Of general interest is the debut performance of the Mark Prescott runners.
This trainer has a definite strategy with 2yos and batches debuts together.
The earliest batch(es) have most of the usable 2yos and therefore most
of the winners as juveniles. These will include 2yos that the trainer has
deemed as having limited scope and will be used in an expendable way. The
first seven debuts this year were in the period May 23rd to June 2nd and
all of the 7 have won. Two of these (the fillies Predict & Haven't
A Clue) have been dropped to seller/claimers in the last two days despite
having ORs in the 78-84 range. Both ran appallingly to confirm the view
Mr Prescott knows what his horses are capable of.
The 3 debuts after that early batch have been odd ones between July 16th
to August 15th and the 8th debut won STO and the 9th & 10th have placed
2nd on their second runs. Again, we have usable 2yos being picked
out to start when they are ready.
Now, the later debuts will include the odd winner as 2yos but mostly over
long distances in late season. The majority of the later debuts will be
either useless or the '3yo Handicapper' set-ups. Which means three
quick runs over 6-7f for 2yos that aren't ready so they start their 3yo
handicapping careers off ORs that are much lower than their actual ability.
Mr Prescott knows their top range before they are 3yos and whatever you
think of the 'gentlemenliness' of the set-ups the way they are handled
at 3yo is good to watch.
Which means we should be expecting a batch of set-ups during September.
Yesterday saw the 11th debut of the Season with Ascendant running
for Cheveley Park Stud. He's by the stud's sire Medicean who does get sprinters
(Dutch Art as the obvious example) but was a development 3yo himself and
gets more 7f+ types. His dam was an unraced daughter of Sadler's Wells
(3yo staying....) and she has produced two winners at 11f as 3yos.
is a good type and size and the sort of horse to follow because he has
plenty of scope to develop. Not that fit and without any nous for the day.
He started at 14/1 and his lack of knowledge showed up as he was flopping
around at the back and being scrubbed along. He didn't handle the
bend that well and looked destined to finish among the trundlers. He ended
up plugging on into 5th just because he's that big and powerful that he
couldn't be held out with the useless. So, was he the start of the 'Master
Of Arts' type set-ups in 2008 or might he be allowed to show what he can
do at 2yo?
[The Kempton 6f maiden was a good one if you like 'big lads' to follow
with Cheviot (Picture)
winning after showing a good, balanced, movement in pulling clear with
an effort intot he straight before fading in the last furlong. He is such
a barrel of a horse that he presumably wasn't fit on debut when he faded
after attending the pace. He didn't look fully fit here and had some paddock
judges putting him down as needing more runs to get really ready. In that
contet this was a good effort.]