British 2yo Racing - 2008 Season
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Racing Previews Results

Racing Preview - May 21st 
Races :-
  • 101: Ayr 2:00, 6f Maiden (4)
  • 102: Goodwood 4:35, 6f Maiden Fillies' (5)
  • 103: Sandown 6:00, 5f Maiden Fillies' (4)

  •   May 21st Summary : 
     

    Race Virtual Paddocks FTO P&L Qualifiers
    • All three races today have a consistent theme with each field split as roughly half and half as newcomers and those with experience. You would be hard pressed to nominate any of those with previous runs as likely future winners of open maidens on what they have acheived and a number have looked moderate physical types as well. Fortunately, each race has at least two debut runners with solid profiles and the races still have the potential to produce better class winners.
    • Benato The Great  (B Smart, March to May). Trainer has lived up to his billing of starting with a solid batch of 2yos before June and they are well enough prepared to win if the ability is there. This will be his 8th debut runner and the previous 7 have included three winners and a strong second. This is his fourth runner for Sheikh Mohammed's son and the previous three have (in order) won FTO (Go Nani GO), been inexperienced FTO and won well STO (Spin Cycle) & run a strong second (Excellent Show's second to Haigh Hall in what looked a good fillies' 5f race at Thirsk).
    • This one is a reasonably expensive son of Acclamtion and a half brother to two juvenile winners (on on debut in late season) by Fruits Of Love. Unless Sweet Smile improves notably his strongest opponent would be a Mark Johnston's Takaatuf and another expensive purchase for the Maktoum family. The Smart record tips the balance and puts his 2yo top of the profile.
    • As a general comment you can look at maidens like this and it looks a complete mismatch. With Johnston & now Smart both tooled up with deluxe purchases they are incredibly big fish in Northern maiden terms. Kevin Ryan and Howard Johnson (Wylie backed) can compete to some extent but few others. You would almost feel that stats like 'FTO Strike Rate' need to have a Northern & Southern split given that if you start most of your 2yos in the South you are going to run into a wider range of well resourced opposition.
    • Tropical Paradise (P Winkworth, Long Shot). This Sandown 5f maiden for fillies has a good record of producing useful runners. In 2002 the French Group 2 winner Never A Doubt won from the inaugural Albany Stakes winner Duty Paid and Speed Cop (5f Listed success). In 2004 the Albany Stakes winner Jewel In The Sand won FTO for Richard Hannon and in 2005 the Albany Stakes victress La Chunga was beaten into fourth (Jeremy Noseda was less sure with his debuts then than this year). The last two editions have been empty and opposing last year's field in later runs proved a good appraoch.
    • Unless Streets Of Hope moves well forward from debut the best chance of some quality should be the newcomers and Hannon's Miss Fritton is an obvious possibility given the trainer has used the race before and has had three debut winners in the last week (including with a filly at Windsor two days ago).
    • The 'Winkworth Project' will be known to those who read this section and he introduced another duff one at Windsor where Hannon's Baileys Cacao won well. Again, his juvenile was very for FTO and well forward in condition but too lacking in ability to compete. On profile this runner has a bit more to recommend her and is well drawn if she does have the physical presence and may be a value alternative.

    ~ AYR 2:00 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    1 BENATO THE GREAT [40] - 1 29
    4 TAKAATUF [38] - 1 32
    3 SWEET SMILE [33] - 2 25 1 25 32
    2 SCARLET BLADE [7] - 2 -15 1 -15 25

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    ~ GDWD 4:35 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    3 ELUSIVE WAVE [37] - 1 29
    2 AZWA [35] - 1 21
    10 STRAITJACKET [27] - 1 29
    4 KERRYS REQUIEM [26] - 2 -5 1 -5 35
    6 MISTY GLADE [24] - 2 9 1 9 28
    5 MISS MOJITO [22] - 2 12 1 12 24
    9 SONG OF PRAISE [16] - 1 14
    1 AMBER SUNSET [10] - 1 35
    8 RIDGEWAY SILVER [7] - 3 2 1 2 24
    7 PERCYS CORISMATIC [0] - 3 -3 2 -52

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    ~ SDWN 6:00 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    8 TROPICAL PARADISE [38] - 1 35
    3 MISS FRITTON [37] - 1 29
    2 CRYSTAL MOMENTS [28] - 1 21
    7 STREET OF HOPE [25] - 2 18 1 18 24
    5 OUR WEE GIRL [17] - 1 24
    4 NATIVITY [16] - 2 -8 1 -8 25
    6 PEPER HAROW [14] - 1 24
    1 BABY SPECIAL [8] - 2 -16 1 -16 31

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