BRITISH 2yo RACING - 2014 Season Race Result
	Race 82 : Mon, May 19th Leicester 6:15, 5f Maiden (4)
2014 Season Home 2014 Results	[Est] is the B2yoR Rating. Green indicates a 55+ level, Cream between 30 & 54, Pink less than 30. Wnr = previous/LATER 2yo Winner. Letter is Race Type. Hf = Position at Halfway. Green indicates making places to the finish. GOING TIME RcPc Video VP GF 59.91 [Compare] 0 None Link

SUMMARY

GF by race time with GStick at 8.2 from 8.0 in early am. GFG from G on Decs. Watering but no details given. Stalls Stands Side. Stiff to Medium SE Wind = Half Tailwind from Left. Fuwairt's Breeze VT shows a medium and slightly leggy one, not a bigger type on view there. Price presumably related to a fast time because he is professional and once getting balanced does a fast, straight, blast before tiring in the last 0.5f. Race played out in a slightly baffling way and Final Time not that quick given the tailwind and usable GF. The 'problem' with the Race Shape seems to centre on the moderate efforts by Fuwairt & Town Crier 1.5f from the finish. That duo had ran in a pair alongside each other for most of the race. They took over the lead together from fast starting Lightning Stride after 1F and 1.5L+ clear of 3rd+ at Halfway. They visually upped the pace before 2f out on the uphill part and had all of the rest of the field, incl LS, driven along by 2F out. Moore on TC and Dettori on Fuwairt didn't ask for final efforts until about 1.5F from the finish and were comfortably (?) maintaining their gaps to 3rd+ at their Own Pace. When Moore & Dettori made their request for final efforts 1.5f out nothing much appeared to happen and they plugged on together then started folding back allowing LS (finishing race off like one that found this 5f a bit fast in parts and better 6f) and even Belvoir Diva (likeable, well made & built shorter filly but Not Fit here and a bit green) to get back to them. It would have made more sense if one, or both, of Fuwairt & TC had made a 1-2L forward move with their efforts-1.5f and LS getting back to them at the line. Why the lack of efforts? Why is BD finishing so close? Other 3 all had real problems with attitude and or movement visible in Prelims and the way they dropped back in various ways does make sense. Summing up the post-race thoughts it is easiest to work from last back to first. Trainer Muir will often start a few early and they wont be ready to win and some will develop to win from June onwards. Jet Mate looking small and low quality on his previous runs. On the plus side here he looked in good condition and has perhaps grown a bit taller. But, narrow bodied and looking a bit too fit on his light frame. Worse than that her appears to have a full-on bad attitude. Throwing his head and pulling away from the handler at any opportunity. Having the Headgear fitted just seem to give JM something else to focus his resentment on. Both of the pictures of him after it was fitted showing him throwing his head upwards and left. He is also a weak and straight upright mover in front which means he isn't making the most of what power he has. His effort in the race fitted with his antics in the prelims. Slow start and hanging then running too freely when held. Head up and Left in later race and responding to the whip by going slower and getting adrift. Might be usable mid-upper 50s bit clearly several issues to solve before that would happen so see if he shows more positive signs in Nurseries. Invincible Gold seemed to have a couple of issues with his set-up in the prelims and a real surprise to see him mixing it with TC & Fuwairt at the top of the Market. IG a difficult one to sum up for the reviewer. If you like bigger horses and dont look at the level below that then he ought to be a positive. A solid size and bulk. But every picture of him makes him look a different type and this seems to be because he isn't very neatly made and a bit lengthy. A gawky neck in one picture, up behind in another and too lengthy and light behind in the next. A bigger lad but hard to warm to. Added to that if you watched his movement in the walk then No snap nor tightness behind and a bit draggy at times. Add to that a watchful, young & slightly overawed attitude. Expecting him to be 12/1 to 16/1 in the Market and this run an Educational Intro. So why was he 3/1 from an opening 4/1 against a solid pair? Real info from the trainer/stable or a hopeful "..he goes nicely, he's ok.." blown up into a plot to unleash a pigeon-catcher on debut? Since most trainers do not really press their 2yos at home, in the sense of making them gallop flat out against a group of others, then was his run here hiding his ability? Did his watchful attitude turn in nervousness. The Paddock Reviewer could claim that the way he got a bit outpaced as soon as the pace upped after halfway and then started moving awkwardly was what was expected from his presentation in the prelims. A few of these bigger types snapping together to 'bite' STO stops anyone feeling they are too 'right'. Put him down as a suspect one on movement but with potential to surprise because of the power he owns. Perhaps a fast 5f downhill then uphill on firmer ground put his movement under pressure it hasn't been running all over his training partner on a bit of Polytrack uphill. See if he is the sort who looks better on an uphill track and perhaps with a bit of softer going. Offshore an easier one to sum up physically and a recognisable 'Type'. Neatly made, smaller medium one and a bit leggy at present. A bit lightly made to be 75 and some sort of 72-74. On the positive side he holds himself well (doesn't show in his main picture since he is prancing a bit) and the athleticism looks ok. But, you could put a line through him for this race as soon as he appeared and led towards the Parade Ring := Goggle eyed, pulling the handler around and calling. Went through a lot of the signs of fizziness and inexperience in the prelims. Prancing, getting colty, whipping around for no reason, two handlers, and so on. Then gave trouble being mounted which meant jk Kingscote was last out of the Parade Ring alone on this hopping idiot with the job of getting him to the start with no lead. Rather you, etc. How he ran in the race matching his prelims performance. Slow start, hanging and getting behind, not knowing what to do in the last 2f. But should come together fine and be competitive at his level and with an upside trainer. Then into the slightly baffling front 4 for different reasons. Belvoir Diva a smaller shorter one and that view not helped by being in a ring with 6 colts. But, look past that and she's likeable. Solid build, some length and neatly made and everything seems to 'fit together' properly.. Added to that she is also the most professional. Trainer Wall doesn't seem much interested in 2yo racing and wins dwindling but an early start for BD perhaps suggesting even he thinks she should be a competitive 2yo. But, he is a develop-with-racing guy and she doesn't look fit enough to finish the race off. So, what is she doing looking like she might close onto the stalling front pair 1f out and too close to them at the finish? Is she better than the upper 60s mark when she is fully ready or does her presence indicate something a bit odd going on with the first 3? Next to Fuwairt and another interesting subject - what guides and cues are buyers responding to when they bid at 2yo Breeze Up sales? He cost 320,000gns in April so must have impressed several sets of 'experts' to bid him up to that level. If you were the person paying the bills and the Agents what would you be expecting from the debut run? He is with Hannon who doesn't press for FTO wins but gets plenty with his better 2yos. You might well be expecting a withering turn of pace, which the Breeze Clockers assured you he displayed, and a comfortable win. Perhaps like Smoothtalkinrascal showed in the race in 2012 (Right in pair of pictures above (no. 8) with Fuwairt on the left). He came up short in Listed/Group races at 2yo but a change of trainer has seen him developing as a 3-4yo to have won off OR105 this seasom. Then got ironed out in a French Group 3 NTO. Fuwairt one of the first in and likeable as being very neatly made and balanced. Chunky and ready and 85+. Looks smaller once some of the bigger colts arrive and notably shorter than LS. This effect not helped since his attitude goes from being bold at the start through to getting babyish and calling & cowering a bit. The type of performance where the reviewer keeps rubbing out the summary number and making it one less. Ran ok in the race but no zippy burst as in his Breeze and that probably partly becuase races are not Breezes. In the same way Invincible Gold can look great in a gallop at home. Fuwairt looks terrific in a 1F Time Trial he has been prepped specifically for, but less good when dragged up and down hill by other horses fiddling with the pace and off whatever prep Hannon has done to bring him down fom the Breeze 'Peak'. Look at the pictures of Fuwairt and Smoothtalkinrascal in the unsaddling enclosure after the race and they seem similar types and Fuwairt looking less taking and a bit smaller again. See whether the Hannons say we will see a 'different horse' STO or whether the thrill of being able to bid 320,000 of someone else's money was the most excitement anyone had out of Fuwairt. In a field of all shapes and sizes Town Crier is nothing like the neater and chunky Fuwairt. More leggy and not as chunky and definitely more lightly made behind. A bit more leggy and more range. TC has gone in the Market like he is just running to stamp his Ticket to go the Royal Ascot on both starts now. FTO you could put the poor run down to greenness. Here, he made a moderate effort when let down and didn't see the 5f out well depite being very fit. To be that good the front of this race must be very good and perhaps misjudged. But the first four were in a heap and BD too close and nothing showing something different like Smoothtalkin' did. Finally to Lightning Stride and another lesson in 'Anchoring'. The pair of pictures above show LS at LEIC on the left and on his debut at NMKT on May 4th (rugged). To this person's view he looks small and young in the RH picture and not one to follow. That sets an Anchor, a sub-concious as well as part concious, as a starting point of what to expect this horse to be. So when he turns up in the Parade Ring at LEIC your 'System 1' thinking automatically starts trying to fit what you see to the 'Story' the Anchor point sets up. Even though he looks better than that you try to talk that away. Unlike Fuwairt, the overall score for LS nudges up as your concious thinking wrestles to re-set the System and get to a sensible view. If the Picture on the right had never been seen you could possibly have got to the view of LS as an 80 horse and at the wrong price. As the race went he didn't go like the best 5f horse in the race and that feeling is mixed in with the overall niggles about what TC & Fuwairt's efforts showed. The way LS finished off the race as if he was just getting going and still going forward would have you thinking he might be better than 80 if he continues to develop (see Picture 3 NTO). An interesting race to see how the front 4 develop and what was really happening in the last 2f. [Aside - the race left the feeling, after a few days with a number of results needng some post-race 'explaining' to make any sense, that it would be nice to have a run of easily understandable results. The following day saw all three favourites beaten with the first two going under at 1/4f and 1/2f. Mutter, mutter, more scrabbling around trying fit lot of mis-shapen 'facts' together.]

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