SUMMARY
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Rain only changing going to GFF. FGF on Saturday (GStick 9.9) from GFF on Decs. Rain overnight & 10mm by 08:30am on Sunday.
Strong to Stiff SW Wind = just under a 1/2 Headwind from the Left.
=== Pre Race ===
Yearling Video for Komedy a mixed story and looking raw Physically but a relaxed and mature attitude. A smaller sire type and deep fronted and strong enough there. Neck a bit weak at the fron. Bit longer than a compact body length and not a sprinter look behind. Narrow hips, round behind. Leg pairs seems flipped over. Forelegs looking a bit weak and just plodding short in front at the walk. Uses extra range behind to make a balanced looking walk and perhaps steps out a touch. Hard to know how that will have come together 6+ months later. Does the movement behind 'rescue' some of the lesser areas? Is she a 5f type?
Sixties Sue looking another small home bred for Channon. Appears in a slower paced Work Video from 10th April. A lead horse jogging along with 5 x unraced 2yo fillies. SSue seems to be sat at the back throughout and finishes the Work a bit off the back and hard to say whether this was being eased or losing touch. Looking a small one in the Group. Hard to judge the Gallop but nothing extra positive for SSue beyond saying she is alive, has four legs and can jog 1.5f.
=== Post VRev ===
Odd Mixed Pace and Shape to the Race. Front 3 through Halfway all pulling too hard having gone through the 1st 1f pulling but under some control. Once the 3 formed up they upped the pace while all pulling and stretched the Field out Fully with the green Illuminate 6L+ back and Komedy, green and Jk inactive, 10L back after 2f gone. The leading 3 then held back into some control in the 3rd 1f and slowing the pace down.
This allowed some Creep Zone action and Sixties Sue, Illuminate & Komedy closing up to the leading 3 to make a Line of 5 spread across the track around 2f out (about 1L+ between the 5 with the fiercest puller Stormflower already creaking visibly and soon dropping out. Komedy perhaps 3-4L behind the Lo5 at that point but had been 10L after 2f to show how much ground could be made back as the pace lulled. The 6 all in different stages of repair at 2f out but Illuminate making such a strong, and quite taking effort, that she might have won anyway even if the leaders had not contributed to their problems.
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A race with a long History but rarely with a field giving value for the Class 3 funding. Field can typically be split into 3 types = 1. Hannon Runners which can include high class runners. Won it in 2014 with Tiggy Wiggy and 2013 with a later listed winner. 2. 70s type winners, often with little scope and this race their 'Olympics'. Some will get rate OR80+ for running in the wrong race type like this. A toss-up whether a 'Conditions Race' place in the Sales Catalogue is worth the barrier an inflated OR sets. If you are an owner breeder then easier to accept the inflated OR because you have the long term activity to perhaps make it worthwhile. 3. Sub 60 try ons. Perhaps from small stables for whom a usable 60s one seems like a high class 2yo.
A race that would sturggle to get runners wiithout Hannon, Channon, Turner & Evans with this edition mostly typical. Indicative of how it gets a limited field given the early stage of the year that it has never stepped up to Listed level despite the funding. The base of better runners has not built up with theis the 43rd race in 2015.
Illuminate the Hannon 2nd String and green in the race. The start-stop pace allowing her to get back into the race despite being green. Not a powerhouse and not as strong as GP, for eg, and shorter than NW & Stormflower. Smaller medium with some length. Seemed to produce a likeable finish with a bit of extra zip. That view tempered a bit by her running away from tiring horses, the slow Overall time for the conditions and her SM Size. Seems to have some range in front and movement making her better. 80+ buts needs a full check. See whether she steps up to Listed STO as first string.
Great Page say 78+ and will rate OR80+. Running too free then seeming to take time to get going in the last 2f and perhaps feeling the firm going. Staying on att he line and 6f on easier going ok. Just medium size and solid build in the Group.
[Update June 4th = Hannon Website] GREAT PAGE emulated our 1000 Guineas heroine Sky Lantern by winning the Coolmore-sponsored Listed fillies race at Naas yesterday, but Richard Hannon wants to see how she comes out of the race before deciding whether to go to Royal Ascot. Hannon said:It was a smashing performance, and Sean (Levey) reported that Great Page travelled like a dream on that rainsoftened ground. In hindsight, Salisbury came too soon after her impressive debut win at Windsor, and she didn't run her race there, though she bumped into a smart one of ours in Illuminate, who was receiving weight, and the trip (5f) was probably too sharp. Royal Ascot comes up plenty quick enough, and, while we were thinking of the Albany, we'll have to see how she is when she resumes fast work. You have to take into account the journey to Ireland etc, so we'll chat with the Middleham Park boys and if we decide to opt out we could wait for the Cherry Hinton Stakes at Newmarket's July meeting. The owners are keen to go back to Ireland for the Moyglare Stud Stakes later in the season.
Sixties Sue fitting more than one Category as a Channon runner and one he bred. With this type Channon doesn't worry about inflated ORs because he may well sell her on or enjoy seeing a home bred rated 75+, or whatever. He also doesn't bother because, like Evans, he will run this type 15, 20, whatever times as a 2yo. Work the OR down if needed. Win races by persistence and luck. With both trainers you wonder how they keep this type running to an ok form level over long periods. Many trainer cannot do it and you will often hear them saying racing too much turns the horse sour. There's an interesting bit of research to be done to explain what Channon/Evans do differently in the training. Low level, non-peak workloads, and not much work between races? Compared to trainers looking to bring a horse to a PEAK at some point it then drops away from? The season long equivalent of 'Negative Pacing' in an individual race?
Sixties Sue a full sister to a 2014 seller winner that Brian Ellison made far more money out of onced claimed from a seller. Losing ok ones in sellers a consistent theme for Channon across the years. SS small and neat and So What. Sittin off the pace in a good S&P position but lacking the power to make that count and only getting past NW late on. Later 60s? or any better = Check.
Nags Wag looking a bit bigger and stronger than expected in this group and upgrade her to 70+. Again running too freely but trying hard in the last 2f until fading. One Evans will run often and the type he always gets at least a 2nd winout of.
Komedy expensive and got well behind as green and Jk inactive but got intot he race through the Pace lull. Looking a smaller and ready one. On Strong but Size limited. At least 1 size smaller than NW for example. Doesn't look a definite Open Maiden type. Check size.
Stormflower seemed to run well FTO when setting a stiff pace and doing best of the prominent runners behind GP. Odd run given her 60s size. Looking in good condition here but too wild and running much too free, fighting the Jk, jumping the path while she was ay it, etc. Helping to 'break' the race by pulling forward to join NW and setting her off. Did not pick up and got unbalanced when asked for a final effort and probably in line with having tired hersefl out pully. Perhaps the going some issue. Proabbly has 70ish ability but close to zero confidence that trainer Bridger has the knowledge to fix this type before her 'early season zip' gets lost as the general quality rises as the season progresses.
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