British 2yo Racing - 2008 Season
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Racing Previews Results

Racing Preview - August 14th 
Races :-
  • 526: Beverley 2:40, 5f Maiden Fillies' (4)
  • 527: Beverley 3:50, 7.5f Nursery (5)
  • 528: Chepstow 5:50, 6.1f Maiden (6)
  • 529: Great Leighs AW 6:00, 6f Novice (4)
  • 530: Salisbury 2:00, 7f Auction (5) Div I
  • 531: Salisbury 2:30, 7f Auction (5) Div II
  • 532: Sandown 2:50, 8.1f Maiden (4)

  •   August 14th Summary : 
     

    Race Virtual Paddocks FTO P&L Qualifiers
    • Such Optimism (Salisbury 2:00, RM Beckett, All Debuts)
    • The 8f maiden at Sandown has just 5 runners of whom 3 are newcomers. In the context of how difficult it is to win an 8f race on debut this event is clearly a little unusual. Miss Sophisticat is better than she has shown to date on physical type and should be suited by 8f on softer ground. Blue Dynasty is a powerful build altough a shorter and stockier model than the classic, rangy, stayer. As with the filly he has the potential to perform to a much higher level than he showed on debut here in a slowly run race. Which means that they should set a stiffer ability level for a FTO runner to exceed then would seem likely at first glance. 
    • Mick Channon, responsible for Too Much Trouble, has trained an 8f debut winner in recent years among the three newcomers. That was in 2006 with Go On Be A Tiger for this owner - Jaber Abdulla - who seems to own a privileged position with the stable and gets a good selection of the better sales purchased 2yos. That was on October 10th though and one of just 6 debuts at the distance during the year. In 2007 he had only one placed debut over 8f which was also in October and for the same owner. None of the 7 debuts at the trip were placed in 2005.
    • This is an early 8f debut for the trainer and in general he starts at shorter distances before stepping runner up in distance. Like Richard Hannon, whom he worked for as an assistant, he tries horses over 5f that other trainers would not just on pedigree grounds. He has said that he trains horses, not pedigrees, in interview. 
    • Paul Blockley rarely starts horses at 8f, or longer, with just 5 such debuts in the last 6 seasons. One of those, in October was successful but at 33/1 in a dreadful race at Brighton. His runner Zafisio has enough in his profile to believe he could be up to average maiden winner class.
    • In summary, and interesting set-up and one where there may be value in the two runners with unplaced runs to their name against the newcomers. The records of the trainers suggest they will need to be well above average to get a win first go.

    ~ BVLY 2:40 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    13 SALSA STAR [34] - 5 51 2 28 32
    14 VAL DE FLORES [28] - 3 24 2 12 36
    12 RED KYTE [27] - 3 20 2 -22 33
    5 FLORENTIA [24] - 2 20 1 20 25
    7 IMPRESSIBLE [23] - 5 31 2 25 14
    3 CASH IN THE ATTIC [21] - 5 26 3 -21 34
    2 BUSSELL ALONG [17] - 3 11 1 11 32
    10 MONACO MISTRESS [16] - 2 11 1 11 30
    16 WOTATOMBOY [16] - 4 23 2 2 20
    15 VALENTINE BAY [15] - 1 40
    8 LE REVE ROYAL [14] - 1
    9 MIDNIGHT FANTASY [14] - 2 10 1 10 20
    1 ARRIVA LA DIVA [12] - 2 -49 1 -49 29
    6 GEORGIE BEE [8] - 1 69
    4 ELSIE JO [3] - 3 -2 2 -8
    11 PETELLA [0] - 1 5

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    ~ BVLY 3:50 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    1 FASTNET STORM [35] - 4 35 2 20 18
    10 PILOT LIGHT [34] +21 4 14 1 14 18
    2 GOING TIME [33] +8 4 33 2 20 38
    7 HOLD THE BUCKS [33] +16 5 17 3 -27 21
    6 MUSICAL MAZE [30] +14 5 16 2 -4 15
    8 ROSE OF COMA [30] +18 7 16 2 7 21
    11 ASTROLEO [29] +23 4 4 2 -10 28
    5 DIGGER DEREK [28] +13 4 15 2 14 32
    9 DISPOL DIVA [25] +19 6 7 2 -38 19
    12 KNEESY EARSY NOSEY [24] +23 6 9 1 9 29
    3 WOTEVA [24] +8 6 28 1 28 29
    4 EXTREMELY SO [23] +13 4 6 3 3 16

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    ~ CHEP 5:50 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    2 DEFINIGHTLY [30] - 2 24 1 24 37
    3 IMPERIAL SKYLIGHT [24] - 5 30 1 30 34
    5 RIO GAEL [23] - 2 14 1 14 12
    1 CLOUDESLEY [20] - 1 34
    4 MAY NEED A SPELL [5] - 1 29
    6 ABACUS HOUSE [0] +5 2 -38 1 -38 10
    7 SPIRITUAL BOND [0] +5 3 -24 1 -24 27

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    ~ GLGH 6:00 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    3 STAN'S COOL CAT [48] - 5 40 4 31 36
    1 ZAFFAAN [46] -8 4 54 2 22 32
    2 CELTIC SPUR [40] -1 2 31 1 31 34
    4 RARE ART [35] +2 1

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    ~ SALS 2:00 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    1 I AM THE BEST [46] - 5 52 3 39 36
    4 SUNNY FUTURE [34] +3 3 28 2 28 12
    12 SUCH OPTIMISM [32] +10 1 34
    2 SOLAR GRAPHITE [29] - 2 3 1 3 36
    6 GEARBOX [28] +5 1 35
    3 MISTER DEE BEE [25] +3 3 20 2 9 37
    8 MARCUS CRASSUS [14] +5 2 -4 1 -4 14
    11 EFFICIENCY [10] +10 2 1 1 1 23
    9 MYKINGDOMFORAHORSE [8] +7 2 -1 1 -1 34
    13 PERFECT FRIEND [8] +12 1 31
    7 HARRY RAFFLE [6] +5 2 -108 1 -108 31
    10 TAX DODGER [2] +7 2 -18 1 -18 29
    5 FREE TO CHOOSE [0] +5 4 -1 1 -1 28

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    ~ SALS 2:30 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    2 HYPNOTIC GAZE [32] - 1 36
    1 DEVIL TO PAY [30] -3 1 36
    10 EIGHTDAYSWAWEEK [27] +5 2 -18 1 -18 31
    3 LETHAL GLAZE [18] - 3 7 2 1 35
    7 PETER GRIMES [18] +2 2 17 1 17 14
    6 GOOGOOBARABAJAGAL [16] +2 1 45
    4 TRICKY TREV [11] - 2 4 1 4 18
    5 BLAZING BUCK [10] +2 2 8 1 8 14
    12 ATHANIA [8] +9 2 15 1 15 28
    11 AUTUMN MORNING [4] +7 2 -34 1 -34 20
    8 CORAL POINT [2] +4 3 -9 2 -21 31
    9 JASPER CLIFF [0] +4 2 -105 1 -105
    13 JULIE MILL [0] +9 2 -78 1 -78

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    ~ SDWN 2:50 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    5 MISS SOPHISTICAT [30] - 3 14 1 14 40
    2 TOO MUCH TROUBLE [28] -5 1 34
    1 BLUE DYNASTY [26] -5 2 5 1 5 32
    3 ZAFISIO [18] -5 1 23
    4 KALONI [10] - 1 21

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