British 2yo Racing - 2015 Race Result :- 492 : Thu, August 13th

BRITISH 2yo RACING - 2015 Season Race Result

Race 492 : Thu, August 13th
Beverley 2:35, 7.5f Nursery (5)

2015 Season Home
2015 Results

[Est] is the B2yoR Rating. Green indicates a 55+ level,
Cream between 30 & 54, Pink less than 30.
Wnr = previous/LATER 2yo Winner. Letter is Race Type.
Hf = Position at Halfway. Green indicates making places to the finish.

GOING	TIME	RcPc	Video	VP
GF	94.37 [Compare]		Link	None

	Horse	SP	[EST]	LB	OR	Run	Wnr	Trainer	Dw	Hf	LBL	Run Notes
1	Bathos	3	14.0	-	62	6	N	M. Johnston	6		0.0	Supp 7/2,
2	Dutch Heiress	0.8	30.6	0.2	79	6	m	M. Prescott	2	1	0.0	Supp 5/6, , WTRB = Jk said hrs HgL HS
3	Hillside Dream	4	21.1	2.5	74	5		J. J. S. Tate	4		0.0	Drift 3/1,
4	Poppypiccolina	10	-1.9	7.5	61	5		T. D. Easterby	1		0.0
5	Mr Lucas	33	-37.9	21.4	53	4		P. D. Niven	3		0.0	OH1
NR	Clive Clifton				66			P. D. Evans	5			NR = Self Cert (Bruised Foot). Declared 08:01a,.

SUMMARY

GF in early am as on Decs. Watering overnight to Race Day but no details.

CoC quote = "The rail around the bottom bend has been moved out 2 meters from 8f to 3f, adding 7 meters to race distances of 7 furlongs and further".

=== Post Race ===

GF for the Wednesday meeting here with the GStick reading at 8.1 (higher is firmer). After no rain between the two meetings the going still GF but the GStick now 7.4 after some, unspecified, amount of watering. BVLY another course that doesn't take info provision seriously. Another CoC and ground staff with a "it's my effing ground" mindset, presumably, who grudgingly provide as little info as they can.

Why has Bathos taken this long to win? Why did he start at 5f? Why did there appear to be no plan to the career progression? Why are Johnston's umpteen runners during a week ranging from huge blossomings from duff debuts to clear wins STO, to Stewards' Enquiries for why they are running ugly clunkers for no apparent reason, and every stop in between. One track for the winter is some sort of 'Rating Consistency' for trainer's runs to see whether Johnston is some set 'type' of different in his own way.

One possible clue came from a piece, author unknown, tweeted and linking to an RP online piece. The author said he had given up on trying to understand trainers because, having visited and interviewed many, they seemed so varied. It's the wrong conclusion to reach, to give up, but let that pass and another 'fish at the table'. But he did hold Johnston up as an exemplar and highlighted two points which might give some insight into Johnstons scattergun approach. He said MaJo saw getting lots of winners as a pure 'Numbers Game', i.e. run a lot of horses, a lot, and winners will follow. His ambition, which he apparently shares with Hannon junior, is to have 300+ horses so that he "has a horse to run in every race". The author also said MaJo was bothered by poor runs by his horses or in running up strings of wins. He worked on the basis if the horse runs badly but seems fit and not ill when it comes back, then run it again. Interesting to compare that, as the author did, to some trainers who clearly have full plans for their horses and take poor runs more to heart.

Consider a 'bespoke' trainer like Denis Coakley who says he wants just 20 horses so he can learn everything about them and design there careers, and individual runs, fully. Personally. Clearly nothing like the MaJo approach and that may well show up in 'Rating Concistency'. Also interesting to consider that background to the burgeoning careers of trainers like O'Meara & Mick Appleby who made their names taking cast offs from larger strings and giving them more personal, tailored solutions to get the best out of them. Wholesale or Retail trainers. Take your pick.