BRITISH 2yo RACING - 2015 Season Race Result
Race 50 : Fri, May 8th
Ascot 6:05, 5f Maiden (Fillies') (4)
[Est] is the B2yoR Rating. Green indicates a 55+ level,
Cream between 30 & 54, Pink less than 30.
Wnr = previous/LATER 2yo Winner. Letter is Race Type.
Hf = Position at Halfway. Green indicates making places to the finish.
GOING TIME RcPc Video VP
G 60.36
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Horse SP [EST] LBRun Wnr Shp Trainer Dw Hf LBL Run Notes
1Besharah832.0-1 V  W. J. Haggas 8
11
4.7Supp 12/1, B-1 Cent, Resp Erl SFre, H-2+0.5, Fre+1f H-1, Hld+2f & Veer Lh to Jn StdsGrp Hf, TvOk-2f JkWait, SwcR-1.5f Eff, ko, 2nd-1f, PO, Ld-0.5+, PoLt
2Kassia428.31.31 M  M. R. Channon 12
6
2.2Drift 3/1, StdsSd, BkWL Cent, SFre Erl Hld, H-2 SwcL Drop-in, TvCmf-2f JkWait, SBlocked-1.5f SwcL, PO ins-1.5f, 3rd-1f, Po, PoLt
3Rial1626.61.52  M. Botti 11
4
1.5StdsSd, BOk Cent, LdgLn+0.5f, H-1+1f to 2R, Eff-2f Po, poLtr
4Dream Dreamer1025.42.22 M  J. A. Osborne 4
5
1.7Supp 16/1, BkWL Wd, Fre Erl, H-1+0.5f to 2R Cent, Fre & FFH for 2f+, Pull to Ld-2f still Hld, Eff-1.5f Resp, Po, Hdd-0.5f+, poLt, FdLn, Too Free
5Zahrat Narjis3.524.82.42  R. A. Fahey 16
2
0.5Supp 9/2, StdsSd, B1 RL, Ld Erl, Hdd+1f SHld, Xd-2f+ SUnbal Dv, Po ins-2f, poLtr
6Apicus1424.52.51  J. H. M. Gosden 10
8
3.5B-1 Cent, Resp Erl, H-1+0.5f, SFre+1f H-2 to 3R Cent, Ngl Hf Prg CZ, LdgLn-2f Eff, Po, po-0.5f, FdLtr
7Palenville3323.03.01 M  R. Hannon (Jnr) 2
7
3.0BRh-1 Wdst, Resp Erl, 2R+1f Cent Sttld, Ngl-2f SInx TTR, Dv-2f, Po ins-1.5f HnH, po in-0.5f, FdLtr
8Princess Kodia2520.04.02 M  B. J. Meehan 5
3
0.7Supp 16/1, BkWL Wd, Ld CentGrp Erl SFre, HgR-2f+ Ngl, Hdd-2f Dv Po, po-1f+, Fd ins-0.5f, Small IC
9Ejaazah1017.84.81 M  R. Hannon (Jnr) 15
1
-0.51stCols, StdsSd, BOk ins PRh NL, LdgLn Erl, Ld Ov+1f Sttld SHgR, X to RL-2f+, Hdd-2f by CentGrp Dv Po HgR, Unbal-1f+, po, HgR ins-1f, Fd ins-0.5f
10Annie Salts1217.74.81  M. Meade 7
13
5.5Drift 8/1, B-1 Cent P-1, Last Erl Ngl Resp, Onto CentGrp+0.5f SHld for 1f, TvOk-2f+ Prg SHld, 2R ins-2f, Eff-1.5f Po, po ins-1f, Fd ins-0.5f
11Rebel Surge3315.55.51 M  D. Morris 6
10
4.5BRH-1, NER, 3R+1f Cent Grp, Ngl+2f STTR InxOv, Dv-2f+ SHmp SwcL SUnbal, po ins-2f Inx, Fd-0.5f
12Guiltless2514.95.71  D. H. Brown 14
9
3.7 StdsSd, BOk ins, JkQt Erl drop 2R, Inx+0.5f Dv TTR drop 3R & X to RL, NglOv, Resp Hf, Dv-2f+ STTR Sinx, po ins-2f HnH HgR, Fd-0.5f+
13Dismantle141.410.21  C. Appleby 13
12
5.2 StdsSd, B-2 P-1, Ngl Erl Resp, Ngl+1f TTR Drop 12th, SFre Hf & Onto Grp, Dv-2f+ Inx SHdUp ModResp, po-1.5f HnH, LsGrnd-1f, Eased-0.5f+
WDFataawy M  B. J. Meehan 3 2ndCols, WD AP = Unruly in the Stalls & taken out. Has to pass Stalls Test.
WDGwendolyn  Roger Varian 1 WD AP = Refused Stalls & WD. Has to pass Stalls Test.
WDModest N  M. L. W. Bell 9 WD AP = Refused Stalls & WD. Has to pass Stalls Test.


SUMMARY
 G as on Decs. Medium SSE Wind = Mostly a X-Wind from the left (blocked by the Stands).

Stalls Stands' Side.



=== Pre Race ===

Kassia touted as one of Channon's best fillies and knew this before looking back at her Gallop Videos. Latest Video from April 28th working with Unilit (small & staying 2nd in moderate race at BATH FTO). Unraced Jersey Breeze, a regular work partner for Kassia, gets left a bit behind. Unilit hangs on to Kassia but having to work hard. Kassia on the outside and goes comfortably with the rider still perched static as she leads and pushes on a bit later on. Kassia a size bigger than Unilit but looking just a strong, balanced smaller medium. Prior to that had done a 5f racecourse gallop at NWBY on April 19th. Pulls clear of the OR50s 5yo Fitzwilly in the last 1f with JBreeze chasing her. Kassia going comfortably.

Last work Video for Modest from Decs Day for this race = Wed 8th. Works in a trio with unraced 2yos Sciarra & Rosecomb up the usual uphill strip. If the identification on the Bell website is correct Modest starts in behind the other two then moves up to join then. Has to work to do this and not going as well as Rosecomb. Sciarra (chestnut) going ok but looking a bit more a galloper. Modest smaller medium, ok build with a fast action. Neatly made but a bit on the smaller side? Had worked with the colt Academy House in later April and finishing with him on the same strip but again the rider more busy and not going as well visibly. AH a staying on 3rd on debut at NMKT in a strong maiden having been well back at Halfway.

=== Post VRev ===

Field split into 2 Groups (split by the set of stalls they came from) with 6 on the Stands' Rail led by Ejaazah and Princess Kodia leading the Centre group. Besharah initially in the Centre Group then veered over to the Stands Group around halfway. Then switched out right again to get into the gap between the 2 groups when making her effort.. Average Pace or a bit above for newcomers, with both Groups level and even lengthwise spread after 2f. Fastish time but fast conditions on the day with Time people feedback suggesting the going closer to GF.

Race developing into a 2f sprint with the Centre Group a bit ahead by 2F out with Dream Dreamer having taken over from PK and clear of the rest of her group but fading last 0.5f. Wide spread across with the 3 permanent (not Besharah) Stands siders in the first 5 staying on together to overhaul DD later and ZN overhauling Apicus late for 5th.

Pace Average at most with both leaders of the Groups there on sufferance and held back rather than looking to take the Pace along. With many of the Jks presumably told to hold their fillies up and ride-for-a-finish a soilid number of fillies running too free to some extent and/or held back to drop in. Giving away ground in barely a 2f sprint at the finish.

===

Race often not as strong as the billing and timing might suggest. Also variable in field size. In 2012 the 9 fillies declared were split into 2 Divisions so that ASCT could make a 6 race card. Those 9 typical quality including 4 subsequent maiden winners and a number rated OR80s but none really better than that depite a number trying Listed/Group events. 2013 had a Group 1 class winner in Rizeena but tailed off quickly behind and less real OR80+ quality behind than in 2012. 2014 similar to 2012 with a winner up to winning a Conditions event but not much future relevance behind, not helped by the 2nd/3rd placed fillies not racing again in the turf season.

===

Which sets a model to judge this large field against. Late Sprint off a usable pace not helping the separate the fillies out but look at the Shape of the Result and a possible 'Story' seemed to be emerging by the finish. The first 2 fillies home seems to have prospects to go to Conditions level or higher. Besharah on the effort she showed to get from midfield to the lead and go clear. Kassia partly on reputation and showing 'enough' here to think she can improve. 3rd/4th home STO runners who have looked 70s of some sort and set a standard here. Dream Dreamer perhaps showed zip above that take. 5th/6thj should be 75 at least but any better? Palenville a longer price and should be 75+. PK another marker horse in being a limited sub-75 small one in this field. Anything behind her needs a real excuse to think they are 75. Slower nature of the race plus some greenery meaning that apart from Rebel Surge the others all have Profiles to be possible 75+. With which time to tun to the PRev & VP take.

Besharah looking a better one in the field. A goosize and strong without being heavily. Notable positive for a good attitude and wanting to race. Ran too free in the race and Jk Cosgrove trying to hold her for much of it and the veer over to the Stands Side seemed to be part of the holding back (designed or not). Travelled well enough for the Jk to delay asking for the final effort until 1.5f out and a strong response to get to the lead and go clear before stalling a bit. Looked something a bit different in this group. Ought to be OR90+ .

Kassia hard to judge if you have all the Hype buzzing away in your head. Has the pedigree to produce an OR85+ sprint 2yo. As tall as Besharah but not as well made and a bit more leggy (Channon trademark) and less build. Calm in the prelims when Channon does get a good number of fizzy ones. Harley riding rather than Bishop, or whoever, who rode the more recent Group 1 filly for the yard. Jk dropped her in to settle her and Kassia travelling fine 2f out but a bit blocked. A good effort when clear and sustained it ok to ge tto 2nd but lacking the visible extra zip Besharah produced. Say 85 or a bit better on what she showed here and weigh that against the Hyoe and the Work Gallops as more info comes in.

Rial still looking a 70s filly of some sort and compare her VP picture to the first two home and looks lesser quality, a bit smaller, lighter build over, less neat, etc. Got a good run through the race and looks fine as 70s and average Open Maiden prospect. Sets a level that thos behind need an excuse to say they finished in the wrong relative position in this race by Ability.

Dream Dreamer a medium to smaller medium here and notably fit. Behaves and looks like a zippy 5f one. Ran much too free int he race and fought the Jk too hard. Seemed a positive given that she got to the lead still held by the Jk and found a kick when asked at 1.5f out. Looks an OR70s 5f type on size but her run here seemed to hint she has more zip than that. Keep her in mind as one who can go OR80+ as a precocious one. Any value if she runs in Conditions race at WDSR, etc.

Zahrat Narjis bulky but too lax mentally to compete FTO. Fit here but still not sharp mentally. Medium size and a bit above average bulk. Held to 2R here and then slow thinking and acting when crossed by Ejaazah before 2f out. Not showing the effort of the the first two home and Dream Dreamer and not looking a fast 5f type on her effort. Her dam took time to develop with racing and ZN seems the same and might need further. Should be 80+ ok.

Gosden starts very few 2yos over 5f early (this is early for him). Looking back over the last 4 years and the examples have mostly won at 2yo without being better class. In 2013 he ran Simple Magic who was unplaced at 5/1 (Buick ridden with Mackay riding here), won at WTON 3TO and never won again. A 70s type of some sort. Apicus looking a smaller medium and lacking a bit of build. Ran ok given she wasn't fully fit but looking mid-70s of some sort.

Palenville finally running having been entered in various races before. 33/1 with Dobbs riding. Doesn't have a 5f pedigree and another smalelr to smaller medium one in this group. Green 2f out and did not pick up much and HnH after that. Perhaps because she needs further. Somewhere either side of 70 and where she is targetted for STO indicative of the actual quality Hannon thinks she is.

Princess Kodia a small ready one in this field and size limited. 60s. Overpowered in the last 2f here.

Ejaazah a medium to smaller medium Acclamation with some length. Lacking some build. Hanging Right at times and getting an easy time leading her group. A bit green and unbalanced and faded out of it. Another to not appeal as a certain Open Maiden type and perhaps lower 70s and needs to snap together STO. 70+ and again where Hannon targets her STO of interest.

Trainer Meade gets his 2yos mostly ready FTO on the 2014 evidence and also likely to get usable ones for lower prices. Annie Salts the cheapest in the field and the 8/1 opening price an indication of the early reputation he has gained? Look as his returns with noted Market Movers in 2014 (Supports & Drifts) and you could make a case for there being some positive info flowing to the Market. But, look at the Drifts and the Profits are even better. Suggesting the Market knows little and his returns just reflected the very good season he had overall. A small one in this field although built ok. Last after a slow start then ran a bit free. Seemed to show something above her size by the forward move she made around 2f out before being asked for the final effort. Sub-70 on size but Meade seems to have methods to squeeze extra out of this sort. Check her STO especially if dropped to a low level race as a 12k purchase.

Rebel Surge too green to run a race. Has a good 2yo sprint pedigree but a smaller one. Usable 60s if she develops?

Guiltless too green to run a proper race. Smaller and poorly made. Lok at her yearling picture and she hasn't changed or improved. Still the same ood shape. No particular interest and lower to mid 60s perhaps.

Dismantle further evidence that Appleby debuts are still unready. A solid size and build but not fit enough. Too green to pick up 2f out. This his 6th debut of the season and none have placed and the first 3 on negative ratings. Around 80 on PRev.

Three fillies WD from stalls 1 & 3 (centre track leaving Palenville on her own in 2) and 9. Modest has worked with the other earlier 2yos for Bell and has hung onto them without going as well in the Videos. Smaller medium and stronger/deeper front than behind. Looking green and a bit mousy in the prelims. Should be a usable smaller sprint type when she tightens & wises up. 70+.

Gwendolyn 7/1 when WD with Atzeni riding. Green in the prelims and WD AP and the 2 x Varian debuts so far looked smaller and sub-75 ones getting going rather than better ones.

Fataawy a smaller one but a deep, compact and sprint type. Check STO.

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