British 2yo Racing - 2013 Race Result :- 272 : Fri, July 5th - Haydock Park 7:15, 6f Nursery (4), "First Nursery"

BRITISH 2yo RACING - 2013 Season Race Result

Race 272 : Fri, July 5th
Haydock Park 7:15, 6f Nursery (4), "First Nursery"

2013 Season Home
2013 Results

[Est] is the B2yoR Rating. Green indicates a 55+ level,
Cream between 30 & 54, Pink less than 30.
Wnr = previous/LATER 2yo Winner. Letter is Race Type.
Hf = Position at Halfway. Green indicates making places to the finish.

GOING	TIME	RcPc	Video	VP
GF	74.37 [Compare]	1	None	Link

	Horse	SP	[EST]	OR	Run	Wnr	Trainer	Dw	Hf	Run Notes
1	Woodland Girl (p)	20	43.0	62	4		R. A. Fahey	5	8	Drift 16/1,
2	Bounty Hunter	2.75	50.4	71	5	M	T. G. Dascombe	9	2	Supp 4/1,
3	Centre Haafhd	5.5	50.9	73	3	m	T. D. Barron	6	5	Drift 9/2,
4	Green Run	10	44.1	73	3	m	R. Hannon	2	7	Drift 17/2, Hmp-0.5f+
5	The Smart One	7.5	44.1	73	5		M. R. Channon	4	6
6	Dovil's Duel	25	24.1	61	4	N	B. R Millman	3	9	OH5, Supp 40/1,
7	Vine De Nada	10	37.9	78	5	a	M. Johnston	1	10	Drift 8/1,
8	Secret Applause	8	23.9	73	3	a	M Dods	11	4	Supp 12/1,
9	Limegrove (h)	20	19.9	78	8	m/C	P. D. Evans	10	1
10	Corncockle	4.5	0.9	83	5	m	R. Hannon	8	3	FreOv, Ld+1f Cent & HgL take Fld FrSd. , WTRB = Jk said HgL
NR	Red Forever			61			A. Berry	7		OH7, NR = Going. Declared 16:50pm.

SUMMARY

GF from GGF on Decs. GStick 07:00am. 6mm rain Tues, 1mm Wed. 6mm Watering overnight.

Light Southerly Wind = 1/4 Tailwind from Left.

First Nursery so work through runners with comments to :-
(A) Try to Find solid Ref between [Est] given so far and ORs (note current OR figs are RPost & not BHA).
(B) Try to identify which horses on right ORs and which have scope on Sz/Power & [Ests]

Corncockle on OR83 & poss a little low. On Pic say 82 ok. Feel like OR42 given for NMKT win a bit high. Use 38 PRF then Check. This would mean a diff of 45. On correct OR range, solid filly with ave scope.
Vine De Nada OR78 and recall MaJo snigger on early season work. Not really competed professionally or strongly. Gave him [33] for 5th LTO otherwise would be on mid-20s range. Leave on 33 for PRF as check. Pic looks smaller mdm. Expect to see him struggle and need to revisit 33 rtg as that says OR78 when off OR78..
Limegrove has a 35 from a fast 5f polytrack erl ssn. That time presumably surface & condtions. Hasn't reproduced that on turf & not looked obvs for 6f. Hints of att issues those turf runs. Smaller but ok build and ok for Evans souped up OR76 in Nurs if lacking scope. Keep the thought of improve back on Polytrack and use 27 as best recent Turf effort = OR72 when off OR78.
Centre Haafhd No pic. Win suggests 6f ok but in a muddling slow pace race. gave it 28 = OR73 which is what he has. Use that as average chance but not on shortlist.
Green Run gave 30 for her 5f win but that too high & called her effort so-so. On OR73 here which would mean OR73 2lbs well in. Prob just mdm one. Use 30 & just ave compet but another poss too high.
The Smart One smaller colt but has 2 x 30+ rtgs in better races. How much of that real. Ran poorly LTO but break. 6f OK. OR73 a bit low for what he has done but not bgr type nor scopey but siblings incl solid zippy ones. Use 30 and though lack scope better than OR73 on form and zippiness.
Secret Applause small one and 2 x solid Northern runs but lacking class of TSone for eg in opposition. Dods Nurs record? = 5 in last 7 years and 1 per year when wins. Usually on 5TO which fits in with his Ready FTOP types lacking scope running until OR goes down or find an empty race. This isn't empty and OR73 a bitt too high. Use 25 (OR70 equiv) & not convinced by that. Trnr uses inx App7 to add to that.
Bounty Hunter OR71 which is too low and BHA would surely be at least OR74 which suggests all figures here are 2-3lbs too low. Solid build and phys btr than OR71 but seems a stodgy mover. Did best of pace LTO and looks a possible. Use PRF 29 to credit him for a solid OR74 type & poss a bit btr if LTO hints at improvement.

Then a gap from OR71 down to three at bottom on OR62 & 2 on 61 with bottom twp actually OR56 & 55 so OHs. No Pic of Woodland Girl and has mid-teens Ests. Hasn't really got into any races before so poss has more to show. Use 16 which is OR61 but with note needs PRev and check back on why she never gets into races. Could do better if ok sz and gets going but Far side Dw again. Dovils Duel looks late OR50s on pics & size. Lacks scope. On right OR range but OH here and taken along too fast out of grade? Need to downgrade the KTNA mdn he got OR21 for = too high by some way although still looks a good bunch that beat him. Use 13 & see whether he runs competently.

After two Slow Times the previous day this notably quicker. Field developed into a pressing Lo5 by Halfway but on Cent-Stds line over to VDN on Fair Rail. So running on entirely different part of track to many other races. Another reason why difficult to pick up track biases here. Makes talking about draw alone almost useless if Field of 10 with Stalls centre can end up anywhere on the track or spread out all across the centre line.

Field taken Far Side in Effect by Corncockle Running too Freely in lead early on and Hanging Left as the Jk tried to hold her. Her Drift Pushing those wider with her and attracted Cent runners over to her. Lo5 by Hf within 0.5L of each other as (from FrRL) CH, Corn, BH, Lmgrv & SApp. Woodland Girl another winner on day on faster going who was scrubbed along around Hf as if the pace too quick for her. DD hauled back and XB erl.

Watch last 3F and the race plays out as a too strong pace. Front Line beginning to Stall by 2F out and even the ones who persisted best from being prominent faded down to plugging on. Race then reads as BH & CH did best of Lo5 and solid efforts with TSO & GRun from 2R making sim efforts but fading a bit more towrds end. Corncockle tired and eased ins-1f. SApp & Lmgrv (looking more willing as a presser) fading by-1f. DDuel had chance to close nearer but Veered RH & ended up StdsSd. VDN ridden conservatively in last place on rail at HF and should have been able to close up more. But a weak effort and not looking in form nor completely willing. Need to see him show more spark or form as his malaise seems stuck with him at present.

Which left Woodland Girl running Widest in Centre to stick at it well enough to just get to lead lat on but fading by line. 5th-1f, 3rd ins-0.5f, Short and poss shortest in field but Bulky and a trier. Wouldn't have won but for bigger types running themselves out early & poss track adv & WGirl seems OR60s & poss only needed to run to OR62-5 range to win. Struggle under pen and type to need to run a lot to find OR60s win in Nurs. Bounty Hunter now run well but in too pressing a front line twice but seems on ok OR & ought to be able to rate higher with more balanced power o/p. Centre Haafhd at least as big as Corncockle & lks typ lengthy sire type. Got to lead and tv a bit btr than BH until-1f. Green Run prod btr effort from 2R than TSOne to get to chal CH-1f but Hrs already lkg across at Hgg CH who carved GRun up-0.5f+ as rolled back to rail, Mark GRun up a bit.