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Newmarket Rowley 1:45, 5f Maiden (Fillies') (4) |
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| Horse | SP | [EST] | LB | Run | Wnr | Shp | Trainer | Dw | Hf | LBL | Run Notes | ||||
| 1 | Kurland | 8 | 33.0 | - | 1 | M. Meade | 4 | 0.5 | FrSd, BOk, LdgLn+0.5f 1Wd Sttld, TvCmf-2f JkWait, Ld-1f+ Po, Dv-1f Resp, PO, SEasedLt, SCmf | ||||||
| 2 | Sakhee's Jem | 40 | 21.8 | 3.8 | 1 | G. A. Kelleway | 1 | 1.0 | FrSd, BOk RL, LdgLn+0.5f, Ngl-2f+, Dv-2f Po, Clear 2nd-1f, po-0.5f+, FdLt | ||||||
| 3 | Miss Moneypenny | 5.5 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 1 | M | R. M. Beckett | 8 | 2.0 | B-1 Wd PResp, LdgLn Erl SFre, H-2+0.5f, SFFH for 0.5f, TvOk-2f SwcR FrSd, Po ins-2f, 3rd-0.5f+ FrRL, po, FdLt | |||||
| 4 | Lady Nayef | 25 | 15.8 | 5.8 | 2 | M | J. Ryan | 10 | 0.3 | BOk Wdst, LdgLn Erl Sttld, Lo5 Hf Wdst, po-2f JkQt Drop Back 6th, Eff-1f+, po, FdLt, Raced Widest = SBTR?, Staying on? | |||||
| 5 | War Queen | 7 | 14.3 | 6.3 | 1 | M | D. H. Brown | 6 | -0.1 | B1 Cent 1Clr Immed, Hld Erl, Ldg in Lo5+0.5f Cent, SFreOv, Hdd ins-2f Po, SUnbal-1f+ po, Whip ins-1f SResp, FdLt | |||||
| 6 | Hillside Dream | 16 | 13.7 | 6.5 | 1 | J. J. S. Tate | 9 | 2.5 | InxOv, B-1 PResp, Fre Erl, H-2+0.5f, Fre & SFFH for 1f, Dv-2f+ Inx TTR, po ins-2f UnbalOv, Hmp ins-1f, SwcR STTR, po-0.5f, BTR, Follow STO | ||||||
| 7 | Awohaam | 4 | 9.9 | 7.7 | 1 | M | R. A. Fahey | 3 | 4.0 | B-1 ins P-1, TTR Erl Drop Lasr Dv, InxOv, Resp+1f but Hmp-1L SwcL, SAdf+1.5f Dv, OntoGrp+2f, TTR-2f+ HgR, SwcL-1f+ SResp po, Too Inx, BTR | |||||
| 8 | Nidnod | 5.5 | -0.6 | 11.2 | 1 | N | H. B. R. Palmer | 7 | 0.1 | BkWL, LdgLn+0.5f 3Wd, SHldOv, TvOk-2f, Ld ins-2f OwnPc, Dv-1.5f Po, SUnbal-1f+ Hdd, po, 3rd ins-1f Stmbl, Eased, WTRB = Jk said Hrs Lost Action-1f+ | |||||
| 9 | Show Day | 5 | -4.3 | 12.4 | 1 | C. Appleby | 5 | 2.2 | 2nd Cols, B-2 PDv, Resp+0.5f OntoGrp, NglOv, DvHf SUnbal, LsGrnd ins-2f HgR, Fd-1f | ||||||
| 10 | Sense Of Fun | 8 | -6.6 | 13.2 | 1 | C. Appleby | 2 | 3.2 | 1st Cols, FrSd, BOk ins, LdgLn+0.5f, ShffLBck+1f Ngl Inx, Drop 9th+1.5f Ngl, Dv-2f+ FrRL, SResp ins-2f, Unbal ins-1.5f, Eased ins-1f | ||||||
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GFG from G on Decs. 2mm of Watering after racing on Weds. GStick 8.4 Weds am before a drying am turned going to GFG. 08:30am initial GStick here at 8.6 (firmer). Stiff- Easterly Wind = close to 3/4 Headwind from the Left & turned around from Weds meeting. Stalls Far Side of Far Course (Stands Side on Weds). ========= Fahey SL piece 2 days before the race = "[Awohaam]... She’s quite a nice filly for all that she isn’t ideally drawn in three. She goes well, is sharp, and knows her job, so I’d hope she’ll go well." An 'upside down' result which will need some explaining. Check what the VRev & pictures turn up. Slower pace to past Halfway and a Lo5 up front. Godolphin Fillies running poorly and fading early and Awohaam very green in last until some late progress. So, can ignore those runs. First 3 home racing closest to the Far Rail (overall in Kurland & Sakhee's Gem case) and last 1.5f+ for Miss Monepenny (green until late progress). Nidnod eased early and those racing more centre track not finishing the race off like the 3 further out. All just circumstances or any Track Bias? On first view seems a race where a lot of the fillies did not show what they can do. But, worth recording that Kurland always travelling well and a clear win. Meade obviously plans to continue the good performance from his first year. Another maiden win with a cheap buy and another from his stable ready FTO. The following 8f Wood Ditton maiden for 3yos would make a hypothesis about a Far Rail bias more plausible. The two racing closest to the Far Rail finished 2nd/3rd and the Godolphin winner was in Last Place on the Far Rail through Halfway and came through to beat the other two Far Side runners later in the last 0.5f. Those racing centre Track folding earlier in stages from widest in. All looked suspicious. Why water very wide tracks like this overnight? [Update] The later 6f Abernant Stakes can make you remember just how annoying the Newmarket tracks can be. The winner Astaire getting a comfortable time in the lead and racing 2nd closest to the Far Rails. Ends up pulling clear with the horse racing just outside of him. The 3rd/4th two deeper closers from near to the Far Rail. Those racing wider at any point folding early and finishing well back. Grisly. [Further Bias Update] The 7f Craven Stakes starts out looking as if it is going to flout the Rail Bias theory. Winner Kool Kompany breaking nearer to Centre track. But, with nothing else wanting to lead Hughes able to walk to the front and then cross over to the Far Rail. Typica of Hannon Jks to be wise to a bias and be active in exploitiing it. Kool Kompany had won Group races in Ireland at 2yo being allowed to set slow paces on rails and Hughes dropping the pace once in front on the rail. With the Pace/Rail bias in his favour KK able to win comfortably with anything trying to make progress having to race wider. KK looking as if he had grown a bit from 2yo and typical for the Hannons to farm early 'Guineas Trials' with horses in a state of superior fitness. Moheet looking smaller still. === Post Full VRev === Race with a mixed quality history. 2013 had two Group winners in 3rd/4th mixed in with ordinary maiden types and less. 2014 edition lesser quality and ordinary Maiden winners at best aside from the Winner. In 2014 some lesser, but readier types mixed up with the better relative quality at the finish. This Edition looks above average with most of the field 75+ (Lady Nayef 70) and Kurland showing some Listed level travelling and zip. As with the previous two years a feeling that the final positions not telling the whole story of the different qualities on show and some mixing. A range of issues contributing = Far Rail Bias, Slowish Pace, Inexperience, Fitness Lack & inability to handle the undulations. First two home ok Open maiden types and Kurland with something extra but both readier types. Some bigger fillies behind at least as, or more, interesting longer term. Plus, another readier type in Nidnod who travelled 2nd best but ran away from the rail then got notably unbalanced around 1f out to be eased. But, overall a likeable enough group and all 10 have the ability to win something. And a likeable picture of the gormless Sense Of Fun. To quote @hughonthehill and his summation of the 2014 Editions of this race = "I think this is one of those races that will become clearer after a few more runs. The best physical specimens did not appear to be ready and the better ones that were ready did not follow the script.". This Edition seemed to have some of the same feeling with some of the better ones well below their level FTO. Little talk of a 'Rail Bias' since the day when it looked so obvious if you watch the race in Sectional/Track Position terms. The previous day's 5f races won by trainer Palmer who was given a good write up in the 2014 Review and Meade winning here who was in the Review as one of the two best efforts overall .Buying usable cheap ones and having them ready to show a lot of what they could do FTO parts of his 2014 MO. Kurland fitting that set-up well. A cheap but but as a foal and, with 1yo/2yo sales strong int he ladt few years, either major owners like Godolphin & Julie Wood have started buying foals to try to get some better value. A smaller medium one but Deep bodied and solidly built. Also moves well. Her dam - Bunditten - won the first 2yo race of the season in March of her year so this a late start relatively. Always wary of the Rail Bias but Kurland clearly showing some efficient movement, travelling well and an above average kick in the last 2f. The trainer is a meticulous type who you expect to aim the 'right' quality at this sort of race. Lack of size will show up against bigger fillies and seems more of a 'up to mid-season' Listed type. [June 16th = Note her dam Bunditten won the 1st 2yo race of her year, was 3rd in the National Stakes, 4th/20 in the Queen Mary and never placed again. Retired after two dull efforts at 3yo. An OR80s handicapper in reality but precocity assiting the early career better runs]. With hindsight, only finally set in the mind checking back on recent winners, Gaye Kelleway has done an admirable job over the years to get winners, some useful, with very cheap buys (6k and less). 2014 was very good and her one 'expensive' purchase (€22k which many buyers wouldn't need to stop to pick up)won FTO and won the valuable 5f 3yo handicap and the AW Finals Day. Which means Sakhee's Gem being a bit bigger, powerful and talented than the 5k tag suggest should be less of a surprise. Had the advantage of the Rail and just an average effort in the last 2f but looks OR70+ and trainer has a good record of converting this type to winners (can take a few runs to aim correctly). Miss Moneypenny has a top 5f 2yo pedigree and by THE 2yo sire currently. Smaller medium but a likeable shape and se-tp and ok power. Held back after running free then having to siwtch to make her later race run. Solid 75+. Lady Nayef narrow in context of this field and very Fit. Ok height. Ran away from the rail and got outpaced again before staying on. Seems an OR70 one and only 4th best here courtesy fitness and nous. May be the lowest rated by season end. War Queen a sister to 3 x 2yo winners including one who won FTO at NMKT (Guineas meeting) for the same connections. On that her €67k yearling price seems a bit low. Just a medium on and medium build. Ran a bit too free in the lead and away from the rail. 75+ Open Maiden type but not showing anything beyond that overall. Trainer Tate started a useful filly for this owner int he same race in 2013 and she finished 2nd (at 20/1) in a strong edition. Hillside Dream probably the biggest and strongest filly but not looking fit. Drawn away from the rail and did a lot of things wrong in the race including getting unbalanced and also hampered when trying to mount a later race effort. Likeable filly with good scope and just about the one you would take given the choice. One to follow. Awohaam more a 6f+ pedigree but a taller type, less strong than HD, and athletic with it. Babyish and green in the Prelims and clueless at times in the race and ended up Last and looking like the 'Racehorse' bit was News to her. 79+ type and definite Open Maiden winner and some scope for further. Nidnod for Palmer who had the 2yo winner the previous day. Probably the shortest in the field but lookign a ready type and balanced set up. A bit more body length than Kurland for eg and a bit less power behind. Ran much better than the final result reads starting with going along comfortably in the Leading Line away from the rail. Vied with Kurland for travelling best (a smallish field given the amount of greenery elsewhere, but still). Got unabled in the 4th 1f and then seemed to stumble or get unbalanced so badly the Jk eased her. Looks a smaller, ready 75 type and trainer seems a certainty to get her to win early and seems able to make them compete ok after that at their level. The early Godolphin 5f debuts rarely won, and had to be opposed on value grounds, back in the days when debuts were fully fit with overwound attitudes FTO. 2014 showed that Appleby, and Suroor to some extent, had eased off on the Debut preparation given a chance to take control of the training regime more. Not treat debuts as a chance to find out if the horse was better class and the organisation not much interested in the careers left for those that were not. Appleby's debuts early at NMKT in 2014 looked green and well of the pace. He did not have a FTO win until May 30th and the 2nd was on June 28th. Which meant Sense Of Fun & Show Day were unlikely winners unless very useful naturals. As it turned out they were even less ready for the day than expected given the downgraded model. Both too green to get involved or finish the race off (Appleby's debut the next day at NWBY was even worse) which meeans judging them on physical potential. Neither has 5f early pedigrees. Show Day looking the more typical early sprint type and a smaller medium, compact body, deep and strong one. Looks a bit Size Limited but solid 75+. Sense Of Fun a bit more height/length but still solidly made. Looks to have good development potential and one to follow (83+). |