BRITISH 2yo RACING - 2016 Season Race Result
Race 3 : Sat, March 26th
Kempton Park 1:40, 5f Maiden (Fillies') (4), "Div II"


[Est] is the B2yoR Rating. Green indicates a 55+ level,
Cream between 30 & 54, Pink less than 30.

Wnr = previous/LATER 2yo Winner. Letter is Race Type.
Hf = Position at Halfway. Green indicates making places to the finish.
GOING TIME RcPc Video VP
STD 60.09
[Compare]
1Link None


Horse SP [EST] LB TmRun Wnr Shp Trainer Dw Hf LBL Run Notes
1Chupalla1.246.0- 1 95 M. Johnston 9
1
-1.0Bgst, SQkn-1f+, GdAth, GpQual
2Stormy Clouds2.528.06.0 1 M 74 R. Hannon (Jnr) 5
3
1.7
3Rapacity Alexander518.39.3 1 V 68 P. D. Evans 8
2
1.0
4Mesmeric Moment1215.310.3 1 S 69 P. D. Evans 7
6
5.5
5To Have A Dream330.315.3 1 52 J. S. Moore 1
4
3.2
6Princess Way25-5.817.3 1  P. D. Evans 4
7
11.0Buck Erl Dv, UnwillingOv
7Eid Rose10-6.317.4 1 53 K. A. Ryan 2
5
4.2
8Thora Barber33-10.118.7 1 V  P. D. Evans 3
8
13.0
NRLog Off  P. D. Evans 6 NR = Self Cert (Infected Foot). Declared 07:51am.



SUMMARY

MaJo won the first 3 races of the 2015 season on the opening day. That trio proved to be Gp2 winner, OR102 Conds winning filly & OR80s Conds winner (lacking scope). This win meaning he has won the 3 races so far and all three by clear margins with the 2yos looking some version of useful (SANOI). Probably worth assuming that his unusually good, and forward (it took ageas for Hannon to overhaul him by number of wins), 2015 is a good template for 2016. He again has a big set of 2yos and the first 2 days of the season has been a bit better than his flying 2015 start.

For template background he had 16 debuts by May 1st in 2015 of which 13 of the 16 won during the season and the other 3 all placed at in early season. 14 of the 16 made the 1st 4 on debut and the 'worst' FTO places of 5th/7th proved to be later season Nursery winners - one disappointing to drop to OR70 to win, the other a late season developer over 8f who won 4 x Nurseries from OR62 to OR89. The 16 producing 2 other Listed winners to add to Gp2 Buratino plus a range of Conds/Black Type runners.


Chupalla drawn widest and taking a little time to get going to able to get to the lead comfortably with a bout of filly Keystone Kops bumbling overtaking a lot of the others. Chupalla looking the biggest by some margin and having some of the ExEx tallness coming through in appearance but having a bit more bulk than the narrower type of that sire. Aussie raced FSS Helmet responsible for both Division winners. The Aussie raced pair of Sepoy & Foxwedge both looked interesting FSS in Britain this year and Helmet added to the view that the Aussies may produce better sprinters, at any age. Worth noting that Godolphin raced both Helmet & Sepoy and seem to be having far more high level success in Australia over the last few years than in Europe.

Back to Chupalla and a likeable strong effort in the HS which seemed to include a bit of 'quickening' towards the last 1f. Seems to have a slightly extravagant action overall but timing the 'bounds' well on this flat track. Mild niggle about how she would look on undulating/soft turf. But, leaving a good visual impression (check the Sectional feedback) and has the size to think she can compete strongly at Group level. Better than Rah Rah, for example. MaJo got many of his early starters in 2015 to Royal Ascot in top condition (a number tailed off afterwards) and of the impression that Chupalla showed enough here to make the 1st 4 in a typicL RAsct fillies race.

Over a long period, prob 20 years or more, the Hannon stable has often started useful 2yos at the earliest Kempton maidens. Hannon jnr started Tiggy Wiggy (champion 2yo female and perhaps best overall) to win it in 2014. Last year he ran Anwar who placed but while looking smaller and ordinary, unlike the smaller but unusually zippy Tiggy. Anwar managed 3 places in early season then disappeared and one later run in August in a BTON nursery off OR70. A BTON appearance for a Hannon 2yo typically telling you they think it is some way below an OR75 Open Maiden level.

Stormy Clouds clearly no Tiggy Wiggy and looking a similar size to the biggest of the others aside from the winner. Mostly competent and able to go to clear second before the usual last 0.5f fade for a Hannon ordinary one. Perhaps not a fully straight mover in front. Leaving the impression she might be a touch better than Anwar and more likely to find something to win (say a 74 and check scope) and unlikely to be a better one.

What to make of David Evans season so far? He has already run 12 x 2yos having had a recent high of 39 in 2015. So, perhaps a 1/3rd of his 2yos run and the 2 males have been uncompetitive at WTON (one as back favourite) and 2 x distant 3rds here with a lot of shambolic and or small ones off the back. His good ones usually show it FTO so unless he is behind schedule he looks to have shown us 12 of limited potential ('limited' probably being kind to more than half of them).

Rapacity Alexander a full sister to Peniaphobia who was a useful 5f 2yo here before a (too) early sale to HK where he has become a Grade 1 winner. He was also at the Dubai World Cup night on the same day finishing 3rd in the major sprint there. Did you and your owner really get enough money from HK to make the Peniaphobia sale sensible, Richard? The pedigree meaning that the 90k that RAlex cost could be entirely down to her pedigree. She looked a similar size to SC if perhaps a bit less build and less cleanly made. Looked plain outpaced inside the last 2f then hanging right as she faded. Not looking Open Maiden level and not the 5f zippy one you would like to see from the pedigree. Evans will presumably get her overtuned to win something early but 70ish, if she can move better in the last 2f?

Mesmeric Moment green through the race and making progress through gap off the rail on the bend. Perhaps a bit more size than RAlex and might be a touch better prospect.

Ryan early runners can show up FTO if useful or in a weak race. Eid Rose looking like she is ot early because she is small and lacking scope. Ok start but dropping back partly because green and losing ground early in HS. No interest. To Have A Dream looking typical Moore type of having some build positive for a €7k buy. Upright set-up and outpaced and no real reach. The type he will win something with very late on and probably in some weak AW race.


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