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June 6th SUMMING UP
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The second division of the same race but we might be in a different country,
things are very different. All of the four that are clear on profile have
shown worthwhile previous form and if you put any of them into the first
division they would probably start as favourite. Frisky Talk &
Isobel Rose oppose each other for the third time and a decider following
the split decisions. Neither has seen a race out fully over 5f yet although
they go about things in a different way.
Frisky Talk likes to press the pace and has been in the first two at halfway
in all three outings. On debut, in what seemed a solid Newmarket maiden
but looks ordinary now, she lost some ground at the start then pressed
the leader past halfway before fading. At Warwick in a lesser race she
sat a length of the pace in second and led into the final furlong before
stalling late on. Last time she finally escaped Isobel Rose and started
4/6 fav in a moderate race here but set too strong a pace for her own good.
She ran hard to cross in front of the field to the rail and was three lengths
clear at halfway. She stalled entrering the final furlong and put up her
worst effort although hanging on for second. On paddock review she's a
65-70 filly and will get to the top end of that when she sees out 5f properly.
She's in stall 1 again here so another choice for the jockey of how to
use the pace she has.
Isobel Rose is smaller than Frisky Talk and another one that's an average,
70ish, type and needs to win soon because she has not got much room to
develop. She sat a length behind Frisky Talk at Newmarket and used her
effort to pass her and challenge for the lead, she then stalled and faded
in the last half furlong. At Warwick she was drawn wide in 14 (Frisky Talk
was in 13) and again tracked that filly by a length at halfway. When both
made an effort inside 2f she made a little progress on those behind but
lost some ground on Frisky Talk. She then again showed a fade in the last
half furlong after her effort. With both fillies lacking development potential
they will probably run similar races here.
So, with two solid markers is there anything with more potential to beat
them today? The obvious possibilities are Lorena Wood & Duskiness
who were both much more expensive sales purchases. Lorena Wood made what
looked a very good debut by trainer standards on easy going at Windsor
finishing close up in a bunch finish having had the rail position as an
advantage. The strength of that form is a little hard to assess, the winner
showed lower form next time in a Listed race and the runner-up has won
a two runner race. The third disappointed stepped up to 6f. She probably
has prospects of being a better filly than FT & IR in time over 6f+
but on firmish ground and over 5f (her sire hasn't had a 5f 2yo winner
in 2003-5) she probably runs roughly to their level.
To get her to the top of the profile Duskiness has been given full value
for all areas of her profile and for the possible disadvantage she had
FTO. She pressed a good pace pace there and seemed to pay for that effort
and faded towards the last furlong along with the favourite. She needs
to show strong improvement to beat Frisky Talk but has solid prospects
to. (She cost a lot of money given her ordinary female side pedigree, but
then Sheikh Mohammed's son (all beige colours) has spent a great deal of
money on, erhem, 'ordinary' horses so perhaps there is a bit of a 'recruitment'
issue..)
There's a long gap back to the others and it would be a big surprise to
see them troubling the top four. Springtime Parkes has run badly
so far despite the positives of her trainers and siblings records. On paddock
review she looked capable of 60+ form but too narrow to be a real 5f filly
and more 6f+. She shouldn't figure here but one to think about once she
gets into nurseries in later season.
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