 2f out but not picking up much and the jk not very active. A bit green but possibly just outpaced and up to 7f STO? Perhaps middle size with a solid build and check how fit she was. Moving ok in front?

[June 26th] Jess given a mostly trademark FTO ride by Spencer. Fell out of the stalls and at the back although Frank a bit more active than usual. Which meant after 1f gone Jess running too freely and held back for 2f+ wasting energy. Also moving out left to be in the middle of the field at the back, not on a wing. Jess driven along at 2f+ out but little response and looking tired already. Hung right then an early fade. Looked a typical Ryan smaller medium (smaller?) shape and usable at some level when she can, and is allowed to, run a competent race. Usable 60s or any better? Also noted the jk on 3rd home dropped hands early when he could have got 2nd. This picked up at all or a WTRB made?

Looked back at Ryan's FRAG by SP and debuts at 14/1 or longer produce few later winners. The exceptions seems to fit into 2 broad groups - Nursery or lower level developers & 'Major Track' maidens. The latter group can include 80+ ones and start at longer odds perhaps because the trainer feels unable to be confident and line up the quality in those events. Perhaps a 3rd sub group of very green types which can include hard pullers (presumably because he knows they will be Educ Intros & not looking to compete FTO). Jess fit into any of those groups?

[June 26th] Interesting to watch White Witch's run given she is odds-on favourite STO. Given the trainer's FTO to STO blossomings that seems fine. WW making an above average debut by Appleby standards tot hat time and a high base to blossom off. Making ground in the CZ to be overalapping the leading line at 2f out and a solid enough effort without looking strong. A medium size and ok build. Some curl in front. Less than average scope to improve for nous that trainer typical. Seems fine as a solid 75 and probably a bit over one without looking like an overpowering one STO. Also, a real niggle about the fact she raced closest to the stands rail the whole race which eas probably some advanatge. Bigger than the smaller Basma but not by much. A note to at least think about alternatives to her in the STO race and not just park the race as a 'done deal' for an Appleby improver (certainly not at short odds).

Back to Top of Page

© British 2yo Racing. All rights reserved.