British 2yo Racing - 2005 Trainer Stats for P. W. D'Arcy

BRITISH 2yo RACING - Trainer 2yo Statistics Page 2005

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2002 - 2004 Statistics

P. W. D'Arcy (Newmarket)

SUMMARY OF APPROACH TO 2YO RACING :-

Medium sized stable and has run between six to eleven 2yos in seasons 2002-4, increased from previous levels. The 2yos are split between owner breds and those bought at the sales. The sales purchases are usually in the range 5k to 25k gns but he gets occasional more expensive runners (3yo Group 1 winner Indian Haven cost 62k for e.g.).
Although he does target 2yos wins he has an inconsistent and patchy record. In the four seasons 2000-03 he had 5 2yos winners from 20 runners which is alright. However 4 of the winners were capable of rating 100+ so could win on natural ability. The other 16 runners produced one win in a moderate Windsor fillies' auction race which is less good. In 2003 he got four placed runners from 6 runners but no winner. It is a debatable point whether this was a good performance in getting places or less good because some of those places should have been wins.
The 2004 season produced 3 winners from 11 runners which sounds alright but again the same doubts arise over the strategy. All three winners were later (2 in October) in the season with 2yos having their 5th, 8th and 11th runs. In each case the winners had shown variable ratings in runs before the wins. Good effort to get 3 wins out of 11 moderate horses or not?
He does not fully target FTO wins but gets occasional FTO winners with superior runners and/or in weaker races. He was quoted in 2003 that he liked his 2yos to be fit enough and competent on debut because they have higher risk of injury if they are not.
No FTO wins in 2003-4 but 3 places among the earlier debut runs (before mid-June). Runners tend to be close to their best rating on debut unless there is an obvious excuse (for e.g. Bazelle pressed the pace in a big field at Newbury and probably rated lower than she should because of that). STO runs do not tend to show much improvement unless the runner obviously underperformed on debut.
The FTO SPs are only slightly correlated to FTO performance and ability. In early season short SPs (4/1 or less) are likely to indicate a good run(ner). In the later season the difference is more subtle with, for e.g., a 12/1 SP probably indicating a runner with some ability and 50/1 a poor runner (in the same type of race).

2005 Debut Runs Summary

2005 SEASON RUN DETAILS

Horse Run # Date Course Dist Gng RcCls RcTyp SP Postn [Est] Run Style Hdgr Notes

TAFILAH 1 27/03/2005 YARM 5.2 GS 5 Auc 3.5 2-7 47 T3 -1+Hf, Ef-1+, POn

FIRST BYTE 1 04/04/2005 YARM 5.2 G 7 Slr 2 3-5 35 M PSS, T2+H, Dv-1, pon

TAFILAH 2 04/04/2005 YARM 5.2 G 5 M 3.5 5-8 43 T T1+H, Dv-1+, QFd

DREAM FACTOR 1 09/04/2005 LNGA 5 STD 6 Auc 25 6-7 41 P3 3Wd, SFre, -HfHf, SQFd-1+

POLAR BLIZZARD 1 23/04/2005 LEIC 5 GS 6 M 25 10-10 0 B BS-4, NIR

FIRST BYTE 2 25/04/2005 WDSR 5 GGS 5 Acf 8.5 10-15 12 2F FrSd, Ld3f, RFd-1+

DREAM FACTOR 2 28/04/2005 SWEL 5 STD 6 Auc 2.5 1-6 46 TF LdHf, Kon-2

POLAR BLIZZARD 2 01/05/2005 NMKT 5 GFF 4 M 33 10-10 34 T3 AggRd, T1Hf, Outpcd-2, RFd

DREAM FACTOR 3 04/05/2005 CHES 5 GS 2 Cnd 33 8-10 57 B9 Outpaced, -5Hf, SEf, NProg-1+

POLAR BLIZZARD 3 10/05/2005 YARM 6 GS 6 Auc 100 12-15 17 B NIR

FIRST BYTE 3 15/05/2005 RIPN 6 GF 6 Slr 5 6-14 16 T Support, Dv-2f, QFd-1.5f

FIRST BYTE 4 21/05/2005 CATT 6 FGF 6 Slr 2.25 3-7 26 M Dv-2f, SProg-1f+, SHmp, Fin4th

SAPPHIRE STORM 1 23/05/2005 BVLY 5 GF 7 Auc 16 11-14 16 T4 -2Hf, QRFd-2f

CHEROKEE VISION 1 29/05/2005 NMKT 5 GF 5 M 12 10-12 17 BAf -3+1f, -8Hf, QRFd-1.5f

DREAM FACTOR 4 30/05/2005 RDCR 5 GFF 5 Nov 8 5-7 51 T3 GdPc, -2Hf, Dv-2F, Fd-1.5f

FIRST BYTE 5 01/06/2005 YARM 6 GF 6 Slr 3 1-7 42 T T2Hf, Eff-1f+, LedLt

HALLANDALE 1 02/06/2005 SDWN 5 GF 5 Auc 25 8-10 19 MB 3Wd, -2+1f, -3Hf, QFd-1.5

SAPPHIRE STORM 2 06/06/2005 FOLK 5 GFG 6 Slr 12 3-8 36 T T2Hf, Dv-2f, SFd

FIRST BYTE 6 09/06/2005 YARM 6 GFF 6 Nov 25 3-7 35 T54 A7, T2.5Hf, Outpcd-2f, SFd

CHEROKEE VISION 2 10/06/2005 WTON 6 STD 5 M 25 9-12 30 M DvHf, QFd-2f

SAPPHIRE STORM 2 13/06/2005 WDSR 6 GF 5 Slr 7 2-8 52 T Rail, Led-2f, Hdd-1f, po

TAFILAH 3 16/06/2005 WTON 5.1 STD 6 Acf 12 4-10 39 T T2Hf, DV-2f, SQFd

HALLANDALE 2 18/06/2005 NMKJ 7 GFF 5 M 40 6-10 55 M ModPc, -2Hf, QOutpcd-2f+, SFd

SAPPHIRE STORM 6 21/06/2005 BTON 6 F 5 Auc 10 6-6 0 T5 B-1, T2.5Hf, 3Wd, RFd-2f+

FIRST BYTE 05/07/2005 PFCT 6 GF 4 Nur NR-

CHEROKEE VISION 3 05/07/2005 WTON 7.1 STD 5 Auc 33 4-12 49 M A3, SProg-2f+, po ,NIR

TAFILAH 4 06/07/2005 LING 5 GGF 5 Nur 16 3-12 46 B XB RAIL, -5+Hf, SwcL2 SPrgLt

HALLANDALE 3 06/07/2005 LING 6 GGF 5 Auc 12 9-13 22 T V 4Wd, T2Hf, QFd-2f

DREAM FACTOR 5 07/07/2005 NMKJ 7 GS 3 Nur 40 7-13 47 M -2+Hf, SOut[cd-2+, SHmp-1f+

THAT'S BLUE CHIP 1 11/07/2005 WDSR 5 GFG 5 M 8 10-12 39 F Rail, FHfHf, Hdd-1f+, QFd

DREAM FACTOR 6 16/07/2005 LING 6 5 Nur 9 7-9 39 P2 Rail, PNkHf, QFd-1.5f

FIRST BYTE 7 20/07/2005 CATT 7 FGF 5 Nur 11 5-5 38 T4 -2+1f, -3Hf, Ef & NProg

OPAL WARRIOR 1 23/07/2005 LING 5 GF 5 Auc 50 5-10 48 T B-2, -2+Hf, SFd-1f+

TAFILAH 5 25/07/2005 YARM 5.2 GSG 6 Nvf 3.3 4-5 47 T4 Rail -2Hf, SEf-2f NProg, SFd-1

SAPPHIRE STORM 5 25/07/2005 YARM 6 GSG 6 Slr 4 2-6 45 F Mod-AvPc, F1Hf, po, HddLt

POLAR BLIZZARD 4 05/08/2005 NMKJ 7 GGF 5 Slr 33 16-17 7 MB -3+1f, Outpcd+3f, -5+Hf, QFd

TAFILAH 6 08/08/2005 WDSR 6 GF 5 Nrf 16 6-13 32 M A3, -3+Hf, Outpcd-2f, SFd

SAPPHIRE STORM 6 10/08/2005 YARM 5.2 GF 6 Slr 1.25 3-7 38 T2 -HfHf, Dv-2f, SFdLt

CHEROKEE VISION 4 11/08/2005 BVLY 7.5 GFG 5 Nur 40 6-11 45 BM A3, Prg3Wd+2f, -3+Hf, Fd-2f

DREAM FACTOR 7 15/08/2005 YARM 6 GFG 6 Clm 12 4-14 37 T -3Hf, Ef-2f & Chal, po

TAFILAH 7 18/08/2005 WTON 7.1 STD 5 Nur 20 8-12 24 B -5+Hf, NIR

DREAM FACTOR 8 23/08/2005 YARM 6 GGF 6 NrS 2.25 3-5 43 T3 -2Hf, SEf-2f, po

SAPPHIRE STORM 9 06/09/2005 LING 6 GGF 6 M 7.5 2-16 33 F A5, Rail, F1Hf, Hdd-1f, pon

HALLANDALE 13/09/2005 YARM 7 GGF 4 Nrf NR-

DREAM FACTOR 9 19/09/2005 FOLK 5 GFG 5 Nur 10 2-14 48 1M A5, Stds, -4Hf Ef-2 POn-1 Rail

HALLANDALE 4 20/09/2005 NMKT 6 G 4 Nur 66 13-13 12 P4 -3+1, -1+Hf, QRfd-2f

HALLANDALE 5 27/09/2005 NOTT 10 GGF 5 Nur 25 16-16 0 M7 -4Hf & SEf, Eased-2f

TAFILAH 8 13/10/2005 SWEL 7 STD 7 M 7 6-14 35 T -2+Hf, Dv-2f, SQFd-1+

DREAM FACTOR 10 15/10/2005 CATT 5 G 5 Nov 22 5-10 46 T3 GdPc, -2+1f, -3Hf&Dv, Fd-1+

HALLANDALE 6 18/10/2005 SWEL 7 STD 5 Auc 50 1-10 48 T Ef-2f+, pon-1f+

LYNFORD LADY 1 29/10/2005 SWEL 8 STD 7 M 33 8-13 23 B B-2, NIR

TAFILAH 9 31/10/2005 WTON 7.1 STD 6 Slr 6 4-11 37 B Dv-2f & SProg, SFd-1f

THAT'S BLUE CHIP 2 31/10/2005 WTON 5.1 STD 5 M 6 5-12 45 M SProg Hf, Dv-1f+, SFd

~END~

2005 SEASON DEBUT RUN DETAILS

Horse	Run #	Date	Course	Dist	Gng	RcCls	RcTyp	SP	Postn	[Est]	Run Style	Hdgr	Notes
TAFILAH	1	27/03/2005	YARM	5.2	GS	5	Auc	3.5	2-7	47	T3		-1+Hf, Ef-1+, POn
FIRST BYTE	1	04/04/2005	YARM	5.2	G	7	Slr	2	3-5	35	M		PSS, T2+H, Dv-1, pon
DREAM FACTOR	1	09/04/2005	LNGA	5	STD	6	Auc	25	6-7	41	P3		3Wd, SFre, -HfHf, SQFd-1+
POLAR BLIZZARD	1	23/04/2005	LEIC	5	GS	6	M	25	10-10	0	B		BS-4, NIR
SAPPHIRE STORM	1	23/05/2005	BVLY	5	GF	7	Auc	16	11-14	16	T4		-2Hf, QRFd-2f
CHEROKEE VISION	1	29/05/2005	NMKT	5	GF	5	M	12	10-12	17	BAf		-3+1f, -8Hf, QRFd-1.5f
HALLANDALE	1	02/06/2005	SDWN	5	GF	5	Auc	25	8-10	19	MB		3Wd, -2+1f, -3Hf, QFd-1.5
THAT'S BLUE CHIP	1	11/07/2005	WDSR	5	GFG	5	M	8	10-12	39	F		Rail, FHfHf, Hdd-1f+, QFd
OPAL WARRIOR	1	23/07/2005	LING	5	GF	5	Auc	50	5-10	48	T		B-2, -2+Hf, SFd-1f+
LYNFORD LADY	1	29/10/2005	SWEL	8	STD	7	M	33	8-13	23	B		B-2, NIR
~FINISH~