BRITISH 2yo RACING - 2010 Season Race Result
Race 431 : Fri, July 30th
Goodwood 4:35, 7f Nursery (2)
[Est] is the B2yoR Rating. Green indicates a 55+ level,
Cream between 30 & 54, Pink less than 30.
Wnr = previous/LATER 2yo Winner. Letter is Race Type.
Hf = Position at Halfway. Green indicates making places to the finish.
GOING
 TIME RcPc VP
GF 87.2
[Compare]		 1None

Horse SP [EST]ORRun Wnr Trainer Dw Hf Run Notes
1Royal Exchange372894 m/L R. Hannon 6
4
Supp 4/1, BkWL, Eff Erl & Prg, H-1 +2f & 2nd Rank Sttld, SPrg-2f+, Eff ins-2f, Po, Resp-0.5f+ & PO, Ld Lt, SCmf
2Diamond Geezah566846 m B. W. Hills 3
3
Supp 6/1, B-1 Wd, Eff+0.5f & Prg Wd, Mdfld+2f & SPrg 2Wd to 2nd Rank, SEff-2f+ & Ld, Po, Resp ins-1f, Hdd Lt
3Singapore Lilly1650746 m/L M. R. Channon 8
8
BOk Wd, 2nd Rank Erl Sttld, Shffl Back+1.5f & Drop to RL, Hmp+2.5f -1L, Eff-2f TTR, Po-1f+, 3rd ins-1f, po-0.5f to Ln
4Sir Lunchalott3347755 a/S J. S. Moore 5
1
BOk, Dv Erl & Eff, Ld+0.5f Cent SFre, XF+2f, 2Clr Hf, Hdd-2f+, po ins-2f, Stall ins-1f, Fd Lt
5Falkland Flyer3349796 m M. R. Channon 4
9
BOk Wd, Hld Erl & SFre FFH, H-2 +1.5f Drop Back, Hmp+2.5f -1L, SwcL-2f+, Eff-2 Resp, po ins-2f, 6th-1f, po
6Alfraamsey2041739 m M. R. Channon 10
2
BkWL ins ,Eff Erl, XF+0.5f & LdgLn, Allow Frcg XFr+2f, SOutpcd-2f RL, po-1.5f, Fd-0.5f
7Bathwick Bear2058906 v/L P. D. Evans 12
7
BOk RL, Eff Erl, 2nd Rank+1f RL, Hmp+2.5f RL -2L, Eff ins-2f, po HnH, Resp ins-1f, Stall Lt
8Silken Thoughts2534704 J. Berry 2
5
BOk Wd, SEff Erl, Mdfld+1f Cent, SPrg+2f 2Wd, SOutpcd-2f, SInx ins-2f, po, Stall-1f, Fd-0.5f
9Memen353915 m P. F. I. Cole 9
11
B-1, Ngl Erl TTR, LastPr+1f TL, TvOk-2f+, Eff ins-2f, Po-1.5f, 7th-1f, Stall ins-1f SHmp, Eased Lt
10Silence Is Bliss841845 a J. S. Moore 7
12
BOk Cent, H-3 +1f Drop Back, SOutpcd-2f, po-1.5f HnH, Resp-1f & Hmp-1L, Eased-0.5f
11Major Conquest840855 m J. W. Hills 1
10
BOk Wdst PCarrLh-1, Fre Erl & Hld, H-3 Erl Drop-in, Fre+1.5f & SFFH, SOutpcd-2f JkQt, po-1.5f HnH, Eased-0.5f Cent
12Philharmonic Hall1622664 R. A. Fahey 11
6
BOk ins, SFre+1f & Hld, SHmp+2.5f -1L, SOutpcd-2f+, po ins-2f, Fd-1f


SUMMARY
 A solid but usable pace for the second rank. The run to a sharp bend and the need for a 12 wide group to drop in lead to a longer field at halfway than the pace alone would suggest. Different to how a race would play out on a straight course for example. DGeezah 3rd through halfway in the second pair 1 off the rail and 2L off the lead. RExchange 2L back from DG and on the rail in the 3rd rank. Gap back from the 5th to the 6th. The 6th to 12th spread out at 7L to 13L off the lead with only PH racing more than 1 off the rail and doing that because he has rolled off it around the bend. Check the final placing versus the halfway positions suggest the pace stiff enough to start folding the front of the field back towards midfield. SLily seem to make better than average effort overall unless first two home started to fold back by the finish. Beaten 2.75L at the finish having been around 5L behind REx at halfway. FFlyer on the outside of SL at halfway and lost nore than 2L on her to the line despite making places himself.
Making ground from well back difficult. Take favourite Memen as an example he was around 11L off the lead at halfway and about 7L off REx. Beaten more than 8L at the finish so no real forward progress. TV pundit baffled by why Memen had run 'poorly' having been excited by his effort at Newmarket and thinking he might be 'Group Class'. A classic example of how comparing 'Form' in flat, 2-D, lengths-and-pounds is hugely flawed. The nursery Memen won at Newmarket was a wild 'Pace War' compared to this relative trundle. The first 3 home were the last 3 at halfway and the pace had pulled the field close to inside out by the finish. The first shall be last and the last shall be first. Remember, that was on a straight track and despite the stiffer pace the field was only spread over 6L at halfway. Add to that Newmarket has one of the stiffest climbs to the final 1F as there is in the country. This race was run on a slight downhill to the finish. Comparing what Memen achieved without thinking about pace, halfway positions and lengths off the lead, how much the field folded back is just 'wrong'. And that from a well respected TV Pundit. On B2yoR estimates ran about 6L worse at Goodwood than at Newmarket. Not much ground really over 7f and getting shuffled back early and not being able to mount the same sort of effort on a wholly different track could account for a lot of that. But another lesson in how fine the margins are between a 'Good' run and a 'Poor' one and often through factors not within the jockey's or horse's control.
Looking at the worse than average 'Faders' and SThoughts a suspect OR and from a trainer that does not 2yos (well once in a Blue Moon). PHall a disappointing horse and trainer Fahey said before racing that the horse had not shown it's real ability on the track. At home it worked with horses that were better than OR66 level. A last place here just more of the disappointment?

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