BRITISH 2yo RACING - 2014 Season Race Result
Race 277 : Tue, July 8th
Brighton 6:40, 7f Maiden (5)


[Est] is the B2yoR Rating. Green indicates a 55+ level,
Cream between 30 & 54, Pink less than 30.

Wnr = previous/LATER 2yo Winner. Letter is Race Type.
Hf = Position at Halfway. Green indicates making places to the finish.
GOING TIME RcPc Video VP
GFF 83.74
[Compare]
-1None None


Horse SP [EST] LBRun Wnr Shp Trainer Dw Hf LBL Run Notes
1Shaakis745.0-2  M. P. Tregoning 5
2
1.0B-1 P-1, NER, Prg+0.5f 2Wd, XF+1f 2R 1wd Sttld, JnLdr-2.5f, Dv-2f+ STTR, Po ins-2f, SHgR-1f+, Po, Duel ins-1f, LdLt
2Oregon Gift2.7544.60.22  M. Johnston 6
1
-1.0BkWL Wd, Ld Erl, XF+1f Cmf, CmfLd PrickEarsOv, TvOk Dwnhill SlowPc, Eff ins-2f Po, HddLt, Tallest SNrw, Bgr Galloper
3Guilty2.7544.20.43 N  R. Hannon (Jnr) 3
4
2.7Supp 7/2, BOk, LdgLn Erl, H-1+0.5f SUnbal+1f Path, 3R+1.5f 1Wd Sttld, Prg CZ Wdst, Dv-2f+ -1L, Po-2f HdROv, HgR-1.5f, Po, HgL ins-1f, Po, poLt
4Muradif3.543.10.93 N  W. J. Haggas 7
7
5.2Drift 3/1, B-1 Wdst, H-3 Erl, Last+0.5f XB Sttld, Prg CZ Downhill, Eff-1.5f+ Po, 2R ins-1f Hmp in Gap, Po ins-0.5f Gap Back then Eased Lt as Gap Closed
5Pinter1641.61.73 N  C. Appleby 1
5
3.2Drift 12/1, BOk Rl, H-2 Erl, 3R+1f Sttld, SwcR CZ Prg, 2R-2f bhd Wnr, Eff-2f SOutpcd, po, Eased Lt
6Tumut1440.12.52  M. R. Channon 4
6
4.5Supp 25/1, BOk Cent, H-2 Erl, 3R+1f 1Wd Sttld, Prg CZ, 2R-2f Wd, SOutpcd ins-2f, po, Drop Last ins-1f Stall
7Pasticcio738.13.51 M  C. Appleby 2
3
1.7Supp 8/1, BkWL ins, Ld Erl XF, Hdd+0.5f, Allow XFr+1f & 2R Sttld, Dv-2f+ Sunbal Dwnhill STTR, Po-1.5f+ HnH Sinx, Hmp-0.5f+ -2L, EasedLt



SUMMARY
GFF as on Decs. CoC note = "Rail will be dolled out from 6f to 2.5f adding 9yds".

What went on here? Less than 2.5L covering the first 6 home and the jk of the 7th and last home made a WTRB saying he was "denied a clear run" & presumably thought he could have finished closer..

Post Full VRev = The answer to the Question above is the expected on. A 7f race with a slow pace developing into a less than 2f 'sprint' in the HS. These are all running over 7f relatively early so natural speed and turns of pace unlikely to be much evident. Add in a heavily cambers trak and fast ground for gallopers and the race turn into the slog you would expect and difficult for the various physical types on display to separate themselves from each other and the first 6 home in a Heap at the line. A messy race and not separating the 7f+ abilities out into proper visible bands. First 2 through halfway in the best place with a head start in the sprint and that proved insurmountable for the others even with some notable CZ closing up downhill as the Pace slowed further.

Oregon Gift the easiest to deal with because he is an easily identifiable Type. Made his debut on a fast 5f course and looked out of place both on the track and amongst the readier & smaller runners. Up to 7f here and still the tallest in the field if a bit narrow. Still showing a high action in front at times but handled the course ok. Plugged on in the last 2f as you would expect and comes across as on who will plod on at his pace over further. 70+ on size but lack of pace may mean he struggles to win at Maiden level except in a slog (or a weak Northern race) but has to scope to improve. Like Hannon, you can often see that MaJo buys types atthe sales which end up being his horses which (the statistics say) mean they often do better up in distance.

Shaakis the first season runner for a front-loading trainer so in that sense no surprise to see him win STO. Also, one of 4 later winners from the race he made his debut in and the one he finished just behind has run well at this course since. Which you could spin into this being a good one from a good race converting STO on ability. But, Shaakis just a medium one with a solid build. In a prime spot for the late race sprint but still took time to get going and only won by plugging on rather than showing stong ability. Inclined to think you could shuffle the horses position at Halfway/2f out, in this messy race, and you might get a different winner each time. Rather than the 1 or 2 x 80+ ones in the field mostly getting to the front by the line somehow and being good enough to overcome small disadvantages. 74-5 one?

Guilty up in trip again and a smaller medium one in the field. Made a little bit of ground in the sprint but hanging right up the camber then back down again. Perhaps not a 70 one & certainly not a 3rd place to read literally or see as improvement.

Muradif a shorter one int he field but solidly built. Up in trip having looked a galloper FTO on GS but then a suspect mover of his bulk STO and fading over 6f. Ran ok on GFF here so not the ground the issue STO? Also ran too free STO which meant he was hauled back to sit last on the rail and this seemed to do the job ok of getting him to mostly settle. Looked more enthusiastic when finally able to make his effort 1.5f+ out having made 3L+ back in the CZ. On VRev you could say he was 'unlucky' because he twice went for a gap between OGift (rail) & Shaakis and got squeezed out of it FT then the jk easing him late on as he saw Shaakis rolling left to clode the gap again. Some positives though but clearly in a messy race. 70+ & more positive signs overall here he is maturing mentally as a racehorse.

A worry for the overall form that Pinter finished so close ridden by, who's that? Ajtebi? I though he'd retired. 2R behind Shaakis 2f out but a bit outpaced than a laboured plug on and a bit closer but for eased late. Adds to the thoughts that this a suspect race to treat literally and the individual horses need assessing beyond where they got to in an ugly bunch finish.

Tumut looking small in this group and typically lean and fit for a Channon runner. 2R at 2f out and a lesser effort and losing ground to be last into the last 1f. Looking sub-70 and Channon's lack of 2yos with any size and scope getting beyond academic joking.

Pasticcio with Kirby riding so a clear 1st String. But, a smaller & neat one in the field an Kirby looking 'big' on him. Settled ok in 2R on the rail but that meant he struggled to find a gap to make an effort through in the last 2f. One take would be to say he was 'unlucky' and could have challenged to win. Another view would be that he made his own trouble by being green. Not handling the downhill transition well and then looking hesitant in going forward oe getting into a gap. Perhaps to slow to get into the gap? But, on size he is going to need to be one of those types by New Approach which pack an engine above their frame. Appleby's record with STOs still miles better than his, untypical for Godolphin, moderate to average FTOs in 2014. Another 'Halfway' story of giving Pasticcio credit for being around 75 and peak STO and soild chance if targetted at an Average or lower maiden.

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