British 2yo Racing - 2008 Season
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Racing Previews Results

Racing Preview - September 16th 
Races :-
  • 713: Haydock 2:30, 5f Maiden (5)
  • 714: Haydock 3:00, 6f Maiden (5)
  • 715: Lingfield AW 3:20, 7f Maiden (5) Div I
  • 716: Lingfield AW 3:50, 6f Nursery (5)
  • 717: Lingfield AW 5:20, 7f Maiden (5) Div II
  • 718: Yarmouth 2:40, 7f Nursery (4)

  •   September 16th Summary : 
     

    Race Virtual Paddocks FTO P&L Qualifiers
    • Bill On The Hill (Haydock 3:00, MW Easterby, Long Shot)
    • Michael Stoute has a mixed record with September FTOs in recent years but the debuts during the month regularly include a number of his higher class runners. He had three debut winners in mid September in 2006 from the high class trio of Kaseema, Shorthand & Adagio who all ran in Group races on their only later runs that year. Last year he had no debut wins from 7 newcomers but then had three in first 9 days of October. The seven FTOs in September did include higher class types such as Confront (2nd at 15/8 and won STO) & Patkai (a clueless 6th at 20/1) and the SP does seem to split the types for the stable by this time of the year. The group had less able ones mixed such as Houghton who placed again yesterday in his third go in a maiden as a 3yo.
    • So far this month he has run six on debut of which none have won but four have placed (in the SP range 100/30 to 7/2), two have finished 4th (at 9/4 in a Class 2 conditions race and 10/1 in an ordinary maiden). This matches the basic model of a mix of good horses and less able ones (who may still be OR70s kit) of which prospective Group quality is needed to turn the laid-back debut prep into a FTO win. The SP looks a reasonable indicator of what type the debut runner is (good or lesser in context). Of the six to date Standpoint (picture), Imposing, Evasive (Picture) & Strictly are probably all at least average maiden winner types STO and the three colts (i.e. excluding the unreviewed Strictly) are probably better than that.
    • He runs one in each division of the Lingfield 7f maiden with King's Chorister an owner bred for Cheveley Park Stud (like Evasive & Strictly) out of Group 1 winning mare Chorist. The second is a less well related owner bred for the Rothschild family with Cosimo. Interesting to check how the market reacts to both and whether either is high enough class to win FTO.

    ~ HYDK 2:30 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    1 BEN'S DREAM [] - 2 9 1 9 33
    2 BLACK ATTACK [] - 5 31 1 31
    3 GRISSOM [] - 2 -105 1 -105
    4 MR FREDDY [] - 2 17 1 17 20
    5 SILENT WONDER [] - 2 29 1 29 15
    6 BOHO CHIC [] +5 2 16 1 16 36
    7 THAT BOY RONALDO [] +5 8 12 4 -46
    8 URSULA [] +5 2 -1 1 -1 29

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    ~ HYDK 3:00 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    1 BILL ON THE HILL [] - 1 20
    2 BOB'S SMITHY [] - 3 26 1 26 45
    3 DR JAMESON [] - 3 32 1 32 20
    4 DUBAI HILLS [] - 3 31 2 20 24
    5 HAWKEYETHENOO [] - 3 15 1 15 20
    6 JUL'S LAD [] - 4 17 3 17
    7 MUSICAL BRIDGE [] - 5 39 1 39
    8 HART HOUSE [] +5 1
    9 KATIE GIRL [] +5 2 -16 1 -16 29
    10 LADY GEM [] +5 2 11 1 11
    11 LIBERTY DIAMOND [] +5 2 19 1 19 29
    12 MIMICKER [] +5 3 -1 2 -24 20
    13 POLLISH [] +5 3 -18 1 -18
    14 TOP FLIGHT SPLASH [] +5 1 29
    15 VALENTINE BAY [] +5 3 -13 2 -14
    16 WRENS HOPE [] +5 2 -5 1 -5 13

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    ~ LNGA 3:20 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    1 ALMAZAR [] - 2 10 1 10 23
    2 ANTINORI [] - 1 44
    3 AXEL FOLEY [] - 1 25
    4 CHEAM FOREVER [] - 2 27 1 27 36
    5 CLEAR HAND [] - 2 -11 1 -11
    6 DIALOGUE [] - 3 22 2 22 32
    7 EMIRATES WORLD [] - 2 14 1 14 43
    8 KING'S CHORISTER [] - 1 42
    9 MR UDAGAWA [] - 3 17 1 17 36
    10 SABORIDO [] - 2 36
    11 SANDOR [] - 3 22 2 4 41
    12 MY BABY LOVE [] +5 1 10
    13 SPINNING JOY [] +5 1 15

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    ~ LNGA 3:50 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    1 COOL ART [] - 4 43 1 43
    2 FLYIT [] - 5 29 2 27 28
    3 MARBLED CAT [] +3 4 30 3 29 32
    4 PISTE [] +3 4 21 3 -70 34
    5 SKRUTON [] +4 8 30 2 -13 32
    6 PRINCESS HANNAH [] +4 4 22 1 22 28
    7 MY BEST MAN [] +4 6 25 3 3
    8 STRIKE COMMAND [] +4 4 20 3 -40 36
    9 YOU'VE BEEN MOWED [] +4 6 26 1 26 18
    10 MINTOE [] +5 4 21 1 21 31
    11 ON THE FEATHER [] +5 4 23 2 8 34
    12 COURAGEOUS NATURE [] +6 6 24 5 -23 25

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    ~ LNGA 5:20 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    1 BANDA SEA [] - 2 -1 1 -1 41
    2 CHARLIE SMIRKE [] - 2 15 1 15
    3 COSIMO [] - 1 42
    4 CURACAO [] - 1 36
    5 ECHO FOREST [] - 1 25
    6 EDGEWORTH [] - 3 15 1 15 11
    7 LA TIZONA [] - 1 36
    8 MOJEERR [] - 2 -10 1 -10 30
    9 RAINBOW SEEKER [] - 2 2 1 2 40
    10 RED DAGGER [] - 1 9
    11 SON OF THE CAT [] - 1 32
    12 SPRING OF FAME [] - 2 32 1 32
    13 WABI SABI [] +5 2 8 1 8 38

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    ~ YARM 2:40 ~ Today's Race Best Run FTO Run
    Name [PRF] WCor Run Class Level Best [Est] Best Run FTO [EST] Ave % FTO
    1 SAPPHIRE PRINCE [] - 4 30 2 2 25
    2 TAAZUR [] - 6 37 1 37 32
    3 BERMONDSEY BOB [] +3 4 27 3 -64 18
    4 NIGHT LILY [] +4 4 25 2 20 16
    5 PAPA MEILLAND [] +5 4 32 2 20 25
    6 DEFECTOR [] +6 4 33 2 29 33
    7 FLINTLOCK [] +6 4 31 3 29 43
    8 LA ADELITA [] +7 3 24 2 17 33
    9 CALAHONDA [] +9 5 20 4 17
    10 HAWKSPUR [] +10 6 30 2 -21 28

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