British 2yo Racing - 2008 Season
<< 2008 Season
Racing Previews Results

Racing Preview - July 15th 
Races :-
  • 340: Beverley 3:15, 5f Auction (5)
  • 341: Brighton 2:30, 6f Maiden (6)
  • 342: Yarmouth 6:20, 7f Maiden (5)
  • 343: Yarmouth 6:50, 7f Selling Nursery (6)

  •   July 15th Summary : 
     
    • At Beverley those with form do not set a strong standard and other than Desert Falls shouldn't be able to cope with a vaguely adequate debut runner. That one is poorly drawn and the best of the newcomers look to be David Barron's topweighted filly Noble Heart in stall 11 of 12 and Richard Fahey's Solo Act in stall 7 (provided he isn't a poor leftover after his raft of earlier season good 5f debuts).
    • Typical race set-up at Brighton with two major stables dropping runners with placed form who have been tried at higher than maiden race level to try to get a '1' next to their name. Peter Chapple-Hyam is normally a top 2yo operator and would compete well with Mark Prescott for knwoing how good the 2yos are before they have ever run. But, he is having a poor season by his standards with a single winner from 11 individual runners at a 4.2% strike rate to last Sunday. The debut runners in early season looked underdone and number in lower condition than you would expect from his stable. Overall he is clearly not operating at his top level at present. 
    • Skid Solo made a solid debut in a Newbury conditions race and is one of only two of the seven declared for that race still to win (the other is Entrancer who runs in a nursery tomorrow of an OR60s mark which looks a of some interest). He ran well enough to suggest an early maiden win would be a formality but he's been tried against the same group he met at Newbury with worse results. Then a run in the Norfolk Stakes (5f) at Royal Ascot where in paddock review he looked underpowered against the likes of South Central (he had looked big compared with the early season average type). This is more his level but the overall trainer form is an issue.
    • Ed Dunlop is well ahead of his 2007 performance with 6 winners from 19 runners at a near 16% strike rate. He hadn't had a 2yo winner since June 15th though until Zaffaan won at Ascot last week. That one had always looked a usable sprinter but too mentally immature before the Ascot win (withdrawn on debut after panicking in the stalls and then a quiet intro for a firat run). This lack of mental maturity and nervous attitude has shown up in other runners this year and Johnny Rook had clearly let the atmosphere get to him at Royal Ascot where he ran badly in the Chesham Stakes. He drops back to 6f from 7f and is a similar ability level to Skid Solo and would be value to beat that one if at longer odds.
    • The Yarmouth selling nursery (the course is the 'Home' of juvenile plating races and stages notably more than any other track) contains another Ed Dunlop nervous fruticake with topweight Yokozuna. On debut in a slowly run race he looked promising is making ground along the rail late in the race. He was favourite initially at Grest Leighs STO but drifted in the market and in paddock review had obviously 'lost it' mentally and was putting all his energy into fretting and misbehaving and none into being a racehorse. 3 later runs have produced hints of better form and he could beat this group off OR67 on physical grounds because the rest aren't strong by selling standards.
    • Iy you take the OR62 as a good seller winner perch then the three previous low class winner sin this race are on ORs 56-58 so the official handicapper thinks they are below par. If Yokozuna still doesn't fancy this racing lark then you mostly have a low quality race between horses who ought to be in this grade and a toss-up between limited athletes. Nun Today is on OR62 and runs in her first seller after three maiden runs and trainer Stan Moore likes to wins sellers so she is of obvious interest. At the bottom of the handicap is Strictly Royal who in pure 'Powerball' terms is in the wrong place. He's a much bigger 2yo and more powerful than an OR49 rater. Try comparing him to the tiny Percy Chorismatic on OR49 who is at her right level. The difference is that she is a 100% trier and Strictly Royal ran in a 'bad boy' visor on debut and hasn't co-operated even mildly since. If he would consent to shift himself then OR49 is just wrong.
    • The Yarmouth 7f maiden is similar to the Beverley race with low level form from the experienced runners which sets a moderate standard for the newcomers. Nothing stands out from those making their debut and you could draw up a shortlist of possible that would be difficult to separate without being at the track. Morning Sir Alan has a good pedigree and background but is only his trainer's second 2yo runner in recent years so difficult to trust him to turn this one out knwoing what to do. Michael Stoute regularly uses the course to introduce well above average 2yos that can win races like this even off an unstressed preparation at home. Mirrored has the background to be better class and is a rare sales purchase, as a foal, for Khalid Abdulla (Juddmonte Farms, etc) who normally relies on home breds. If he's good he's unlikely to be a value price and might still flunk it through greenness and if he's average he's unlikely to be ready eanough. Beraimi comes from a trainer you can trust to win FTO with the right material but this one looks an ordinary type on pedigree. Probably enough of pushing the alternatives around the plate.

    Race Virtual Paddocks FTO P&L Qualifiers
    • Solo Act  (Beverley, RA Fahey, 5f Debuts)

    ~ BVLY 3:15 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    2 DESERT FALLS [33] - 3 30 2 4 20
    1 NOBLE HEART [32] -1 1 31
    7 SOLO ACT [30] +2 1 32
    10 POSITIVITY [25] +5 1 35
    5 NOODLES BLUE BOY [18] - 1
    3 MONSIEUR JOURDAIN [13] - 3 6 1 6 18
    4 NOBLE ARTIST [12] - 1
    9 FUTURE GEM [8] +5 1 4
    6 SHADOWS LENGTHEN [8] - 2 -5 1 -5 16
    11 REAL DIAMOND [6] +5 3 -27 1 -27 4
    8 COOL SONATA [3] +5 5 22 1 22 23
    12 SALE OR RETURN [1] +5 3 -20 2 -40 18

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    ~ BTON 2:30 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    3 JOHNNY ROOK [40] - 3 38 1 38 32
    4 SKID SOLO [39] - 4 44 3 38 44
    2 HAND PAINTED [25] - 2 22 1 22 27
    7 KUTANGA [24] +5 1 47
    5 CASH IN THE ATTIC [17] +5 2 -21 1 -21 34
    1 CASHED UP [6] - 3 2 2 -9 29
    6 DEFINITE HONEY [4] +5 2 -20 1 -20 22

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    ~ YARM 6:20 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    9 WANNABE KING [35] - 2 30 1 30
    6 MORNING SIR ALAN [33] - 1
    2 ANDHAAR [32] - 2 24 1 24 32
    3 BERAIMI [31] - 1 42
    5 MIRRORED [30] - 1 37
    1 ACHROMATIC [28] - 1 40
    8 TAE KWON DO [25] - 1 32
    7 POSTER [20] - 1 32
    10 BOUNTY REEF [19] +5 3 15 1 15 30
    4 HIGHWAY MAGIC [18] - 2 -35 1 -35 28
    11 YORKSTERS GIRL [12] +5 1 22

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    ~ YARM 6:50 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    6 TITO GOBBI [26] - 4 14 1 14 30
    4 ROSE OF COMA [25] -2 6 16 2 7 21
    1 YOKOZUNA [25] -12 6 32 1 32 32
    5 MISSY QUE [24] -1 5 19 1 19 30
    8 PERCYS CORISMATIC [24] +7 6 11 5 -52 16
    10 STRICTLY ROYAL [23] +9 4 -30 3 -50 34
    9 KOSAMA [20] +9 4 -1 3 -10 34
    2 NUN TODAY [19] -6 4 9 2 -4 21
    3 CHERRY BELLE [18] -3 5 9 3 -16 30
    7 INN SWINGER [18] +5 5 9 2 -58 10

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