SUMMARY
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GS in early am as on Decs. 1.5mm Rain on Saturday.
=== Post Race ===
Strongish & competitive race on Profile by Northern standards. £10,000 bonus seeming to have attracted a number of trainers to go for the win. Fahey running 3 for MPR (who target £10k bonuses) but winning it with the 'other one'.
Fahey has long been a trainer where the 2nd+ string in fields where he has multiple 2yo runners compete better than their Market odds, overall. But, recently the Market seems to have got really confused and allowed the Hamilton ridden 2yo to be at longer odds. The 2nd strings used to win without Hamilton riding and because Fahey seems to have a poor ability to extimate the quality of his 2yos before they run. Also, the quality of the likely opposition. This 12/1 win for the Hamilton ridden as 4th String of 4 Fahey reps adding to a 28/1 win for Hamilton on Lathom as 3rd String of 7 (all at 25/1+ but with 1st/2nd Fahey trained) in the Supersprint. Doesn't give the impression there is much direct Signal being picked up by the Market Formers. Was the assumption here that Hamilton was riding for an important owner in Ogden?
Interesting to see that Ogden is geeting some payback from the raft of hugely expensive 2yos fillies he purchased about 10 years ago in the US. Mustique out of one that cost $800k and did nto win. Over the weekend Ogden had a second Group 1 win with his homebred Amazing Maria out of a minor 2yo winner that cost him $700k. Also interesting to ponder why Ogden has moved North and uses Fahey & O'Meara (took over Amazing Marai from Ed Dunlop). All those high priced US buys back in the day were bought with, and trained by, Noseda. Anyone want to ask Ed Dunlop what he thinks of O'Meara getting Group 1 wins with one he had previously? What's that Ed? WHFT?
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