British 2yo Racing - 2014 Race Result :- 168 : Fri, June 13th

BRITISH 2yo RACING - 2014 Season Race Result

Race 168 : Fri, June 13th
Sandown Park 2:40, 7.1f Maiden (5)

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2014 Results

[Est] is the B2yoR Rating. Green indicates a 55+ level,
Cream between 30 & 54, Pink less than 30.
Wnr = previous/LATER 2yo Winner. Letter is Race Type.
Hf = Position at Halfway. Green indicates making places to the finish.

GOING	TIME	RcPc	Video	VP
GGF	90.16 [Compare]	2	None	Link

	Horse	SP	[EST]	LB	Run	Wnr	Shp	Trainer	Dw	Hf	LBL	Run Notes
1	Tupi	2.75	49.0	-	1			R. Hannon (Jnr)	3	8	11.2	B-2 ins P-1, NE STTR, ShfflBck+0.5f, 4R to Bnd RL Ngl SInx, SwcL-2.5f+ Cent Ngl, SPrg-2f+, Eff-2f Po, 4th-1f -1.5L Po, LdLt
2	Marshall Jennings	8	47.5	0.8	1	M		R. Hannon (Jnr)	13	6	6.7	Supp 12/1, BkWL Wd, LdgLn Erl, 2nd+0.5f H-1, Drop-in to Bnd 6th 3R 1Wd, TvCmf-3f, Prg ins-2.5f, Eff-2f from 4th -2.5L, Po, 2nd ins-1f, Po poLt
3	Red Rubles	25	47.5	0.8	1			A. M. Balding	1	9	12.2	B-2 RL P-1, ShfflBck+0.5f, 5R to bnd, SPrg Bnd to HS ins Tupi, SPrg-2f+ FrRL, po ins-2f HnH, Hmp-1.5f VeerLh, Resp-1f+ 8th Cent -5L Po, 6th-0.5f PO, GOFin, BTR
4	Diaz	6	46.5	1.3	1	M		M. Johnston	5	2	2.2	Drift 7/2, BkWL ins, XF+0.5f 2nd 1Wd, Allow XFr+1f SUnbal, 1WdOv, SPrg Bnd 2nd to HS -2L, Eff-2f, Po, Ld-1.5f+, Po, po ins-0.5f, HddLt
5	The Paco Kid	4	44.0	2.5	3			O. Stevens	4	5	6.0	BkWL ins, H-2+0.5f, 3R to Bnd RL, TvCmf-3f, Prg ins-2.5f to 2nd ins-2f Po JkWait, Eff-1f+ Po, po ins-0.5f, HmpLt -1L+, NStay?
6	Classic Villager	33	42.0	3.5	1			P. E. Hide	10	7	10.0	BkWl Wd, LdgLn Erl, H-2+0.5f, Mdfld to bnd RL, HgL Bnd NglOv, Dv to HS Resp, Prg-2.5f+ Cmf, Po ins-2f OwnPc , Blckd-1f+, Hmp-0.5f Esd, BTR
7	Groor	10	41.8	3.6	2	M		J. J. S. Tate	2	3	3.7	Supp 12/1, BkWL ins, SFre+0.5f Hld, 2R to Bnd RL, TvOk-2f+, HdLOv & HgR ins-2f TTR, Po-1f+, Hmp-1f, HgR ins-1f Hmp Other, HgR ins-0.5f Eased
8	Foylesideview	100	35.5	6.8	2			L. A. Dace	7	1	2.2	AP Swtg, BkWl Cent, Ld+0.5f, XF+1f 1.5Clr, QFre Erl Bnd Pull 4L+ Clear Hld, po ins-2f, Hdd-1.5f, po, QHmp ins-1f, Eased-0.5f+
9	Moonadee	7	35.3	6.9	1			J. W. Hills	8	12	15.0	Supp 14/1, B-2 Cent PBmp-1, JkQt Erl LsGrnd, XB+1f 13th to Bnd RL JkQt, TvCmf-2f+, Prg-2.5f SInx OwnPc, 10th-2f Po HdUp, po-1f HgR JkQt, NPIR
10	My Mate	14	32.3	8.4	2			C. E. Brittain	6	4	4.5	Supp 16/1, BkWL Wd, LdgLn Erl, H-2+0.5f Resp Free Hld, FFH for 1.5f, 4th to bnd 1Wd QHld, SPrg-2f+ OwnPc but po ins-2f JkQt, LsGrnd-1f+, Eased-0.5f+
11	Celestine Abbey	80	21.7	11.2	2			J. Feilden	9	10	13.5	BOk Cent, Dv Erl TTR Drop Back, Resp+1f, Dv to Hs TTR, po-2.5f MvAwk, Fd-1f, Small
12	Playboy Bay	50	-3.3	26.2	2			M. R. Channon	14	13	16.0	BOk Wdst, DropBck+0.5f JkQt, 12th to Bnd 1Wd, Dv to HS TTR, Unbal-3F, HgROv, ModResp-2f+, Fd-1f+
13	Synodic (t)	16	-3.5	26.3	1			D. R. Lanigan	12	14	18.2	Drift 12/1, B-3 Wd P-2, Last+0.5f XB 1Wd, Inx & Unbal-3f ins ModResp, Eased-1f+
14	Royal Street (t)	100	-13.5	31.3	3			Seamus Durack	11	11	13.7	BOk Wd, H-2 Erl, Mdfld+0.5f Wd Fre Hld, FFH for 2f, 2Wd to Bnd Hld & 2WdOv, SResp-3f+ OwnPc, LsGrnd-2f+ JkQt, Eased ins-1.5f

SUMMARY

GGF from G on decs.

Rail out by "up to 5yds" for entire race distance. They estimate this adds 8yds to the race distance which sounds too low given the long bend mid-race.

A Wild Race by the standards of 7f races at the course. A typical race sees a slower pace but the need to fall in 2 by 2 around the long bend spreading the field out over a longish distance. This effectively puts anything not travelling in the first 4 (say the first 2 pairs) out of the race unless they can manage progress in the Creep Zone (3f out to 2f out while the place is still slower) to be placed better for the final 2f Sprint.

With a sweating Foylesideview going berserk in front this race saw a Strong Pace and the field spread over miles by Halfway and real Pace Pressure put into the race. Look at the Halfway to Final Positions of the first 9 through Halfway and the race between them is well on the way to turning itself Inside-Out (the first shall be last and the last shall be first) by the line. Red Rubles (9th at Hf at 12L+ back of the lead) staying on well on the outside late on and might have got to the lead in another 0.5f. Worth noting any horses who have done better than would be expected if you just turned the Halfway positions around, e.g. Diaz the Best of the Pace in 4th from 2nd at Hf. Also worth looking at how much the lack of any room to make ground on the inside in the last 1F+ hampered Groor & Classic Villager.

[Post VRev]. Looked a solid edition of the race race with some solid Open Maiden prospects. Not an early 7f race full of big and slow 'Boats' who continue to look slow and don't convert to Maiden winners. Watch the race and it is surprising at many point through it that Tupi won. If the pace hadn't been so strong he wouldn't have won because he was gree at various points and losing ground or taking time to respond. In a version of this race with an Average pace or less he probably wouldn't have got much beyond midfield. Even with the pace folding back Hughes manages to be in the right place on a green one to get a clear run on the outside. Also mananging to be close enough 2F out for the run Tupi finally produced to be just enough to be in front when the Music Stopped. Impressive to watch Hughes managing the situation on a newcomer.

Tupi had been a NR over 6f on May 29th so prob readier physically than some here. Not the boaty 7f+ type to look at and more typical Hanon/Doyl shape. Bulky and deep bodied and middle length with a longer neck. The Hannons were saying last week that perhaps one day they will have a Derby runner but they will probably need to buy different 'Shapes'. Over the years it has been instructive to look at the horses they have run in Listed+ 9f races as 3yo +. Tizzy May was an early season 5f winner at 2yo and ran in Listed race over 10-12f and looked different to the other horses he was racing against. Smaller, bulkier and less lengthy. Hurricane Alan another to race over 5f early as a 2yo and in the Supersprint and who tried 9-10f Group races and looking out of place physically. The 'Classic' example being Kings Quay who is probably the only Montjeu to win over 5f in June as a 2yo. He did run in the Derby well behind Motivator but a compact chunky Montjeu and not the tal, lengthy ones. Their possible Derby runner this year Bunker a bit more body length but the same lack of overal frame and range. Tupi should be 80+ on strength and they will presumably try him at Listed level at least.

Marshall Jennings looking like Tupi's size smaller brother in the VP and less strong but a similar type/shape. Ran more prominently and the pace meant he wasn't stalling late. Another around 80?

Trainer Balding has a habit of running a solid quality one in this race and won it in 2012 with Operation Chariot. Two other 2nd places int he last 10 years with Donegal & Liquid Asset both at 25/1. And two other 2yo season winners in ruck in other years at 14/1 & 16/1. So lots of circumstantials to say Red Rubles should be a 75+ one at least and the trainer talked him up in the 214 book. A taller one and more range than the Hannon pair and less chunkily built. RR close to Tupi inside the final 3f but Hughes in clear water wide and the jk on RR blundering forward along the rail into a roadblock of horses. Caved up by CV inside the last 2F and a veering switch left out to centre track but now 3-4L behind Tupi. RR taking time to pick-up but seeming to lengthen out in the last 0.5f showing his stride and looking athletic and probably going faster than anything else did at any point up the hill. 85+.

MaJo went through a phase of bringing really good ones to start at SDWN over 7f and better class ones like Campanologist, Cry Freedom & Liberation started here in those years. Recent debuts here have been more variable quality and even his 2011 debut winner of the equivalent race never won another and found a weak edition. Last year he ran two with Bureau 2nd and winning a maiden and a Nursery as a 70s one. Diaz a taller, narrow bodied and rangy stayer shape of the type than Hannon wouldn't buy. Ran well given how prominent he was and another around 80 and not looking a higher quality one.

In a field of all shapes and sizes The Paco Kid a smaller medium and less lengthy one. As would be expected from one who made his debut over 5f on April 11th. Solid build but nott really a long term stayer shape. He is by Paco Boy who was trainer by Hannon so it coming round in circles in many ways. Travelled ok through the race, as he should do given his 5f form, and while he was hampered late on to lose ground he was already stalling back and didn't look like he was going to stay fully. A smaller one who hasn't won early on precocity and now running against bigger and stronger ones. Prob borderline Open Maiden level and might have missed his opportunity.

In this meeting of different types and careers in this early 7f race Classic Villager fits into the bigger and rangier type with a future. By a notably unprecocious sire who gets rare wins before August and few at less than 8f. For CV to be out and looking athletic and ready to run this early seems extra positive. Good prgoress int he HS until running into the roadblock and probably would have competed to run with a clear run. Seems a likeable type and solid 80+.

Groor a middle one in this range of types and middling size and build with some length. Travelled ok in the race until persistently hanging right in the last 2f which meant he bumped others and going behind the roadblock. Another around the 75 range and see which side he falls.

Foylesideview has turned into a sweating mad tearaway since his FTO and it had the good effect of shaking the rac eup and stopping it turning into an uninformative trundle. Smaller medium and okish build. Fading off his free running and might be usable late 60s but his run here not adding any confidence that the trainer has learnt anything about how-to-win.

As his picture shows Moonadee sweaty and gormless in the prelims but an ok sized chunky enough one if not fit enough. Given a totally non-involving ride and the horse making his own progress in the HS until getting a bit head up, green and hanging and eased back. Physical substance to be soild 75+ and can Barry Hills progress his career in an orderly manner?

My Mate a cheap buy given his pedigree and a plain type and not that well put together if having some range and seeming to move ok. Ran much too freely here so hard to judge waht he is actually capable of. Worth checking STO.

Celestine Abbey & Playboy Bay two ends of the human spectrum but both smaller types here and moving poorly in the HS and little interest. Synodic a smaller medium one and a little underpowered if neatly enough made. late 60s? say and too green to get involved here and the jk knocked off early after the horse got a bit unbalanced in the HS.

Look at the picture of Royal Street in isolation, if you knew nothing about pedigree, price, trainer etc. what might you say? Could well be a smaller medium but chunky one that Hannon buys. But, completed his 3rd awful run but up to the 7f race he should have started in. This time his problem was running much too freely early and around the bend. Compare him to CA/PB in the HS and he is bigger and moving better but then the jk sat still and let him drift backwards by 2F out. Did he feel the horse was already tired by the earlier freeness? Ought to be 70+ and one of those 2yos looking embarrassingly poor with a small stable that you wish was with Hannon so we could find out what RS can really do.